Series Thread: M's Rest Of Season Thread 2021

[NWinAZ]

 

[Podunkparte]

Nick Gordon with a 2 out 3 run HR to make it 6-2 Twins in the 5th.

Toronto is also into their pen after 3, got their CF's hand stepped on (out) and another BP pitcher leaving with an injury.

 

[niterunner]

I saw that Divish tweeted about Brash making a start. They have a 40 man roster spot open, Marmolejos was DFAed and Dunn was expected to fill it. But Dunn was shutdown so they only have 39 on the 40 man. They could also fill it with Munoz.

The AA season ended on Sunday, so I don't know what Brash is doing.

 

[NWinAZ]

I saw that Divish tweeted about Brash making a start. They have a 40 man roster spot open, Marmolejos was DFAed and Dunn was expected to fill it. But Dunn was shutdown so they only have 39 on the 40 man. They could also fill it with Munoz.

The AA season ended on Sunday, so I don't know what Brash is doing.

I posted the tweet right above your post regarding Brash. He went home after the season which is odd to me.

 

[niterunner]

They can put Kikuchi on a short leash. The day after his start they can send down a pitcher and activate Munoz which will make the 40 man full.

 

[NWinAZ]

They can put Kikuchi on a short leash. The day after his start they can send down a pitcher and activate Munoz which will make the 40 man full.

It sounds like they don't want to bring up Munoz and risk him overthrowing and injuring his arm at this point.

 

[Podunkparte]

Twins take down Toronto. Thanks for the gift!

 

[ulmax]

Nick Gordon with a 2 out 3 run HR to make it 6-2 Twins in the 5th.

Toronto is also into their pen after 3, got their CF's hand stepped on (out) and another BP pitcher leaving with an injury.

TOR2
MIN7
F

 

[NWinAZ]

 

[Cloud]

Just looking to have a little bit of fun with some scenarios and how the M's can potentially make the playoffs.

M's 16 games remaining.
Yankees 15 Games remaining
Boston 14 Games remaining
Toronto 16 games remaining
Oakland 16 games remaining
Astros 16 games remaining

1) Assuming M's win out and all other opponents goes .500.

• M's 94 wins
• Astros 94 wins
• Yanks 90 (giving Yankees 8-7 remaining record)
• Sox 90
• Jays 90
• A's 87

M's win WC and make it to playoffs under this scenario (M's lose out division because of head-to-head record against the Astros).

2) Assuming M's wins 80% of their remaining games and opponents goes .500

• M's 91 wins (giving the M's 13 wins out of 16)
• M's also win WC under this scenario.

3) Assuming M's wins 75% of their remaining games and opponents goes .500

• M's 90 wins.
• Under this scenario there is a 4 way tied for the WC between Yankees, Sox and Jays.

-------

It would appears that the M's will have to win 3/4th of their remaining games to have a legit shot. Obviously this is assuming all opponents goes .500 the rest of the way. It's a tough hill to climb considering you're banking on 3-4 teams to do that. I just don't see a scenario where if they don't win more than 75% of their remaining games that they'll have a chance.

The Yankees closes out the season with a very very tough schedule against Boston, Toronto, and TB
The Redsox Still have 9 games remaining against the Orioles and Nationals. Two last teams.
The Jays still have 9 game remaining against the Orioles and Twins. Two last place teams.

So for their opponents, I don't see a scenario where the Red Sox and Jays will go .500 considering their remaining opponents.

Thought I swing back to this with 9 games left to play and where we are. At the very minimum, predicted that the M's would have to go 75% win rate of their remaining their remaining games to have a chance.

Since this post the:

M's have gone 6-1!
Yankees 4-2
Red Sox 5-0
Jays 3-4

At this point, I'm taking the Astros out of the equation, the division is way out of reach already. Same with the A's. They're kinda done. Everyone has 9 games remaining.


1) Assume M's win out and opponents goes .500 (will give each 5-4 record).

• M's 93-69
• Redsox 93-69
• Yankees 91-71
• Jays 90-72

M's and Redsox gets WC spots.

2) Assume M's win 80% (giving the M's 7 wins) and opponents same as above.

• M's 91-71

Redsox wins 1st WC spot, Yankees and M's 2 way tied. Head to head record is Yankees 5-2, so Yankees will get 2nd WC.

3) Assume M's win 75% (giving M's 6 wins) and opponents save as above.

• M's 90-72

Redsox/Yankees wins WC.



Base on remaining schedule, the Yankees have the toughest opponents.

New York 3 against Red Sox, 3 against Toronto, 3 against TB
Boston 3 against NY, 3 against WAS, 3 against BAL
Toronto 3 against MIN, 3 against NY, 3 against BAL


Toronto faltering as of late is giving this team a ton of hopes. Boston seems like a lock at this point to get at least one of the WC spots. So if the M's are to make it in, it'll either be the Yankees or Jays falling out. All the M's gotta do is continue to take care of business like they've been over the past 7 games.

