fastforward
Well-Known Member
Spotrac is telling you $210M over 5 years. That's an average of $42M per year. However the back end will be more expensive at maybe $46-$50M per year. That means the front end will be below the $42M average. Additionally this is an extension. Goff is already under contract for 2024 so that below $42M figure wouldn't apply until 2025. That suggests the 2024 value would be lower.Huh? Spotrac is pretty good at analyzing the contract trends in the NFL. Although they may have had Lamar a little low, I think they nailed Burrows. Although I really can’t remember much of those details now, so maybe I’m off.
At $150M/4 years i'm suggesting he has the $26.65M deal for 2024 with a 3 year extension for $123.35M...give or take. The extension would be worth the equivalent of $38M for 2025, $41M for 2026, and $44M in 2027 but those 3 figures would end up being lower because part of that money would boost the low 2024 figure. The Lions might be more generous but they're not going to throw that 2024 deal away.
I could, (and probably will), be way off. The willingness of GMs to throw money at QBs often surprises me. The Lions could decide to pay Goff $170M+ over the next 4 years but they'd be hurting themselves.