2021-2022 Mariners offseason/free agency thread

[ulmax]

adam frazier...

Season	Team	Level	Age	G	PA	HR	R	RBI	SB	BB%	K%	ISO	BABIP	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	xwOBA	wRC+	BsR	Off	Def	WAR
2016	PIT	MLB	24	66	160	2	21	11	4	7.5%	16.3%	.110	.353	.301	.356	.411	.335	.304	109	1.4	3.1	-2.1	0.6
2017	PIT	MLB	25	121	454	6	55	53	9	7.9%	12.6%	.123	.306	.276	.344	.399	.322	.310	97	2.7	1.2	-5.9	1.0
2018	PIT	MLB	26	113	352	10	52	35	1	8.2%	15.1%	.179	.305	.277	.342	.456	.343	.317	116	0.2	6.8	0.0	1.8
2019	PIT	MLB	27	152	608	10	80	50	5	6.6%	12.3%	.139	.306	.278	.336	.417	.320	.312	97	0.7	-2.0	4.9	2.2
2020	PIT	MLB	28	58	230	7	22	23	1	7.4%	15.2%	.134	.246	.230	.297	.364	.291	.307	80	-1.4	-7.2	3.4	0.6
2021	2 Tms	MLB	29	155	639	5	83	43	10	7.5%	10.8%	.106	.339	.305	.368	.411	.341	.323	114	-0.1	11.4	2.0	3.5
2022	Steamer	PROJ	30	133	592	10	68	52	8	7.5%	13.0%	.116	.291	.264	.328	.380	.309		100	0.3	0.0	-0.2	2.0
Total	- - -	MLB		665	2443	40	313	215	30	7.4%	12.9%	.131	.313	.281	.344	.412	.327		103	3.4	13.3	2.2	9.8

3.5 war..in..2021...fan graphs...a backside...2.0..projection...i dont think so..

 

[ulmax]

story..and frazier......could add..as much as 7.0 war..conforto..and ray..not included....yet..

 

[ulmax]

Michael Conforto​

Age: 28
Bats/Throws: L/R....conforto...2.5 war
6' 1" / 215
OF

Birthdate:	3/1/1993 (28 y, 9 m, 24 d)
Drafted:	2014 June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 10, Overall: 10, Team: New York Mets
Service Time:	6.043	MiLB Options:	n/a

Quick Look

2021 Games Played:	RF:	117	DH:	1

Season	Team	Level	G	PA	HR	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	WAR
2021	NYM	MLB	125	479	14	.232	.344	.384	.322	106	0.8
2022	Steamer	PROJ	143	607	25	.254	.358	.452	.350	121	2.5
Total	- - -	MLB	757	2980	132	.255	.356	.468	.352	124	16.9

 

[ulmax]

scott kingery.....

Career Stats​

Season	Team	LG	Level	G	AB	R	H	TB	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	IBB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	GO/AO
2015	LWD	SAL	A(Full)	66	252	43	63	85	9	2	3	21	18	0	43	11	1	.250	.314	.337	.652	1.19
2016	2 teams	-	Minors	131	531	76	149	206	36	3	5	46	38	0	90	30	7	.281	.335	.388	.723	0.77
2017	2 teams	-	Minors	132	543	103	165	288	29	8	26	65	41	3	109	29	5	.304	.359	.530	.889	0.65
2019	2 teams	-	Minors	4	14	1	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	.143	.133	.143	.276	0.14
2021	LHV	INT	AAA	23	72	11	13	21	4	2	0	5	13	0	27	3	0	.181	.307	.292	.598	0.62
Minors Career	-	-	Minors	356	1412	234	392	602	78	15	34	139	110	3	272	74	13	.278	.337	.426	.763	0.7

total of..86..at bat sense....2017....mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm..seems right shoulder inflamation...
concusion..in may.....idk..seem ok other than that....may need a change...ill..give him that...with the mariners....lololol
an still trade moore...........and still put haggerty..on the 40 man...nice..with trammell..1st guy..or kelenic...dont matter

ya take a chance....some times...to meet....excellence...

the possible guy...they inquerd..about...................cuz nothing else...makes sense...maybe a pitcher...

