averagejoe
You fell victim to one of the classic blunders.
Feel the same. Especially since we're still waiting for our last 2 first rounders to be more consistent.Rookies are not guaranteed,
I remember a decade-long study that looked at rookies. The number from that study that stood out to me was that only 8% of drafted rookies are better than the replacement value. Mathematically, that's less than 20 players in any given draft.