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Big Brother

Roy Munson

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I am gonna figure out the percentages for each person to win and make it to the finals


Tyler- 35% of winning the 2 comps + 35%(KC winning the 2 comps)*60%(KC taking T)+ 30%(JC winning the 2 comps)*50%(JC taking T)=71% of being a final 2




KC- 35% winning the 2 comps + 35%(T winning 2)*55%(T taking KC)+ 30%(JC winning 2)*50%(JC taking KC)=69.25%

JC-30% winning the 2 comps+ 35%(KC winning)* 40%(KC taking JC) + 35(T winning 2)*45%(T taking JC)=59.75%

final 2 being JC-KC=29%, JC-T=30.75%, KC-T=40.25

JC has a 30% chance to beat either T or KC=18%(rounded up)
KC Has a 70% chance to beat JC and 50% tyler= 40.4%
Tyler has a 70% chance to beat JC and 50% KC=41.65%(rounded up)


I think Tyler is more likely to take JC than KC is to take JC, because Tyler could always say JC was his real final 2, and he has lied this whole competition anyway...



For anyone that wants to see arbitrary numbers to create a percentage for each to win....
Tyler won the first... time to re-do your numbers.
 

calsnowskier

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I am gonna figure out the percentages for each person to win and make it to the finals


Tyler- 35% of winning the 2 comps + 35%(KC winning the 2 comps)*60%(KC taking T)+ 30%(JC winning the 2 comps)*50%(JC taking T)=71% of being a final 2




KC- 35% winning the 2 comps + 35%(T winning 2)*55%(T taking KC)+ 30%(JC winning 2)*50%(JC taking KC)=69.25%

JC-30% winning the 2 comps+ 35%(KC winning)* 40%(KC taking JC) + 35(T winning 2)*45%(T taking JC)=59.75%

final 2 being JC-KC=29%, JC-T=30.75%, KC-T=40.25

JC has a 30% chance to beat either T or KC=18%(rounded up)
KC Has a 70% chance to beat JC and 50% tyler= 40.4%
Tyler has a 70% chance to beat JC and 50% KC=41.65%(rounded up)


I think Tyler is more likely to take JC than KC is to take JC, because Tyler could always say JC was his real final 2, and he has lied this whole competition anyway...



For anyone that wants to see arbitrary numbers to create a percentage for each to win....
Who would JC take, if he wins?

He thinks he has been a puppet master, but a comp dud. In his eyes, he has played Tyler’s game, only better. If he takes KC, the jury would be deciding between a comp beast and a game mastermind. If he takes Tyler the jury would be deciding between a mastermind and a dumb beach-blonde.

Jc has no game-self-awareness. He will take Tyler because he thinks T was his puppet the whole time. In reality, he probably has the best chance against T because of butt-hurt jury votes.

Not that he has a chance against KC, though. She might win unanimously against JC.
 

MilkSpiller22

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Tyler won the first... time to re-do your numbers.


UPDATED


Tyler- 54% of winning the 2 comps + 30%(KC winning the 2 comps)*60%(KC taking T)+ 16%(JC winning the 2 comps)*50%(JC taking T)=80% of being a final 2




KC- 30% winning the 2 comps + 54%(T winning 2)*55%(T taking KC)+ 16%(JC winning 2)*50%(JC taking KC)=67.7%

JC-16% winning the 2 comps+ 30%(KC winning)* 40%(KC taking JC) + 54(T winning 2)*45%(T taking JC)=52.3%

final 2 being JC-KC=20%, JC-T=32.3%, KC-T=47.7

JC has a 30% chance to beat either T or KC=15.7%(rounded up)
KC Has a 70% chance to beat JC and 50% tyler= 37.9%(rounded up)
Tyler has a 70% chance to beat JC and 50% KC=46.5%(rounded up)


I think Tyler is more likely to take JC than KC is to take JC, because Tyler could always say JC was his real final 2, and he has lied this whole competition anyway...



For anyone that wants to see arbitrary numbers to create a percentage for each to win....



