Which RBs FF value went up/down the most with the 2024 free agent frenzy?

[SmokingMonkey]

Hello everybody.
Your resident rookie hater reporting for duty.
Got a question for the board:

Kept hearing how the 2024 RB draft class basically has no starters or RB1. Think it was a FOX Sports article that even said about the RB: "No Clear Stars."

So why are our dynasty drafts leaning fairly heavily on RB who may not amount to anything?

A month ago I actually made a wish to a genie and asked that people would overdraft Corum as much as possible in my rookie drafts, and my wish came true!

 

[TREFF]

A month ago I actually made a wish to a genie and asked that people would overdraft Corum as much as possible in my rookie drafts, and my wish came true!

well I totally agree with that statement..Corum was overdrafted everywhere except D2

 

[averagejoe]

They don't, they are leaning heavily on WRs.

In D2, there 27 WR drafted (i think) but almost as many RB. If the best RB is a long shot, what does that say about the 10th, 15th or 25th RB drafted?

 

[SmokingMonkey]

In D2, there 27 WR drafted (i think) but almost as many RB. For a class that even the top RB will be nothing more than a RB2, that just seems like wasting picks.

you taking round 6 and round 7 WRs over the round 4 and round 5 RBs?
I get that they weren't a talented bunch, but they're still the RBs that are available to acquire, I'll drop some stats in a moment

 

[HaroldSeattle]

In D2, there 27 WR drafted (i think) but almost as many RB. If the best RB is a long shot, what does that say about the 10th, 15th or 25th RB drafted?

Well in a 16 team league every thing after 2.8 is a what the heck pick.

 

[leftypower]

The more and more pass happy the league gets, the more the market is flooded with viable receivers, lessoning their fantasy value individually, and fewer viable runners, increasing their value- simple supply and demand

That trend is the reason why RB's who can get touches are gold...not the opposite

I don't disagree - yes, RB's who get 20 touches a game are gold - there just aren't many of them coming in anymore - NFL teams seem to leaning towards the committee approach in drafts. If you can get an RB who fits that 20 touch bill - take him. ...

 

[averagejoe]

Truth be told, i drafted a RB too. And he's buried behind CMC. But i have legit reasons (and math) behind my pick.

 

[SmokingMonkey]

56% of the WRs drafted were taken in the 1st two rounds, compared to only 36% of the RBs
22% of the WRs were taken in rounds 4 & 5, compared to 40% of the RBs

there's only so much talent at WR, people waited and used more of their less valuable picks on RB, so even tho the total was similar, if you look at it through a weighted lens, WR dominated this year's rookie draft compared to RBs

 

[SmokingMonkey]

Truth be told, i drafted a RB too. And he's buried behind CMC. But i have legit reasons (and math) behind my pick.

I waited a full round later than you to take a RB, and I also took one buried behind CMC. Unfortunately for you, this time next year, your guy will also be buried behind mine

 

[averagejoe]

View attachment 361825

Monkey has charts!!!
Love visual aids.
I have new appreciation for Monkey.

 

[eaglesnut]

Rachaad White was a rookie 2yrs ago, so that would make a lot of sense how you missed him in last year's rookie drafts everywhere

I just meant in redraft

 

[SmokingMonkey]

Monkey has charts!!!
Love visual aids.
I have new appreciation for Monkey.

you won't see that very often on these boards because I try to use FF as an escape from my real job. still have former co-workers from 2 jobs ago that text me excel questions, lol

 

[TREFF]

I don't disagree - yes, RB's who get 20 touches a game are gold - there just aren't many of them coming in anymore - NFL teams seem to leaning towards the committee approach in drafts. If you can get an RB who fits that 20 touch bill - take him. ...

Well heck these days that golden benchmark is more like 12-15. 20 is just crazy outside of those very precious few.

 

[averagejoe]

Well heck these days that golden benchmark is more like 12-15. 20 is just crazy outside of those very precious few.

2023 NFL Scrimmage Stats | Pro-Football-Reference.com

Check out the 2023 NFL Scrimmage Stats Stats and more on Pro-football-reference.com

www.pro-football-reference.com

Just skimmed over it, but looks like only 3 had 20 touches last year.
CMC, Barkley (missed gms) and Jacobs (missed gms)
White was on the threshhold.

 

[leftypower]

2023 NFL Scrimmage Stats | Pro-Football-Reference.com

Check out the 2023 NFL Scrimmage Stats Stats and more on Pro-football-reference.com

www.pro-football-reference.com

Just skimmed over it, but looks like only 3 had 20 touches last year.
CMC, Barkley (missed gms) and Jacobs (missed gms)
White was on the threshhold.

Is that including catches - those count (in my mind) as touches ?

 

[averagejoe]

Is that including catches - those count (in my mind) as touches ?

Yes, i sorted by "touches".
20 touches a game multiplied by 17 games is 340 touches.
320 for 16 games.
300 for 15.
280 for 14.
260 for 13.

 

[leftypower]

Yes, i sorted by "touches".
20 touches a game multiplied by 17 games is 340 touches.
320 for 16 games.
300 for 15.
280 for 14.
260 for 13.

Short list for sure. ....

 

[TREFF]

2023 NFL Scrimmage Stats | Pro-Football-Reference.com

Check out the 2023 NFL Scrimmage Stats Stats and more on Pro-football-reference.com

www.pro-football-reference.com

Just skimmed over it, but looks like only 3 had 20 touches last year.
CMC, Barkley (missed gms) and Jacobs (missed gms)
White was on the threshhold.

More evidence that Henry is still the king. Not on that list, arguably the worst line in the league..#2 leading rusher

 

[Barilko]

Hello everybody.
Your resident rookie hater reporting for duty.
Got a question for the board:

Kept hearing how the 2024 RB draft class basically has no starters or RB1. Think it was a FOX Sports article that even said about the RB: "No Clear Stars."

So why are our dynasty drafts leaning fairly heavily on RB who may not amount to anything?

We can't help ourselves

 

[averagejoe]

Just to follow up, looked at my spreadsheet data and divided the touches (rush attempts + receptions) and there were only 4 that averaged 20 touches per game:

21.7 Kyren Williams
21.2 CMC
20.8 Josh Jacobs
20.6 Saquon Barkley

Honorable mention to:
19.8 Rachaad White
19.6 Kamara
19.1 Etienne

Also worth noting only Etienne and White played all 17 games.

Speaking of which... of the RB who were healthy enough to play in (or get credit for) all 17 games:
Henry, Mixon & Pollard averaged 18+
Breece Hall alone averaged 17+
Bijan, Najee & Chuba averaged 16+
Singletary & Ford averaged 14+