Geno will not be on the current deal if he's the starter in 2025, which I will bet he is. You gotta take into consideration the chronology of how the off-season goes. Free agency happens well before the draft, and the NFLPA will never let it be the other way around. We simply are not going to kick Geno to the curb and essentially go into the draft without any kind of experienced QB, and we are not going to gulp down Geno's dead cap hit just to turn around and pay even more $ for a quality veteran. It's not happening.
"Big money" is very subjective, and I think they'll get an extension done that makes Geno's 2025 cap hit no more than 12% of the cap, maybe less. If you cut him before the 2025 roster bonus kicks in, it's a dead cap hit of $13.5M. If he plays out the current deal (not happening), it's a cap hit of $44M because of those $6M in escalators that will be included in the roster bonus for next year. A 12% cap hit is probably going to be around $33M for 2025, and I suspect they can get under that. That makes him probably middle of the pack for QB cap cost, and that's not a bad deal at all when you have no clue what the alternative might be but pretty sure it would be a downgrade unless you REALLY want to spend "big money" on a QB. And even then, you might lose the bidding war.
Always easy to recommend risky courses of action when someone else will be held accountable. Macdonald isn't going to make some big gamble at the most important position. It's just not what NFL teams do. Even if we make some huge trade in the draft and get Cam Ward, you can have him watch for a year or 2 and be just fine cap-wise.
Agreed. And people saying go get Sam Darnold? WHY!? His season was basically IDENTICAL to Geno's 2022 season (I mean go look at them if you don't believe me, hell even sacks taken lol). Difference was Seattle's run game was averaging the same YPC as the Vikes (sure as hell wasn't the last two years) and the Vikes defense was average, and didn't completely suck ass... hence the 14-3 vs. 9-8... (yes, a bottom 3 defense vs. an average one prob. accounts for 4 wins).
The only difference was, Geno was already under contract and everyone was like, "HOLY *(@& SEATTLE GOT A STEAL WTF GENO!?"
Darnold (if Minny lets him walk) is going to probably command some massive contract because granted he's younger than Geno and was a 1st round pick... that seems absurd to me to pay it while eating another $13M in dead cap.