SB LI Champ

[rmilia1]

Every year it's different. If the Pats shut down the Fabulous Falcons will you consider them elite? Or will the narrative be: "Atlanta offense just did not play well, they beat themselves," blah, blah

If Atlanta plays average they'll score 30+. If they play poorly they'll score 24-28. If they play well they're dropping 38+. There are no other statistically viable possibilities unless there are injuries involved OR unless NE decides to abandon philosophy and somehow creates 5 or 6 sacks

 

[Dude]

If Atlanta plays average they'll score 30+. If they play poorly they'll score 24-28. If they play well they're dropping 38+. There are no other statistically viable possibilities unless there are injuries involved OR unless NE decides to abandon philosophy and somehow creates 5 or 6 sacks

Funny, problem is statistics reflect the past, they do not predict the future.

 

[rmilia1]

Funny, problem is statistics reflect the past, they do not predict the future.

They reflect probable outcomes for the future. U mean it's theoretical possible Atlanta wins 65-0 too but I like to deal on likelihood. The likelihood given both teams defensive efficiencies and both teams offensive output is a game played in the 30s

 

[jerseyhawksfan79]

I think this will be an excellent game through and through. Pats get #5.

NE 27
ATL 24

 

[jerseyhawksfan79]

Since Brady returned from suspension, Atl was #1 scoring team at 33 ppg, and NE was no#2 at 30 ppg , so a 3 point difference. 3 more days till judgement day

Impressive feats

 

[jerseyhawksfan79]

If Atlanta plays average they'll score 30+. If they play poorly they'll score 24-28. If they play well they're dropping 38+. There are no other statistically viable possibilities unless there are injuries involved OR unless NE decides to abandon philosophy and somehow creates 5 or 6 sacks

If the Falcons play poorly, they'll score less then 17pts. There's a reason why the Pats gave up less then 15 a game. Their D is pretty good and you've completely underestimated them.

 

[rmilia1]

If the Falcons play poorly, they'll score less then 17pts. There's a reason why the Pats gave up less then 15 a game. Their D is pretty good and you've completely underestimated them.

No its really not. Their ppg allowed is a function of playing the 32nd ranked schedule and facing a horrendous line u of QBS. I'd say NE is a slightly above average D and that's barely. Their adjusted stats are mediocre at best although they are trending up slightly

 

[rmilia1]

To further my point. If you look at the QBS the Pats played this year and just look at the guys you could now make a case for being even average or above you get Taylor, Palmer, Flacco, Palmer, Dalton, Wilson, Tannehill. That constitutes 7 of the Pats 16 games. In those 7 games NE allowed nearly 23 ppg which is still ok but nowhere near elite and not even really good and none of those 7 games played came vs a team with anywhere near the offensive capability of Atlanta. Yes they beat up on Jones, Kessler, Kaepernick, Petty, Fitzpatrick, Goff/Keenum, Moore, Osweiler, Siemian etc but that's relative as it does not take a good defense to do that.

 

[Chewbaccer]

Falcons by 8 TDs.

 

[Ojb81]

True dat but he has found love on the Hoop, so I'm happy for him. Partner is a SD fan, that's why you switch teams from Tenn or vice-versa. He sent me a Xmas card / HD is on the left

 

[Chewbaccer]

If the Falcons play poorly, they'll score less then 17pts. There's a reason why the Pats gave up less then 15 a game. Their D is pretty good and you've completely underestimated them.

Wasn't the Seahawks D supposed to be pretty good?

 

[rmilia1]

Wasn't the Seahawks D supposed to be pretty good?

The Seahawks defense is substantially better than the Pats. 5th ranked to 16th ranked

 

[Chewbaccer]

The Seahawks defense is substantially better than the Pats. 5th ranked to 16th ranked

The Falcons aren't gonna get a lot of respect until they beat the Pats. Some have real reasons, but most just have "It's the Patriots, they're gonna win."

Personally, I was far more nervous about the Packers game than I am for the SB.

 

[rmilia1]

The Falcons aren't gonna get a lot of respect until they beat the Pats. Some have real reasons, but most just have "It's the Patriots, they're gonna win."

Personally, I was far more nervous about the Packers game than I am for the SB.

I'm more nervous for this one. Despite the Pats D being HUGELY overrated it's still better than the Packers was and I respect Brady a ton. Plus NE is healthy. I just think it's comical how people legitimately think this is a great D New England is sporting when even a cursory look tells you it's pretty average. It'll become abundantly clear by about 730 CST when Atlanta has 20+ at halftime

 

[Chewbaccer]

I'm more nervous for this one. Despite the Pats D being HUGELY overrated it's still better than the Packers was and I respect Brady a ton. Plus NE is healthy. I just think it's comical how people legitimately think this is a great D New England is sporting when even a cursory look tells you it's pretty average. It'll become abundantly clear by about 730 CST when Atlanta has 20+ at halftime

I got caught up in that lame ass run the table statement made by Rodgers, and then how they pulled one out of their ass against Dallas, I was nervous. It ended pretty quickly after kickoff though.

I really expect a close game, but predicting 45-27 Falcons seems to get the Pats fans riled up, so that's what I'm sticking with on here.

 

[Ojb81]

If Atlanta plays average they'll score 30+. If they play poorly they'll score 24-28. If they play well they're dropping 38+. There are no other statistically viable possibilities unless there are injuries involved OR unless NE decides to abandon philosophy and somehow creates 5 or 6 sacks

Negative. Play average against new england in the playoffs and you most certainly aren't scoring 30+, you are incredibly delusional about atlanta's prospects in this game.

 

[Ojb81]

Pats win 38-24

 

[darken65]

Falcons 34
Pats 31

 

[rmilia1]

I got caught up in that lame ass run the table statement made by Rodgers, and then how they pulled one out of their ass against Dallas, I was nervous. It ended pretty quickly after kickoff though.

I really expect a close game, but predicting 45-27 Falcons seems to get the Pats fans riled up, so that's what I'm sticking with on here.

I think it'll be close. New England has a legit offense.

 

[rmilia1]

Falcons 34
Pats 31

You stOle my score! Lol