TYler winning the first HURTS JCs odds MUCH MORE than KCs
 
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MilkSpiller22

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Who would JC take, if he wins?

He thinks he has been a puppet master, but a comp dud. In his eyes, he has played Tyler’s game, only better. If he takes KC, the jury would be deciding between a comp beast and a game mastermind. If he takes Tyler the jury would be deciding between a mastermind and a dumb beach-blonde.

Jc has no game-self-awareness. He will take Tyler because he thinks T was his puppet the whole time. In reality, he probably has the best chance against T because of butt-hurt jury votes.

Not that he has a chance against KC, though. She might win unanimously against JC.


I have him 50% taking either... but if I had to put a favorite I would say KC, because he was VERY upset about the Brett thing...
 

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UPDATED


Tyler- 54% of winning the 2 comps + 30%(KC winning the 2 comps)*60%(KC taking T)+ 16%(JC winning the 2 comps)*50%(JC taking T)=80% of being a final 2




KC- 30% winning the 2 comps + 54%(T winning 2)*55%(T taking KC)+ 16%(JC winning 2)*50%(JC taking KC)=67.7%

JC-16% winning the 2 comps+ 30%(KC winning)* 40%(KC taking JC) + 54(T winning 2)*45%(T taking JC)=52.3%

final 2 being JC-KC=20%, JC-T=32.3%, KC-T=47.7

JC has a 30% chance to beat either T or KC=15.7%(rounded up)
KC Has a 70% chance to beat JC and 50% tyler= 37.9%(rounded up)
Tyler has a 70% chance to beat JC and 50% KC=46.5%(rounded up)


I think Tyler is more likely to take JC than KC is to take JC, because Tyler could always say JC was his real final 2, and he has lied this whole competition anyway...



For anyone that wants to see arbitrary numbers to create a percentage for each to win....



TYler winning the first HURTS JCs odds MUCH MORE than KCs


Spoiler tag would be nice... :ohwell:
 
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Duffman

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KC won the second HOH, now her and Tyler will face off on Finale night to see who wins the 3rd part.

Basically JC’s game is over, unless whoever wins has a last second realization that he would be a cake walk and the other person they might actually lose too he’s getting evicted.
 

calsnowskier

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I don’t want to harp on it too much in this forum, but FYI, there was a pretty major brain-fart by Angela about a week ago where she forgot where she was and pretty much flashed the camera all her holiness. There are some brightened pics out there make it pretty clear as day.
 

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I don’t want to harp on it too much in this forum, but FYI, there was a pretty major brain-fart by Angela about a week ago where she forgot where she was and pretty much flashed the camera all her holiness. There are some brightened pics out there make it pretty clear as day.


?
 

calsnowskier

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She had a wardrobe malfunction in the vaginal area.
Yup. Wearing a short towel out of the shower and she dropped something and picked it up without thinking of the cameras. She imediately realize what she did, though and quickly had a pissed/disgusted look on her face.
 

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Yup. Wearing a short towel out of the shower and she dropped something and picked it up without thinking of the cameras. She imediately realize what she did, though and quickly had a pissed/disgusted look on her face.
But no link? :laugh:
 

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Bullshit vote, but I get it. Not surprising.

One of the best seasons.


Swaggy is nuts.
 

Roy Munson

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Bullshit vote, but I get it. Not surprising.

One of the best seasons.


Swaggy is nuts.

dumbass side of the house couldn't get past their bitterness.

Haleigh looking crazy hot at the finale.
 

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dumbass side of the house couldn't get past their bitterness.

Haleigh looking crazy hot at the finale.
The only chance was to sway either haleigh or fessy. Their physical reactions led me to believe they might vote on the game play. Sam was the wild card.
 
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calsnowskier

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Baylee and Rock were pure butthurt votes. “Game recognizes game” my ass. That thing was clueless.

That said, I am 100% OK with the outcome. I was rooting for Tyler, but I think my vote might have gone for KC as well. Although Tyler’s closing speech was amazing (but his answer to Baylee’s question was nonsensical).

The legit top 2 made it to top 2. That NEVER happens in these shows.
 
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