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blstoker
Bill Bergen for HoF!
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Positives:
Russell Wilson - Russell is currently leading the league in pass attempts, but despite that he's on pace to take the fewest sacks this season since his rookie year. He's on pace for 600 yards rushing & 4300 yards passing. He has at least 2 TD passes in each of his last 7 games - and could be looking at a 40 TD season (36 passing, 4 rushing if he continues his hot streak).
Jimmy Graham - One reason got Wilson's hot TD numbers of late is Jimmy Graham, who has scored his highest number of TDs since coming to Seattle and is on pace to have his best season since 2013. Though he hasn't been the open field threat this season (a few drops have limited him), he has score 9 TDs in the last 8 games.
Run Defense - Seattle has put some early season issues behind them - as they have shorn up their run defense in a big way. In the last 9 games, Seattle has allowed just over 80 yard rushing per game - and have held opposing RBs to just 60.9. RBs are averaging just 2.8 yards per carry over that span as well. Or in other words, our defense has made opposing RB rooms look even worse than ours (63.7 ypg, 3.3 ypc by RBs this season).
Negatives:
Leonard Fournette - There has been a lot of press about Fournette this season, and with 23.2 touches and 101.7 yards per game for the season (both are higher than Seattle's best output by a running back this season) there is plenty of reasons why this is. Jacksonville likes their running backs outside of FOurnette as well. 423 touches by RBs this season shows that Jacksonville will go to their backs often - about 2/3 of the time. Seattle will have to take the entire offensive backfield away and make Bortles beat them going downfield.
Calais Campbell - Campbell was an absolute thorn in the Seattle's side while was in Arizona, and his 64 tackles and 11.5 sacks against them are proof of that (most he's had against any team). He's having a monster year with a career high 12.5 sacks, which endmate Yannick Ngakoue has added 10. He's very experienced against Wilson, and that experience could go a long way in helping a very active Jacksonville DLine this week.
Pass Defense - Due to a lack of consistent movement in the running game, Seattle has relied on the pass very heavily this season. Jacksonville's defense has been the best against the pass this season, while their run defense has been bottom half all year. Despite a nice flash last week from Davis (4.0 ypc, but 1/3 of that on one run), I am not sold that Seattle will be able to take advantage of this defensive weakness. Wilson will have to find a way to beat the #1 pass defense, who also ball hawks (#2 in INTs). Jacksonville could be without Jalen Ramsey and Aaron Colvin in the defensive backfield (both listed as questionable), but until they are listed as out - just assume they're playing.
Matchups -
Seahawks front 7 vs. Jacksonville RBs - Seattle is going to focus on stopping the run - which is the natural reaction to facing a team that is so run heavy. Jacksonville is without Allen Robinson (since week 1) and Allen Hurns (since week 10) and so are going to run with Marqise Lee, Keelan Cole and a smattering of other WRs. So, if the front 7 takes the RB room of Jacksonville out of the game - Bortles will not have many weapons on the outside to work with - and the CBs and Ss will need to ensure that those few outside weapons remain uneffective.
Germain Ifedi vs. Campbell/Ngakoue - Ifedi has had a less than stellar year playing at RT this season, and this week will be another test to the young lineman. No matter who will be lining up opposite him, that end can get pressure on Wilson. Add in Ifedi's penchant for false starts, and he could have a negative effect on the Seahawks down and distance.
Frank Clark vs. Cam Robinson - Clark is having a great season this year, while Robinson is listed as questionable with an ankle injury. Whoever wins this matchup could go a long way in deciding how the offense of Jacksonville fares.
Overview:
This is the 2nd of 3 straight games for Seattle against teams who are top 10 on offense and on defense and they need to win to keep the NFC West within reach. Jacksonville looks to be a near carbon copy of what Seattle was back in 2012. If Seattle is to win this game they are going to have to completely stop the running game, and make Blake Bortles make game winning plays. If Seattle can play like they have the last 9 games (7-2 26.9 ppg/18.1 papg), they should win this game easily - but they have to make Jacksonville a passing team.
