SFGRTB
Superstitious Fan
Updated for the Stratton deal...
Locks (bubbles)
SP (5/5): Bum, Sammy, Dutch, DRod, PomPom
Bully (5/8): Smith, Watson, Moronta, Dyson, Vincent (MM, Bergen, Gott, Blach, Suarez)
C (2/2): Posey, Kratz (Murphy)
Inf (5/6): Belt, Panik, Craw, Longo, Solarte (Hanson, Sandoval, Joe)
OF (3/4): Dugger, Mac, Parra (Joe, Reed, Ramos)
Vincent, Solarte, and Parra would require 40-spots. With Stratton gone, I think that opens a slot for MM. In this scenario, Sandoval, Hanson and Murphy would likely be gone. I think they try to slip Murphy through waivers
MM may still be in trouble if they decide to go with 3 catchers, though. If they decide to dump Mac as sfgrtb suggests, that may re-open the door for MM.
I don't feel very confident about Williamson's chances right now.
SP (5): Bum-Holland-DRod-Pom-Shark
BP (7): Smith-Watson-Moronta-Dyson-Vincent-Gott-Bergen
C (2): Posey-Kratz
IF (6): Belt-Panik-Craw-Longoria-Solarte-Joe
OF (3): Parra-Duggar-Reed
That leaves two open spots for basically three positions: an additional outfielder, a backup SS, or a 13th pitcher. I'm fairly confident that the Giants will carry the 13th pitcher, who would be Melancon. That leaves the big decision down to a backup SS or additional outfielder.
I think they'll lean backup SS. Who that is? Possible another trade/signing.
It's also possible they go with a 12-man staff and start Melancon on the IL. That might clear the way for Mac and a backup SS.