Big Brother

[Win TWINS!!!]

I thought Sunday's sign off said there were evictions on Wednesday AND Thursday of this week.

You're probably right... I must've been distracted...

 

[calsnowskier]

It's this part of the season where I lose track of scheduling...

DVR

Set it and forget it.

 

[Duffman]

Spoiler: Huge spoiler on eviction and NEW HOH.

JC won HOH and Sam was evicted. Sam leaving was obvious but holy cow I don’t think anyone expected JC to win a comp let alone the most important one of the season for him. Now either Tyler, KC, or Angela will be going home just hours after they were pretty much guaranteeing themselves Final 3.

 

[calsnowskier]

Spoiler: Huge spoiler on eviction and NEW HOH.

JC won HOH and Sam was evicted. Sam leaving was obvious but holy cow I don’t think anyone expected JC to win a comp let alone the most important one of the season for him. Now either Tyler, KC, or Angela will be going home just hours after they were pretty much guaranteeing themselves Final 3.

???

Tomorrow’s eviction isn’t live??

I wonder if they were worried about fireworks...

 

[calsnowskier]

But yes, F4 HOH is HUGE. Noms don’t matter so you don’t have to worry about exposing any gameplay.

 

[calsnowskier]

Spoiler: My F4 eviction thoughts

so who goes out in 4th?

If Angela and KC are on the block, T evicts someone. Sending A out MIGHT get him jury love, but getting rid of KC would get rid of his biggest competition. On Sunday they showed a DR segment with T saying his isn’t quite as solid with KC as he was because he isn’t seeing that she will be tough to beat. And he exchanged “I love you”s with A. I guess I am about 55% confident he boots A.

If it is T and KC, I think A boots KC. She seems pretty smitten by T.

If it is T n A, KC tosses Angela. I feel very confident in that, but we really haven’t seen any DRs with KC talking about her long plans.

 

[Duffman]

???

Tomorrow’s eviction isn’t live??

I wonder if they were worried about fireworks...

Usually they do the Final 5 eviction on Wednesday but it’s not live and then Thursday they do the Final 4 eviction that is live and start the final HOH comp that ends on the live Finale episode next Wednesday.

 

[Duffman]

Spoiler: My F4 eviction thoughts

so who goes out in 4th?

If Angela and KC are on the block, T evicts someone. Sending A out MIGHT get him jury love, but getting rid of KC would get rid of his biggest competition. On Sunday they showed a DR segment with T saying his isn’t quite as solid with KC as he was because he isn’t seeing that she will be tough to beat. And he exchanged “I love you”s with A. I guess I am about 55% confident he boots A.

If it is T and KC, I think A boots KC. She seems pretty smitten by T.

If it is T n A, KC tosses Angela. I feel very confident in that, but we really haven’t seen any DRs with KC talking about her long plans.

Yep it all comes down to Veto since whoever’s not on the block is the only person who can vote. Taking JC or Angela is in Tyler or KC’s best interest because the jury hates Angela and thinks JC doesn’t do anything so they likely won’t give him the money. It would be smart of Tyler to cut KC and vice versa but I could see him doing it I don’t know if I can see her.

 

[Duffman]

Spoiler: Veto winner

Kaycee

If she's smart she'll cut Tyler since he is the only real threat to beat her left in the house.

 

[calsnowskier]

Spoiler: Veto winner

Kaycee

If she's smart she'll cut Tyler since he is the only real threat to beat her left in the house.

Spoiler

but would that be good for her game? She has played a “loyalty” game, so breaking that loyalty kinda breaks her game, no?

 

[Duffman]

Spoiler

but would that be good for her game? She has played a “loyalty” game, so breaking that loyalty kinda breaks her game, no?

Spoiler

Well I think if she was up against anyone else other than Angela and JC in the final 3 she might be worried but her game far out classes theirs so I think she’ll be fine. Worst case scenario is that she ends up like Cody where she stays loyal and takes a friend to the end but then loses.

 

[Win TWINS!!!]

Julie Chen-Moonves looks stunning tonight!

 

[Duffman]

KC may have just cost herself 1st place by evicting Angela tonight over Tyler.

I think comes down to KC being more about friendship than playing the game. It was 100% in her best interest to evict Tyler but she chose to put her loyalty to him over potentially winning 500k. She is basically Cody from BB16. Yes taking Derek to the Final 2 was staying loyal to a friend but it also cost you 1st place.

She had 1 won shot to ensure herself 1st place because she was up against JC and Angela both of whom would've taken her 100% and now she may potentially lose if she's sitting next to Tyler.

 

[wazzu31]

KC may have just cost herself 1st place by evicting Angela tonight over Tyler.

I think comes down to KC being more about friendship than playing the game. It was 100% in her best interest to evict Tyler but she chose to put her loyalty to him over potentially winning 500k. She is basically Cody from BB16. Yes taking Derek to the Final 2 was staying loyal to a friend but it also cost you 1st place.

