Survivor

[calsnowskier]

a couple things...

the Kyle Camilla secret alliance is great... BUT, they are not playing for the both of them... they are playing for one of them... which one, they dont know... but they dont want to be in the final 3 together... as it actually hurts their game to be sitting with each other... I do think Kyle is the Alpha of the group, as they would not succeed in their plans if Kyle wasnt situated where he is...

so in game play, Kyle is clearly playing the best game right now.... and if he is in the final three he should win...


here is my new order of most likely to win list based on game play and game play alone(of course the edit shows me the gameplay i think they are playing)

1. Kyle- i just dont see a way for him to lose if he makes it to the finals

2. Joe- his "boys" are just too loyal to him... i dont get why they play with the kid gloves around him, but they do...

3. Camilla- she is the strategist of the season, but played the decoy role in the biggest move in the game so far... getting out Shauhin while creating a puppet master feel was all kyle... not sure if Camilla can even use this move in her STORY...

4. Eva- i didnt realize that the whole cast doesnt see her as a potential winner... i really thought this is the year of the autism and if she made it to the finals they would just GIVE it to her...

5. Mitch, he is on an island right now... and i am not talking about fiji... he is well liked by everyone... as he is playing the best social game... but he has not done much other than just survive, and he doesnt have an alliance in the jury to help him out... he is the LETS BRING TO THE FINAL THREE guy... but this season is so loyal based, that Joe and Eva will bring Kyle and Kyle needs one of him or Camilla to be in the final three, otherwise all his work will just not be seen... so Mitch has no chance to be final three... and really has to be the next out...

That’s kinda how I see it, but I think I would move Joe down. He has been made the fool by Kyle on multiple occasions. Hard to sell the fool as the season winner. I also don’t think they have shown Camilla doing anything outside of being Kyle’s main weapon.

Kyle

Camilla

Joe
Eva

Mitch

I think each of the pairs NEED their partner in the jury so they have an advocate and so they can claim all their play for themself. We know K&C realize this, but J&E are not playing a strategic game, so they won’t play that way. I think J&E both make it to the final 3 against K or C.

 

[MilkSpiller22]

That’s kinda how I see it, but I think I would move Joe down. He has been made the fool by Kyle on multiple occasions. Hard to sell the fool as the season winner. I also don’t think they have shown Camilla doing anything outside of being Kyle’s main weapon.

Kyle

Camilla

Joe
Eva

Mitch

I think each of the pairs NEED their partner in the jury so they have an advocate and so they can claim all their play for themself. We know K&C realize this, but J&E are not playing a strategic game, so they won’t play that way. I think J&E both make it to the final 3 against K or C.

its not about the advocation, its about the potential split vote...

the jury interviews are enough of the advocation anyone needs...

but Kyle is the only one that has a full story right now... at least that i see....

but Joe is loved by his followers so much though, that he is a tough one to sit next to no matter what...

I think the only person who would vote for Eva is Joe...

 

[MilkSpiller22]

That’s kinda how I see it, but I think I would move Joe down. He has been made the fool by Kyle on multiple occasions. Hard to sell the fool as the season winner. I also don’t think they have shown Camilla doing anything outside of being Kyle’s main weapon.

Kyle

Camilla

Joe
Eva

Mitch

I think each of the pairs NEED their partner in the jury so they have an advocate and so they can claim all their play for themself. We know K&C realize this, but J&E are not playing a strategic game, so they won’t play that way. I think J&E both make it to the final 3 against K or C.

Also, i disagree that Eva on the jury is best for Joe's game... it really depends... Joe's game is loyalty... he can still make that claim, even though he voted for David and Shauhin... if he is responsible for Eva being kicked out, then his game totally falls apart...

Even if Joe is not responsible for Eva's game, his story gets weakened drastically because he could not get any of his final 3 into the finals... hurts the LOYAL game no matter what...

Eva's game on the other hand needs Joe in the jury...

 

[MilkSpiller22]

and kyle needs joe in the final 3 now... just to see the head explode moment...