Bengals versus Seahawks Score Projection

[CrashDavisSports]

Offensive Scoring Ranks
Cincinnati Bengals 30.2 PPG (Ranks 4th) Gain 422.0 YPG (Ranked 2nd)
Seattle Seahawks 21.8 PPG (Ranks 17th) Gain 345.8 YPG (Ranked 19th)

Defensive Scoring Ranks
Cincinnati Bengals 19.2 PPG (Ranks 9th) Allow 364.8 YPG (Ranked 19th)
Seattle Seahawks 17.8 PPG (Ranks Tie for 3rd) Allow 278.8 YPG (Ranked 2nd)

Based on this..
The Bengals score a point for every 13.97 yards on offense.
The Bengals allow a point for every 19 yards allowed on defense.

The Seahawks score a point for every 15.86 yards on offense.
The Seahawks allow a point for every 15.66 yards allowed on defense.

If you split the difference between what each team gains and allows it would be something similar to this..

The Bengals will offensively gain (422.0 - 278.8 / 2 + 278.8) 350.4 yards
The Seahawks will offensively gain (364.8 - 345.8 / 2 + 345.8) 355.3 yards

If the Bengals score a point for every 13.97 yards of offense, they should score about 25.04 points
If the Seahawks score a point for every 15.86 yards of offense, they should score about 22.4 points

If the Bengals defense only allows a point for every 19 yards, they should give up 18.7 points
If the Seahawks defense only allows a point for every 15.66 yards, they should give up 22.38 points

Split the difference between what a team should score and what they give up:

Bengals (25.04 + 22.38 / 2) = 23.71
Seahawks (22.4 + 22.38 / 2) = 22.39

Factor in the home field advantage (+1 for Cincinnati) (-1 for the Seahawks)

Cincinnati Bengals 24.71
Seattle Seahawks 21.39

Seeing how the Bengals are 3.31 point favorites at this point based on this system, I would estimate the line on this game would be at Bengals -3 to -3.5 by game time.

Cincinnati Bengals 24
Seattle Seahawks 21

 

[CrashDavisSports]

Fudge I put one wrong number in that changed it drastically for my prediction...

Bengals (25.04 + 22.38 / 2) = 23.71
Seahawks (22.4 + 18.7 / 2) = 20.55

Factor in the home field advantage (+1 for Cincinnati) (-1 for the Seahawks)

Cincinnati Bengals 24.71
Seattle Seahawks 19.55

Spread should be at Bengals - 3.5 by game time

Cincinnati Bengals 24 points
Seattle Seahawks 20 points

 

[CrashDavisSports]

What is everyone else's guess on this game. I chose to use imaginary math to figure out my method for predicting the game score.

Anyone else have their own prediction model or just a guess as to what the score might be?

 

[Cincyfan78]

23-20, Bengals.

Seattle makes a late push to close to 3, but can't recover the onside kick.

 

[Tubbs1518]

My biggest worry is them letting Wilson run all over them, we seem to have issues with mobile QBs running and then Graham having a big day. Our linebackers can't even remotely cover him. We need Iloka back and we need to hope they keep using Graham as a blocker.

 

[Cincyfan78]

My biggest worry is them letting Wilson run all over them, we seem to have issues with mobile QBs running and then Graham having a big day. Our linebackers can't even remotely cover him. We need Iloka back and we need to hope they keep using Graham as a blocker.

Graham did jack squat against the Bengals last time they played, and he had a much better QB throwing him the ball.

It doesn't even seem like Seattle is interested in trying to use him as a pass-catcher at this point. Single him with a safety or LB until he becomes an issue (if he becomes an issue) and then adjust.

 

[CrashDavisSports]

With as poor as their offensive line has been, they almost have to use Graham as a blocker along with the RB at times. Wilson is on pace to get sacked 72 times this year. He is shifty and makes plays with his feet, but I like the Bengals defensive speed and rushers against that offensive line to make Russell struggle a little during this game.

