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Elite Recruiting Classes = Natty On a Platter

Jack_John_Mark

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Mike'l is going to lose his friend Jeddy when he tells this recruiting/title contender comparison over the radio.........

Expect Jed to call in with an epic and complete meltdown in response. Nuts may be busted over extreme excitement. Listeners should beware.
 

Brasky

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And then Jed will find out that I am directly responsible for the whole segment.

Epic. Meltdown.
 

iruletheskool

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From 2009-2013?

That's close.

It's not hard to poke holes in this, but it's still fun to look at.

2010 National Champ: Auburn
Class Rankings:
-'06 - 10th
-'07 - 7th
-'08 - 20th
-'09 - 19th
-'10 - 4th (including Cam Newton)


10+7+20+19+4=60 60/5=12

not 8.4 like ye said..

making this part of the OP false.. "Conversely in the last 8 years, a 5 year recruiting class average anywhere over 11.5 in the country (according to rivals) has guaranteed you WON'T win a national title"
 

Brasky

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Yeah it was a 4 year avg for TX and 3 for USC because the rankings didn't start until 2002. I actually removed that in the e-mail I sent and pointed that very thing out that the USC and Texas avgs were to be taken with a grain of salt.

And thanks for catching that numerical error. So the lowest ranking since 2006 we'll say (since my OP is not spot on enough for you) is a 5 year avg class ranking of 12. .5 higher than my flawed claim. Earth shattering stuff. LOL
 
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Brasky

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Va Tech 2009-2013 avg: 24.6


I'd like to do a 5 year average for every team and rank them accordingly for this season. Then see how accurate it is when the final AP poll comes out.
 

Red_Alert

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Nebraska would be pretty much spot on.
 

Brasky

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Nebraska would be pretty much spot on.



The averages in relation to final AP rankings for Nebraska have been astoundingly similar.
 

Red_Alert

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:nod:
 

Brasky

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In the last 3 years the total discrepancy between Nebraska's 5 year avg and their final AP ranking is just 6 spots if that makes sense.
 

iruletheskool

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And thanks for catching that numerical error. So the lowest ranking since 2006 we'll say (since my OP is not spot on enough for you) is a 5 year avg class ranking of 12. .5 higher than my flawed claim. Earth shattering stuff. LOL

:dance:
 

Red_Alert

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Brasky, they said they're gonna talk about your email on the next 1620 segment.
 

Brasky

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Brasky, they said they're gonna talk about your email on the next 1620 segment.

in-eccbc87e4b5ce2fe28308fd9f2a7baf3-2666.gif
 

corn train

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Stealing Jeds 1620 thunder, about recruiting no less lol
 

Spruce Moose

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LT was all world his sophomore year. now he sucks? he had zero protection and zero running game last year. He will be a RS-Sr. I am not concerned. If you watched the team last year you know his lack of production was rarely on him. New OL coach. New OC. new QB coach. i am quietly confident.

:suspicious:
 

Jack_John_Mark

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I am in the process of using this theory to create a program which will calculate the % chance for every team in the country to win the National Championship in 2013......

Should be interesting to see how this turns out. Obviously Alabama will be a huge favorite.
 
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