Personally, I'm rooting for the Red Sox to beat the crap out of the Yankees next 3 games series.

 

[Podunkparte]

Win 1 more than Toronto and 2 more than NY the rest of the way and fun things happen.

 

[Cloud]

Win 1 more than Toronto and 2 more than NY the rest of the way and fun things happen.

Yeah. That Yankees remaining schedule is brutal man. That may be the help they need if the Angels and A's continues to just lay dead against the M's.

 

[Podunkparte]

Yeah. That Yankees remaining schedule is brutal man. That may be the help they need if the Angels and A's continues to just lay dead against the M's.

I hate that Ohtani is still going to pitch against us. Hopefully it's a quick cameo appearance so he doesn't get hurt.

I'll feel good if the Twins can manage 1 more in the 4 game Toronto series.

 

[Destroydacre]

Thought I swing back to this with 9 games left to play and where we are. At the very minimum, predicted that the M's would have to go 75% win rate of their remaining their remaining games to have a chance.

Since this post the:

M's have gone 6-1!
Yankees 4-2
Red Sox 5-0
Jays 3-4

At this point, I'm taking the Astros out of the equation, the division is way out of reach already. Same with the A's. They're kinda done. Everyone has 9 games remaining.


1) Assume M's win out and opponents goes .500 (will give each 5-4 record).

• M's 93-69
• Redsox 93-69
• Yankees 91-71
• Jays 90-72

M's and Redsox gets WC spots.

2) Assume M's win 80% (giving the M's 7 wins) and opponents same as above.

• M's 91-71

Redsox wins 1st WC spot, Yankees and M's 2 way tied. Head to head record is Yankees 5-2, so Yankees will get 2nd WC.

3) Assume M's win 75% (giving M's 6 wins) and opponents save as above.

• M's 90-72

Redsox/Yankees wins WC.



Base on remaining schedule, the Yankees have the toughest opponents.

New York 3 against Red Sox, 3 against Toronto, 3 against TB
Boston 3 against NY, 3 against WAS, 3 against BAL
Toronto 3 against MIN, 3 against NY, 3 against BAL


Toronto faltering as of late is giving this team a ton of hopes. Boston seems like a lock at this point to get at least one of the WC spots. So if the M's are to make it in, it'll either be the Yankees or Jays falling out. All the M's gotta do is continue to take care of business like they've been over the past 7 games.

Personally, I'm rooting for the Red Sox to beat the crap out of the Yankees next 3 games series.

Good breakdown, however I'm pretty sure head to head only breaks ties where both teams make the playoffs. If the M's and Yankees tied for the 2nd wild card spot they would play a tiebreaker game 163 in New York, with the winner playing the Red Sox in the wild card game.

 

[ulmax]

angels playing houston tough....tonight....
HOU1
LAA3
Bot 7th

 

[Cloud]

Good breakdown, however I'm pretty sure head to head only breaks ties where both teams make the playoffs. If the M's and Yankees tied for the 2nd wild card spot they would play a tiebreaker game 163 in New York, with the winner playing the Red Sox in the wild card game.

Actually, you're right. I forgot about this, I was under the assumption that it was the same as football. I think in the past they play a tie-break game don't they?

What happens if it's a 4 way tied? LOL.

 

[NWinAZ]

Actually, you're right. I forgot about this. I think in the past they play a tie-break game don't they?

What happens if it's a 4 way tied? LOL.

In a four-team tie, we'd have to add a D designation to the mix. Club A would host Club B and Club C would host Club D, and the winners of each of those games would then face each other in the home park of the winner of the game between Club A and Club B to determine who goes to the Wild Card Game.Sep 15, 2021

Here are the '21 playoff tiebreaker scenarios - MLB.com​

 

[Cloud]

In a four-team tie, we'd have to add a D designation to the mix. Club A would host Club B and Club C would host Club D, and the winners of each of those games would then face each other in the home park of the winner of the game between Club A and Club B to determine who goes to the Wild Card Game.Sep 15, 2021

Here are the '21 playoff tiebreaker scenarios - MLB.com​

So let's get a 4 way or even a 3 way tied then. Give the Redsox the 1st WC and the M's, Yankees, and Jays duke it out. Now that's fun! I like fun.

 

[Podunkparte]

So let's get a 4 way or even a 3 way tied then. Give the Redsox the 1st WC and the M's, Yankees, and Jays duke it out. Now that's fun! I like fun.

Chaos ball!

 

[ulmax]

RyanWeber....up..in bull pen possible game.........let weber go as far as he can...........or kuchi included..in bulll pen game..lol
they wont know..what...hit them..

or kuchi..then
RyanWeber..thenAnthony Misiewicz 38

Drew Steckenrider 16/Casey Sadler 65

Justus Sheffield 33

Diego Castillo 63/Paul Sewald 37 (CL)

all hands .,,,,,.on deck