 

[ulmax]

 

[ulmax]

 

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[ulmax]

i think there is nothing wrong...with kingery...just getting down....that is lauphable...kingery can not hit at MLB lvl.....

.phili..is the prob..

 

[ulmax]

but sense they feel..that way i would not give much..a bull pen guy..Darren McCaughan 45..

better than...a 10 cow woman

 

[ulmax]

better than...a 10 cow woman(history)

 

[ulmax]

so if you make the players....feel..like they can do it.......well...maybe they just...can....

hateing..and defeatist...is not the ticket...laddie...

 

[ulmax]

RotoWire News: The Phillies announced Sunday that Kingery will miss the remainder of the season after recently undergoing surgery to repair a labrum injury in his right shoulder, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports. He'll miss the remainder of the season. (7/18/2021)

Injury: Shoulder, Day-to-Day

With the season just over, I’d like some help collecting information on the hitters who played through a 2021 injury. First, I’m not looking for those who may have struggled because of COVID-19 complications but played through a physical injury.
The information can help fantasy managers help point to why a hitter may have struggled when they begin their 2022. Also, my research has shown that these hitters see a production decline that can be incorporated into projections. It’s one offseason data point to have available going forward.


But first, here is how last year’s list faired.

2021 Projected and Final OPS for Hitters Who Played Through a 2020 Injury

Name	Steamer Proj	Actual	Diff
Ronald Acuña Jr.	.929	.990	.061
Ozzie Albies	.822	.798	-.024
Luis Arraez	.789	.733	-.056
Nolan Arenado	.827	.806	-.021
Jackie Bradley Jr.	.721	.497	-.224
Ryan Braun
Kris Bryant	.821	.834	.013
Matt Chapman	.829	.717	-.112
Maikel Franco	.782	.608	-.174
Joey Gallo	.810	.809	-.001
Bryce Harper	.908	1.044	.136
José Iglesias	.714	.700	-.014
Kevin Kiermaier	.687	.716	.029
Scott Kingery	.668	.106	-.562
Shed Long Jr.	.701	.618	-.083
Max Muncy	.820	.895	.075
Shohei Ohtani	.833	.964	.131
Roberto Pérez	.658	.564	-.094
Jorge Polanco	.768	.826	.058
Jose Ramirez	.879	.893	.014
J.T. Realmuto	.789	.782	-.007
Anthony Rendon	.880	.771	-.109
Pedro Severino	.715	.691	-.024
Gio Urshela	.751	.720	-.031
Christian Vázquez	.720	.660	-.060
Luke Voit	.810	.765	-.045
		Average	-.045
		Median	-.024

The results hold this year with the hitter projection missing by about 25 to 50 points. If Kingery is removed, both the median and average go to -.023. These are almost are just a little higher than the historical values (Average = -.017, median

 

[ulmax]

kingery....you want him. ...mostly totaly healthy...before...put him to work..
Standard
ProjectionsMinor LeaguesRegular MLB Seasons..obviusly...not doen well..the last couple years...lets find out why...other..than injury

Season	Team	Level	G	AB	PA	H	1B	2B	3B	HR	R	RBI	BB	IBB	SO	HBP	SF	SH	GDP	SB	CS	AVG
2018	PHI	MLB	147	452	484	102	69	23	2	8	55	35	24	1	126	3	5	0	2	10	3	.226
2019	PHI	MLB	126	458	500	118	61	34	4	19	64	55	34	1	147	5	2	1	3	15	4	.258
2020	PHI	MLB	36	113	124	18	10	5	0	3	12	6	9	0	35	1	0	1	1	0	0	.159
2021	PHI	MLB	15	19	19	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	.053
2022	Steamer	PROJ	29	105	117	22	14	5	1	3	11	12	8	0	35	1	1	1		2	1	.210
Total	- - -	MLB	324	1042	1127	239	141	62	6	30	132	96	67	2	320	9	7	2	6	25	7	.229

