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Survivor

MilkSpiller22

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She's a social threat, for sure.

The game appears to be trending to making late moves.
Make an early move, like Genevieve, and you get a target as a resume builder.

That puts Rachel at the top for me.
She's got block a vote and an idol.
Get to 6 or 7, use the block to get rid of someone she wants then use the idol to protect next round.
She should easily make final 4.

I am still hoping Teeny dominated the edit because she is the only interesting OUTSIDE story...

i dont want her to win, i think Caroline and Rachel are playing the 2 best games...
 

calsnowskier

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I am still hoping Teeny dominated the edit because she is the only interesting OUTSIDE story...

i dont want her to win, i think Caroline and Rachel are playing the 2 best games...
From what we see, Rachel is playing the best game.

Edit aside, how I see the players, and their game play…

Rachel
Gen
Caroline
Andy
Teeny
Sue
Sam
 

MilkSpiller22

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From what we see, Rachel is playing the best game.

Edit aside, how I see the players, and their game play…

Rachel
Gen
Caroline
Andy
Teeny
Sue
Sam


i have caroline above Gen... Gen was the mastermind of some big moves... but they didnt make great sense
 

calsnowskier

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My first official final 3 prediction…

Andy
Teeny
Sue

This is a horrible final 3, but based on edit (I expect Teeny to win), I need to find a final 3 where she can win. My only problem with this is I am not sure who among those 3 can beat any of the other 4 in fire. But we have not seen any fire making by anyone yet, so it is hard to judge anyone on that yet.
 

Sparhawk

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My first official final 3 prediction…

Andy
Teeny
Sue

This is a horrible final 3, but based on edit (I expect Teeny to win), I need to find a final 3 where she can win. My only problem with this is I am not sure who among those 3 can beat any of the other 4 in fire. But we have not seen any fire making by anyone yet, so it is hard to judge anyone on that yet.
Add Rachel to that group and Teeny beats Rachel in fire making.
That would give her the win.
 

MilkSpiller22

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My first official final 3 prediction…

Andy
Teeny
Sue

This is a horrible final 3, but based on edit (I expect Teeny to win), I need to find a final 3 where she can win. My only problem with this is I am not sure who among those 3 can beat any of the other 4 in fire. But we have not seen any fire making by anyone yet, so it is hard to judge anyone on that yet.

not sure where you randomly picked these three... its like you just grabbed 3 randoms...


its going to be an all girl final 3, and gen is the 5th...

the final 3 of course all depends on who wins the final comp...

so i see the final 4 to be Sue, Caroline, Teeny and Rachel

if rachel wins the final comp she will take sue, Caroline and Teeny will go to fire

if Teeny wins- she will take Caroline- Rachel and Sue go to fire

if Sue wins- she will take Caroline- Teeny and Rachel go to fire

Caroline wins- she will take Sue- Teeny and Rachel go to fire...


for the life of me, i cant see how Teeny beats Rachel or Caroline...

But we still have 3 more evictions for someone to make a big move... and steal the game for themselves...
 

calsnowskier

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not sure where you randomly picked these three... its like you just grabbed 3 randoms...


its going to be an all girl final 3, and gen is the 5th...

the final 3 of course all depends on who wins the final comp...

so i see the final 4 to be Sue, Caroline, Teeny and Rachel

if rachel wins the final comp she will take sue, Caroline and Teeny will go to fire

if Teeny wins- she will take Caroline- Rachel and Sue go to fire

if Sue wins- she will take Caroline- Teeny and Rachel go to fire

Caroline wins- she will take Sue- Teeny and Rachel go to fire...


for the life of me, i cant see how Teeny beats Rachel or Caroline...

But we still have 3 more evictions for someone to make a big move... and steal the game for themselves...
A lot of it is based on the edit. Andy and Teeny have been getting a lot of diary time. Teeny is getting it undeservedly, which is why it has really caught my attention. Andy has gotten it because he is constantly TRYING, but failing. Sue, also, has been getting lots of screen time, but not a lot of diary time, surprisingly. That make me think she may be the sacrificial lamb brought to the final tribal.

Rachel and Gen are both playing good games. But they are not getting edits that you would expect from players as active as they have been who actually win. MAYBE they doing a subverted edit for Rachel, showing her dominate but not overdoing her screen time as to not make it obvious she is the winner. That is certainly possible.

Caroline has not gotten an overblown edit NOR has she been shown constantly outplaying everyone. I acknowledge she appears to be playing a good game, but I don’t see her as a threat to win BASED ENTIRELY ON HER EDIT.
 

MilkSpiller22

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A lot of it is based on the edit. Andy and Teeny have been getting a lot of diary time. Teeny is getting it undeservedly, which is why it has really caught my attention. Andy has gotten it because he is constantly TRYING, but failing. Sue, also, has been getting lots of screen time, but not a lot of diary time, surprisingly. That make me think she may be the sacrificial lamb brought to the final tribal.

