WilltheThrill
Well-Known Member
Pretty much. Give me the proven MLB talent over a "prospect" any day. I realize scouting is better these days, but you never know what can happen between MiLB and the Bigs. Look at Smoak. Look at Profar. Look at Feliz. Robbie Erlin. MIKE OLT. Cody Buckel.
I can go on and on.
Agree 100%. The Rangers' past is littered with "can't-miss elite talent" who did in fact "miss". Mateo- injury. Diamond- terrible. Volquez- #3/4 starter. Danks- fringe rotation guy. Botts- failure. Smoak- mediocre bench player. Davis- big power, awful average. Teagarden- weak emergency backup. Max Ramirez- bagging groceries somewhere. Salty- mediocre starting catcher. Feliz- injury, career likely done. Olt- awful. Profar- injury, a maybe at best. Beavan- nowhere to be found after a few mediocre years. Erlin- nope. Buckel- minor league washout. Neil Ramirez- again, nope. Sardinas- bench fodder. CJ Edwards- has done nothing for the Cubs.
Some of those guys weren't considered elite prospects, but all were seen at one time as pieces of the Rangers' future. The BEST that entire group has produced is Chris Davis as a .220 power hitter, Volquez as a solid #4 starter, Danks as a serviceable #5 starter, and Feliz as a 2-3 year great closer then flameout. Not one true all-star or elite player among them.
And now we've got more "can't-miss" prospects who some deem "untouchable", and already a few of them are displaying fairly significant question marks. Joey Gallo is a monster when he makes contact... when he makes contact. His K rate is troubling to say the least. Jorge Alfaro has major red flags regarding his defense and ability to frame pitches and call a good game. And we've seen living proof of why scouts view Chi-Chi as a #3-#4 type ceiling guy... solid stuff and nice control, but doesn't make hitters miss much.
If you have the chance to land controllable and proven elite MLB talent, you do it. Letting go of Justin Smoak got us Cliff Lee and a World Series appearance. Holding on to Mike Olt cost us at the very least a half season of Zack Greinke.
The Rangers have absolutely nothing in the way of a guaranteed rotation for 2016. Nothing. Nobody knows just how Darvish will rebound from TJ. Lewis and Gallardo are free agents. No guarantees they're back. Holland is likely, but he's far from a sure thing at this point with him missing 2 full seasons. Counting on Harrison for anything past his next start is foolish. And Martin Perez is slowly making his way back from surgery too.
Unless you're willing to write off 2016 as well, I don't see how anyone can say that trading 2-3 prospects for Cole Hamels is a bad idea. Land Hamels now, sign a RH bat and a decent reliever in the offseason, and suddenly the Rangers are at least Wild Card candidates again next year if not better.