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POLL Top 10 poll: #27 player ever

Who is the #27 player in baseball history? Vote for 3!!


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calsnowskier

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I think you are kinda answering your own question. If the widely considered best catchers of all time have abysmal WARs, I think that pretty much makes the case for me that WAR doesn’t work for the position as a whole.
 

MilkSpiller22

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I agree that there is no perfect stat and WAR definitely has its flaws but baseball is a stat-centric sport and WAR, with its flaws, is a good starting point to figure out which players should duke it out in the next 10 spots. Even if Collins' WAR is 20 points too high, he would be one of 6 position players with a career WAR north of 100. Bench, with the highest WAR among careers, is at 75.1. Are you suggesting that the intangibles are unaccounted in the equivalent of 25 to 35 WAR? That's huge! Berra's WAR is 59.5. These 6 that I referenced have career WARs double (or very close) that number!
Bench's best offensive season (1972) saw him post a 8.6 WAR. Berra's best offensive season (1956) saw him post a 6.2 WAR. Let's just say, for the sake of argument, that these intangibles somehow give each of these guys two more best season equivalent WARs. That puts Bench at 92.3 and Berra at 71.9. Further, let's say that no other position player brought any kind of intangibles that was missed in the WAR calculations. That still puts 13 position players with better WAR than Bench and 39 position players with better WAR than Berra.
Seems way too soon for me to vote for them and for them to be even considered.
IMHO

another problem with war is that it compares every stat to the set replacement value...

what this means is that if there is a stat that is light one year and player is good at that, he will get a bigger adjustment...

for example... what if the set replacement value HR is 30 and the doubles is 20...

Player A has 35 HRs and 15 Doubles
Player B has 25 HRs and 25 Doubles-

Player B would get a larger adjustment on just the HRs and Doubles...


the numbers i used were not great... but point is still made... i hope...
 
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LHG

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I think you are kinda answering your own question. If the widely considered best catchers of all time have abysmal WARs, I think that pretty much makes the case for me that WAR doesn’t work for the position as a whole.
That doesn't make sense to me. You are saying, based on how I'm reading it, that the fact that WAR doesn't work because it doesn't value a player you feel like it should. Just because you say that Bench should be as valued as, say, Mel Ott, you've given nothing of substance to back that up other than the common trope that catchers do more than other position players, thus they have to be valued that high. By what standard? What did each specific catcher do that points to that conclusion? clayton mentioned that Bench was good at controlling the running game. Great! That is something at least. Does that mean the deficiencies in WAR calculations really mean he was worth at least 17 more WAR then given on that basis alone?
 

Clayton

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That doesn't make sense to me. You are saying, based on how I'm reading it, that the fact that WAR doesn't work because it doesn't value a player you feel like it should. Just because you say that Bench should be as valued as, say, Mel Ott, you've given nothing of substance to back that up other than the common trope that catchers do more than other position players, thus they have to be valued that high. By what standard? What did each specific catcher do that points to that conclusion? clayton mentioned that Bench was good at controlling the running game. Great! That is something at least. Does that mean the deficiencies in WAR calculations really mean he was worth at least 17 more WAR then given on that basis alone?
I have mentioned about the whole Mel Ott park short HR distance to be a curious thing. He was known as the master of the Chinese Home Run.
 

MilkSpiller22

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ERA #1ERA #5WHIP #1WHIP #5WAR #1WAR#5BPOT
Kershaw
5​
2​
4​
2​
3​
5​
1​
Seaver
3​
4​
3​
5​
3​
8​
1​
alexander
4​
3​
5​
6​
6​
7​
0​
Gibson
1​
6​
1​
2​
3​
4​
1​
verlander
2​
4​
5​
2​
4​
4​
1​
koufax
5​
0​
4​
2​
2​
3​
2​
nichols
0​
6​
3​
7​
4​
5​
NA


Gibson- 9 WS games 9 CG
Koufax- 8 WS games .95 ERA
 

calsnowskier

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That doesn't make sense to me. You are saying, based on how I'm reading it, that the fact that WAR doesn't work because it doesn't value a player you feel like it should. Just because you say that Bench should be as valued as, say, Mel Ott, you've given nothing of substance to back that up other than the common trope that catchers do more than other position players, thus they have to be valued that high. By what standard? What did each specific catcher do that points to that conclusion? clayton mentioned that Bench was good at controlling the running game. Great! That is something at least. Does that mean the deficiencies in WAR calculations really mean he was worth at least 17 more WAR then given on that basis alone?
You are not going to rank RBs based on their QBR. It is a stat that does not reflect their value of a running back.

There are also very few (any?) stats that reflect the quality of a center. But using a QBR for a center doesn’t make any sense whatsoever.

Trent Williams is in the discussion for AT LEAST the best LT of his time, maybe the best ever. What stat reflects that?
 

MilkSpiller22

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You are not going to rank RBs based on their QBR. It is a stat that does not reflect their value of a running back.

There are also very few (any?) stats that reflect the quality of a center. But using a QBR for a center doesn’t make any sense whatsoever.