Rachel and Gen are both playing good games. But they are not getting edits that you would expect from players as active as they have been who actually win. MAYBE they doing a subverted edit for Rachel, showing her dominate but not overdoing her screen time as to not make it obvious she is the winner. That is certainly possible.

Caroline has not gotten an overblown edit NOR has she been shown constantly outplaying everyone. I acknowledge she appears to be playing a good game, but I don’t see her as a threat to win BASED ENTIRELY ON HER EDIT.

I understand. I just don’t see a way Andy will be top 4.

And I really don’t think gen is playing a good game. At all. Both her mastermind moves both were bad for her strategically and both backfired on her. She just has made the moves while others haven’t.
 

calsnowskier

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I understand. I just don’t see a way Andy will be top 4.

And I really don’t think gen is playing a good game. At all. Both her mastermind moves both were bad for her strategically and both backfired on her. She just has made the moves while others haven’t.
I agree that Andy SHOULDNT make top 3. I agree that it looks like it will be a girl top 5.

But again, the EDIT likes Andy. Why would the producers have invested so much screen time on him if we weren’t supposed to be familiar with him at the end.
 

ROMOTOOWENS

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Spoiler filled so dont read if u havent seen it.


Oh wow. What an episode. Great plan definitely. Gen was right. There were so many ways that could have gone wrong. My first thought was well Sam has a good shot at immunity and that would blow the whole plan up. Im pulling for Rachel so thankfully she won immunity. Anybody catch her slip though when she was talking about winning and she said it was great having the immunity idol. She said Idol instead of necklace.

I swear if Teeny wins this season I will be really pissed. To me she basically told the other 3 that she should have been taken and called Sam stupid because he might have been able to flip her. Then in tribal Teeny, Sue, Caroline basically just kind of let Andy know he was 5th in their group. Operation Italy - best Survivor move in a long time. Props to Andy. Wondering if Teeny told her group that Gen for sure had the idol. Also liked the way Sam told Gen to play it after the votes were cast. I thought it was stupid at first, but maybe in some way he low key was trying to make Gen look like a bigger threat for the future.

So many layers to that move. I cant imagine the mental toll this game puts on the players.
 

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In my mind, it's Rachel vs Genivieve, Sam, and Andy now.
One of them is getting to final tribal and should win.
Two of them should be going home over the next two votes.

Rachel has the most power with her block a vote and idol.
Just needs to use them correctly.

Wost case scenario for Rachel is if one of those three gets to the final four and beats Rachel in firemaking to win the game.
 

All-Star Benchwarmer

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Sue and Teeny will probably end up as goats in the final four. They haven't done much and it's too late to build a resume. Rachel will probably drive the next vote due to her idol and stop a vote, and I'm guessing it will be Andy or Genevieve out next. Andy was the leader of Operation Italy. Teeny just seems bitter and petty.

I really wish the remaining cast would drag Sue into the Ocean and wash her. She'd probably float away though, due to her plastic boobs. The skinnier she gets, the more pronounced all of her plastic surgery is.
 

BigKen

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Sue is next to be chopped.

Final double death trap next week.

Rachel will be blindsided and be a surprise juror.

Sam wins the $750K
 

ROMOTOOWENS

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Geniveve has some bad bug bites going on right now it looks like.
 

MilkSpiller22

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In my mind, it's Rachel vs Genivieve, Sam, and Andy now.
One of them is getting to final tribal and should win.
Two of them should be going home over the next two votes.

Rachel has the most power with her block a vote and idol.
Just needs to use them correctly.

Wost case scenario for Rachel is if one of those three gets to the final four and beats Rachel in firemaking to win the game.


andy jumps though every week... he is actually a good player... has been very strategic for a while... he just has a very weird anxiety and it affects him sometimes....

Sam is a a typical floater though... him and sierra controlled their tribe, but once the merge happened, he never really was able to play the game well...

i still think Rachel and Andy have a real connection... so i dont think it is rachel vs those three...

i also just cant see Gen making it to the final 3, she is too big of a target with her moves...

i will be surprised of Gen is not taken out next week....
 

ROMOTOOWENS

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I did think Caroline was a strategic threat but i couldnt see her winning any challenges or making fire. It wouldnt surprise me if Andy pulled out a challenge win. He is starting to fare pretty well in them.

Kyle - the producers really didnt give him much of an edit. The women made him sound like an ahole last night.

Ive been on Rachel since week 3. Has she really done anything very strategic yet though? Yes she has won some challenges. She has found an idol and won an advantage. I think she is super smart , good in challenges , good social player. Strategic though ? Her Shot In the Dark play was good. I just cant remember her really devising any blindsides or any other big plans. I mean really she has been on the wrong side of a few votes. Strategy wise she falls behind Gen and Andy to me. JMO. Still she has a solid resume with her wins and social game. I still think she needs a move and it would be an easy win. I have a weird feeling Sue is going to spank somebody making fire.
 
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