She had 1 won shot to ensure herself 1st place because she was up against JC and Angela both of whom would've taken her 100% and now she may potentially lose if she's sitting next to Tyler.

I'm not sure she cost herself because if she goes up against Tyler she should win. But why JC targeted Angela made no sense, she was the only person he stood a chance winning against. Keeping Angela was the golden ticket for anyone once level 6 took control of the house.

 

[calsnowskier]

It looks like the final 2 is now guaranteed to be KC and Tyler. The first time ever (Surviver 2 maybe??) in BB/Surviver history the true top 2 made it to top 2.

I think KC and Tyler are both truly loyal to each other and will take the other if they win, and I don’t see any chance in hell that JC will win 2 comps to get himself there.

 

[Duffman]

I'm not sure she cost herself because if she goes up against Tyler she should win. But why JC targeted Angela made no sense, she was the only person he stood a chance winning against. Keeping Angela was the golden ticket for anyone once level 6 took control of the house.

I think Tyler has the benefit of playing not only a strong physical game but also a great social one. Whereas KC just has the physical game.

The only issue with the jury is if they think KC played better by getting little to no blood on her hands because Tyler and Angela did most of the work for their alliance. If they see Tyler as not only the one who controlled the entire game but they also don’t hate him for evicting them then he’s got this win in the bag.

 

[calsnowskier]

I think Tyler has the benefit of playing not only a strong physical game but also a great social one. Whereas KC just has the physical game.

The only issue with the jury is if they think KC played better by getting little to no blood on her hands because Tyler and Angela did most of the work for their alliance. If they see Tyler as not only the one who controlled the entire game but they also don’t hate him for evicting them then he’s got this win in the bag.

Let’s be clear. I am rooting for Tyler.

That said, KC may have actually played a BETTER game. I suspect she made the conscious decision to not win HOHs. Being the HOH puts blood on your hands, and it also restricts your options “next week”. Winning the POV makes you safe, gives you some serious say in who the noms are (while staying blood-free) and you still get to vote while not deciding anything. She not only OWNED the POV comps, she also won the over-powered Hacker comp (WAY too powerful - I hope they do not bring that one back). Chica was a comp beast. She also was everyone’s best friend without anyone thinking any of it was game play. Tyler made too many game-alliances. He had at least 4 final-2 deals. That was what killed Paul.

Ultimately, T and KC were the clear best in the house this year. Surprisingly, JC may have actually been the legit third best player. He and Brett, I think, had very similar games, but Brett “breaking the loyalty” was his fatal flaw while JC was never in a position to be able to have that flaw.

 

[Roy Munson]

Let’s be clear. I am rooting for Tyler.

That said, KC may have actually played a BETTER game. I suspect she made the conscious decision to not win HOHs. Being the HOH puts blood on your hands, and it also restricts your options “next week”. Winning the POV makes you safe, gives you some serious say in who the noms are (while staying blood-free) and you still get to vote while not deciding anything. She not only OWNED the POV comps, she also won the over-powered Hacker comp (WAY too powerful - I hope they do not bring that one back). Chica was a comp beast. She also was everyone’s best friend without anyone thinking any of it was game play. Tyler made too many game-alliances. He had at least 4 final-2 deals. That was what killed Paul.

Ultimately, T and KC were the clear best in the house this year. Surprisingly, JC may have actually been the legit third best player. He and Brett, I think, had very similar games, but Brett “breaking the loyalty” was his fatal flaw while JC was never in a position to be able to have that flaw.

no Meatball making it to the end in this season...

 

[calsnowskier]

no Meatball making it to the end in this season...

He was worse than Rockstar. He is a stain on the fine reputation of this show.

Wait, wha...

 

[MilkSpiller22]

I am gonna figure out the percentages for each person to win and make it to the finals


Tyler- 35% of winning the 2 comps + 35%(KC winning the 2 comps)*60%(KC taking T)+ 30%(JC winning the 2 comps)*50%(JC taking T)=71% of being a final 2




KC- 35% winning the 2 comps + 35%(T winning 2)*55%(T taking KC)+ 30%(JC winning 2)*50%(JC taking KC)=69.25%

JC-30% winning the 2 comps+ 35%(KC winning)* 40%(KC taking JC) + 35(T winning 2)*45%(T taking JC)=59.75%

final 2 being JC-KC=29%, JC-T=30.75%, KC-T=40.25

JC has a 30% chance to beat either T or KC=18%(rounded up)
KC Has a 70% chance to beat JC and 50% tyler= 40.4%
Tyler has a 70% chance to beat JC and 50% KC=41.65%(rounded up)


I think Tyler is more likely to take JC than KC is to take JC, because Tyler could always say JC was his real final 2, and he has lied this whole competition anyway...



For anyone that wants to see arbitrary numbers to create a percentage for each to win....