Trent Williams is in the discussion for AT LEAST the best LT of his time, maybe the best ever. What stat reflects that?


football is different because of the ALL PRO honour... sure you are relying on others to tell you what good is....

catchers have nothing that well represents them compared to the rest of the league...

offensively, everyone should be compared equally, never liked how oWAR gives a positional bonus...

the problem is measuring defense...
 

calsnowskier

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2 of my top 3 are current in the “advance” zone for this round. I will take that.
 

msgkings322

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Still a ton of Koufax over Kershaw votes which make no sense to me
 
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msgkings322

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I think you are kinda answering your own question. If the widely considered best catchers of all time have abysmal WARs, I think that pretty much makes the case for me that WAR doesn’t work for the position as a whole.
An issue with just this process itself is we'd probably have voted in a catcher already if Berra and Bench weren't splitting votes. Not at all a complaint just interesting.
 

LHG

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An issue with just this process itself is we'd probably have voted in a catcher already if Berra and Bench weren't splitting votes. Not at all a complaint just interesting.
And that is the other thing that really puzzles me on this catcher conversation. Bench's WAR is 75.1 and Berra's is 59.5. How are the two equal?
If someone says 3 MVPs. Have you looked at the guys whom Berra beat for those MVPs? For example, 1951 - Ted Williams hit .318/.464/.556 (1.019 OPS). He came in 13th in voting. Seven other position players got MVP votes, none of which were higher than 6th place, with an OPS higher than Berra's. Tell me how the MVP award wasn't a popularity contest back then.
 

LHG

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You are not going to rank RBs based on their QBR. It is a stat that does not reflect their value of a running back.

There are also very few (any?) stats that reflect the quality of a center. But using a QBR for a center doesn’t make any sense whatsoever.

Trent Williams is in the discussion for AT LEAST the best LT of his time, maybe the best ever. What stat reflects that?
I've never leaned in to football stats like baseball so I'm not equipped to get your analogy. Besides, it is a total different sport.
 

LHG

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Still a ton of Koufax over Kershaw votes which make no sense to me
Only person who will put up a defense of Koufax over Kershaw is a guy who votes for neither. It would be nice to hear why those voting for Koufax are doing so over Kershaw.
 

MilkSpiller22

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Only person who will put up a defense of Koufax over Kershaw is a guy who votes for neither. It would be nice to hear why those voting for Koufax are doing so over Kershaw.

Actually think my chart made a good case for Koufax over Kershaw.

2 BPOT seasons and an insane ws era. To add to 2 players with similar lengths of being the best in the league.
 

LHG

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Actually think my chart made a good case for Koufax over Kershaw.

2 BPOT seasons and an insane ws era. To add to 2 players with similar lengths of being the best in the league.
Except Kershaw was able to be dominant for many more seasons than Koufax and, while Koufax wasn't able to pitch for very long, his first 7 seasons were a lot more pedestrian than anything Kershaw has done in the regular season.
 

calsnowskier

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An issue with just this process itself is we'd probably have voted in a catcher already if Berra and Bench weren't splitting votes. Not at all a complaint just interesting.
I see the argument, but there wasn’t an issue of Bonds and Mays splitting votes. Or Ruth and Gehrig. Bench and Yogi weren’t getting any attention at all until just the last couple rounds.
 

MilkSpiller22

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Except Kershaw was able to be dominant for many more seasons than Koufax and, while Koufax wasn't able to pitch for very long, his first 7 seasons were a lot more pedestrian than anything Kershaw has done in the regular season.

Didn’t say it’s my view. Only pointed you to my chart which does make a good case. And if you look deeper you can make a better case.
 

msgkings322

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And that is the other thing that really puzzles me on this catcher conversation. Bench's WAR is 75.1 and Berra's is 59.5. How are the two equal?
If someone says 3 MVPs. Have you looked at the guys whom Berra beat for those MVPs? For example, 1951 - Ted Williams hit .318/.464/.556 (1.019 OPS). He came in 13th in voting. Seven other position players got MVP votes, none of which were higher than 6th place, with an OPS higher than Berra's. Tell me how the MVP award wasn't a popularity contest back then.
WAR is very flawed as we have discussed. Post season leadership has to count, Yogi was a 10x WS winner, 18x all star, same OPS+ as Bench, higher OPS, one more MVP (we can play games with who 'shoulda' won that almost every year, although I do agree some years are worse than others).

I totally get Bench over Berra arguments though, to me it's a coin flip.
 

calsnowskier

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Except Kershaw was able to be dominant for many more seasons than Koufax and, while Koufax wasn't able to pitch for very long, his first 7 seasons were a lot more pedestrian than anything Kershaw has done in the regular season.
Vogey is a modern (some-what) comp to Koufax (only about 27 levels lower). He was a journeyman pitcher until he finally figured it out for the last few years of his career where he took the HUGE step to be one of the best pitchers in the game for a short period. Vogey was a legit AS level pitcher for 2 or 3 years where Koufax was a legit AS pitcher for 5 or 6 seasons. And Koufax’s “bad” years were much better than Vogey’s “bad” years.
 
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