Russell Wilson - Russell is currently leading the league in pass attempts, but despite that he's on pace to take the fewest sacks this season since his rookie year. He's on pace for 600 yards rushing & 4300 yards passing. He has at least 2 TD passes in each of his last 7 games - and could be looking at a 40 TD season (36 passing, 4 rushing if he continues his hot streak).
Jimmy Graham - One reason got Wilson's hot TD numbers of late is Jimmy Graham, who has scored his highest number of TDs since coming to Seattle and is on pace to have his best season since 2013. Though he hasn't been the open field threat this season (a few drops have limited him), he has score 9 TDs in the last 8 games.
Run Defense - Seattle has put some early season issues behind them - as they have shorn up their run defense in a big way. In the last 9 games, Seattle has allowed just over 80 yard rushing per game - and have held opposing RBs to just 60.9. RBs are averaging just 2.8 yards per carry over that span as well. Or in other words, our defense has made opposing RB rooms look even worse than ours (63.7 ypg, 3.3 ypc by RBs this season).
Negatives:
Leonard Fournette - There has been a lot of press about Fournette this season, and with 23.2 touches and 101.7 yards per game for the season (both are higher than Seattle's best output by a running back this season) there is plenty of reasons why this is. Jacksonville likes their running backs outside of FOurnette as well. 423 touches by RBs this season shows that Jacksonville will go to their backs often - about 2/3 of the time. Seattle will have to take the entire offensive backfield away and make Bortles beat them going downfield.
Calais Campbell - Campbell was an absolute thorn in the Seattle's side while was in Arizona, and his 64 tackles and 11.5 sacks against them are proof of that (most he's had against any team). He's having a monster year with a career high 12.5 sacks, which endmate Yannick Ngakoue has added 10. He's very experienced against Wilson, and that experience could go a long way in helping a very active Jacksonville DLine this week.
Pass Defense - Due to a lack of consistent movement in the running game, Seattle has relied on the pass very heavily this season. Jacksonville's defense has been the best against the pass this season, while their run defense has been bottom half all year. Despite a nice flash last week from Davis (4.0 ypc, but 1/3 of that on one run), I am not sold that Seattle will be able to take advantage of this defensive weakness. Wilson will have to find a way to beat the #1 pass defense, who also ball hawks (#2 in INTs). Jacksonville could be without Jalen Ramsey and Aaron Colvin in the defensive backfield (both listed as questionable), but until they are listed as out - just assume they're playing.
Matchups -
Seahawks front 7 vs. Jacksonville RBs - Seattle is going to focus on stopping the run - which is the natural reaction to facing a team that is so run heavy. Jacksonville is without Allen Robinson (since week 1) and Allen Hurns (since week 10) and so are going to run with Marqise Lee, Keelan Cole and a smattering of other WRs. So, if the front 7 takes the RB room of Jacksonville out of the game - Bortles will not have many weapons on the outside to work with - and the CBs and Ss will need to ensure that those few outside weapons remain uneffective.
Germain Ifedi vs. Campbell/Ngakoue - Ifedi has had a less than stellar year playing at RT this season, and this week will be another test to the young lineman. No matter who will be lining up opposite him, that end can get pressure on Wilson. Add in Ifedi's penchant for false starts, and he could have a negative effect on the Seahawks down and distance.
Frank Clark vs. Cam Robinson - Clark is having a great season this year, while Robinson is listed as questionable with an ankle injury. Whoever wins this matchup could go a long way in deciding how the offense of Jacksonville fares.
Overview:
This is the 2nd of 3 straight games for Seattle against teams who are top 10 on offense and on defense and they need to win to keep the NFC West within reach. Jacksonville looks to be a near carbon copy of what Seattle was back in 2012. If Seattle is to win this game they are going to have to completely stop the running game, and make Blake Bortles make game winning plays. If Seattle can play like they have the last 9 games (7-2 26.9 ppg/18.1 papg), they should win this game easily - but they have to make Jacksonville a passing team.