 

[ulmax]

this tells me..75pct...of the balls pitched to him...are fastballs and sliders..
ProjectionsMinor LeaguesRegular MLB Seasons

Season	Team	Level	FB%	SL%	CT%	CB%	CH%	SF%	KN%	XX%
2018	PHI	MLB	52.9% (92.9)	22.3% (84.4)	4.8% (89.0)	8.9% (79.1)	10.5% (84.4)	0.7% (84.1)		0.2%
2019	PHI	MLB	53.0% (93.6)	20.0% (84.8)	7.6% (88.9)	10.6% (79.4)	7.8% (84.4)	1.0% (85.7)		0.2%
2020	PHI	MLB	50.0% (92.6)	20.3% (84.4)	8.8% (88.1)	7.7% (76.1)	10.3% (83.3)	3.0% (86.5)
2021	PHI	MLB	56.0% (93.7)	24.0% (86.0)	8.0% (86.8)	4.0% (81.3)	8.0% (84.0)
Total	- - -	MLB	52.7% (93.2)	21.1% (84.6)	6.5% (88.8)	9.4% (79.0)	9.2% (84.2)	1.1% (85.5)		0.2%

Plate Discipline
ProjectionsMinor LeaguesRegular MLB SeasonsAverages.in this we see...his normal numbers...are down....sw strike..up by 50 pct...not his style...

Season	Team	Level	O-Swing%	Z-Swing%	Swing%	O-Contact%	Z-Contact%	Contact%	Zone%	F-Strike%	SwStr%	CStr%	CSW%
2018	PHI	MLB	39.4%	64.6%	50.7%	61.8%	81.5%	73.1%	44.8%	67.8%	13.6%	19.4%	33.0%
2019	PHI	MLB	33.7%	73.3%	50.4%	53.9%	80.0%	69.9%	42.2%	63.6%	15.1%	14.4%	29.5%
2020	PHI	MLB	35.7%	72.2%	51.7%	61.7%	73.0%	68.6%	43.8%	60.5%	16.2%	14.3%	30.6%
2021	PHI	MLB	43.8%	81.5%	57.3%	33.3%	50.0%	41.9%	36.0%	63.2%	33.3%	13.3%	46.7%
Total	- - -	MLB	36.5%	69.4%	50.8%	57.9%	79.4%	70.6%	43.4%	65.0%	14.9%	16.5%	31.4%

 

[ulmax]

ok..that is as far as i will go...lololol+++shouder..ok..i will still take him....as long as his shoulder will be better..fully recovered
this year....before..august..

other wise...i dont think..anyone would.....

 

[ulmax]

i think..there..is something..fixable...with scott kingery....i really do..but i dont know..exactly..what it is...his shoulder
was hurt..then he had to maney strike outs....
he changed something...to play hurt....but it did not help...so..ya want a start over..basicly from the begining....when he is healthy...cuz hitting..is a process...and..a bit mental..

yeah..anyway..

 

[ulmax]

what we see..in scotts highlite video...is that he can play...cf...and..3B...like haggerty..he can play...everywhere..
the mariners..would need..CF..3B...but..yes..a..better moore..than moore....maybe...at least as good...



you see confortos cannon arm in this one.....and accurat

 

[ulmax]

sometimes ya need...that mental..muscel..memory....

if seattle does not..oakland prob will..or wash..

 

[ulmax]

think..milwalkee will trade him...i doubt it....maybe to the yankees..

 

[ulmax]

kingery...yelich...my dad used to say....sometimes guys just have bad years..some guys..go every other year...

i dont get..that.

.my dad..i guess..did.....he understood...a lot of things...i dont really..understand...that is ok....ole dad..born on confortos..birth day...lololol
sabre metrics...way...of...doing things...is diff...yelich..and maybe..kingery..started..a bit before..the push for...the metrics..
......use the force....luke......when the metrics...fail...