As the field starts shrinking though, Wilson's legs become less of a factor in my opinion. May be a lot of between the 20's yards in this game for Seattle, which could help lead to my yardage prediction.

Bengals 350 yards (24 points)
Seahawks 355 yards (20 points)

 

[cincygrad]

Graham did jack squat against the Bengals last time they played, and he had a much better QB throwing him the ball.

It doesn't even seem like Seattle is interested in trying to use him as a pass-catcher at this point. Single him with a safety or LB until he becomes an issue (if he becomes an issue) and then adjust.

Iloka put a big hit on Graham in the first quarter last season.... He seemed disinterested the rest of the game. I'd like to see them go after him a little early. Make him uncomfortable.

 

[Tubbs1518]

Our linebackers are slow, if Wilson get's past our DL he will have a lot of room to run. I'm more worried about Wilson running and moving then between the 20's then in the RZ using Graham. Hopefully our DL can get enough pressure to prevent it.

 

[Tubbs1518]

Graham did jack squat against the Bengals last time they played, and he had a much better QB throwing him the ball.

It doesn't even seem like Seattle is interested in trying to use him as a pass-catcher at this point. Single him with a safety or LB until he becomes an issue (if he becomes an issue) and then adjust.

Past performances like that don't mean a lot to me. The only person on our team that has a chance to single him is Iloka. If they try to single with Rey or Maualuga he will hurt us.

 

[alf8478]

20-10 Seattle.

 

[Cincyfan78]

Past performances like that don't mean a lot to me. The only person on our team that has a chance to single him is Iloka. If they try to single with Rey or Maualuga he will hurt us.

Not if they continue to just not throw at him, which was my point. Let's see if they continue to ignore him first. The rest of the defense can focus on stopping the run and making sure that Wilson stays in the pocket. If they start to target him, then adjust. But considering he's had 1 game with more than 5 catches thus far, he wouldn't be priority #1 on my defensive list. I'd have a plan in place though, just in case they do start targeting him.

 

[Tubbs1518]

Not if they continue to just not throw at him, which was my point. Let's see if they continue to ignore him first. The rest of the defense can focus on stopping the run and making sure that Wilson stays in the pocket. If they start to target him, then adjust. But considering he's had 1 game with more than 5 catches thus far, he wouldn't be priority #1 on my defensive list. I'd have a plan in place though, just in case they do start targeting him.

You expect Marv to adjust?

 

[JBUCK66]

I say we stick with short passes and ground and pound. Ball security a must.
A low scoring affair, Bengs 17- 14. We may have to Huber them into submission.

 

[CrashDavisSports]

I

I say we stick with short passes and ground and pound. Ball security a must.
A low scoring affair, Bengs 17- 14. We may have to Huber them into submission.

I think if we stick to that solely, the run game will suffer terribly. They have very fast LB's and with their S's being as good of hitters as they are with Kam and Earl, the run will have a hard time getting going. If everything is short, and as much confidence as they have in their corners to cover 1-1 deep, you will have the safeties creeping in closer, and the short pass and the run will be much harder to succeed. We will have to stretch that defense out a little even if they are incomplete or we throw an INT just to keep them honest so all the underneath stuff and the run can work.

 

[Cincyfan78]

You expect Marv to adjust?

Marv doesn't run the defense.

And I said that's what I'd do...not saying that is what they'll do.

 

[cincygrad]

Seahawks 31, Bengals 24

I think Seattle plays their best game of the young season and we trail most of the day after coming out flat.

 

[cincygrad]

Marv doesn't run the defense.

And I said that's what I'd do...not saying that is what they'll do.

Oh, I'm sure he's involved.

 

[kramer1]

Seattle sucks. Their offensive line is a mess. Wilson may get knocked out of this game. Is Lynch playing? They have no receivers worth a fuck. We have one of the best secondaries in the league.

Bengals win and win big.

28-13, Bengals.

 

[DanBengalfan]

the legion of boom gets pissed and takes it out on Cayenne Peppa, but it's just not enough. If this was a road game of course we lose, but it's in the Jungle.

24-21

go Cayenne Peppa!