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You're missing my point. The more you shut people inside and take away their livelihood the more likely you see an uptick in alcoholism, opiod and drug abuse and depression/suicide.
So take Ohio that has had 400 deaths to Covid thus far...and again totally agree that number is thanks to SD and mitigation, what's the cost benefit analysis look like for shutting the economy down for let's say....three more months if we save....2000 lives? What if we lose 1000 more because of the above? A 1000 lives is a horrible thing regardless but this is our economy.
Take Vegas... it's forecasted that's 43.3 BILLION in economic loss to the country. That's with a B not an M.
The economy will rebound. I find it funny that everyone calls people that want to be safe and not break the lock downs too early as fear mongering, but claiming that the economy is going to tank otherwise isn't fear mongering.
The president focuses more on the economy because he ties his success rate to it. It's literally one of the few things he can point to as a success (and even that is only with a really wide angle lens). Plus, his "friends/backers" in the 1% require him to do so.
You're missing my point. The more you shut people inside and take away their livelihood the more likely you see an uptick in alcoholism, opiod and drug abuse and depression/suicide.
So take Ohio that has had 400 deaths to Covid thus far...and again totally agree that number is thanks to SD and mitigation, what's the cost benefit analysis look like for shutting the economy down for let's say....three more months if we save....2000 lives? What if we lose 1000 more because of the above? A 1000 lives is a horrible thing regardless but this is our economy.
Take Vegas... it's forecasted that's 43.3 BILLION in economic loss to the country. That's with a B not an M.
You're not getting it. Your earlier posts indicate you're more concerned about the damage that's going to be done long term to the economy and that things need to start to get going. The virus is what's wrecking the economy, not the lockdown. With no lockdown, the virus runs rampant. We've seen what that looks like in other parts of the world; mortality rates in the teens. People aren't going to go out and function day to day like it ain't no thing when morality rates are that high. You end up in an economic crisis that way the same as you do with a lockdown. You're in an economic crisis but with a ton more dead. The economic ramifications are unavoidable.
We're in lockdown now. We're also in an economic crisis because again, it's unavoidable. It doesn't matter if we're in lockdown, no lockdown, somewhere in between. The virus causes a disruption. We're not ready to reopen things right now and testing still isn't where it should be to sustain proper opening up efforts. If you start reopening things right now, even phasing them in, because you're worried about the economic outlooks, you're just adding to the problem. You're already in an economic crisis and you're going to prolong it because the virus situation hasn't properly been addressed. You'll just be stuck in a loop. The virus is the driving factor. It's not a situation where you're like "welp, we're 6 weeks into this. I don't like the economic numbers looming in week 8. Time to change course". You change course when the virus let's you.
As for the addiction stuff, if hard times drives people to that, you're gonna get that regardless sadly, because again, economic doom and gloom is basically unavoidable.
I completely disagree that we are somehow incapable of both mitigating the virus and managing a rollout of our economy. Ohio doesn't even start this for 12 days. Our hospital capacity hasn't even been close to tested for the first wave. Let's argue the second wave is even worse for arguments sake. But again the entire purpose of this was to flatten the curve so hospitals can function. That's it. No other reason. Saving lives is a side benefit of that.
To say we are just somehow handcuffed is irresponsible. A slow rollout with precautions is the only way to achieve both.
I mean some hospitals aren't screening for cancer. Cancer man. So now we have all these people that lost two months on fighting that.
This is so far beyond flattening the curve it's ridiculous.
And again for the sixth time I've been perfectly ok with the shutdown to this point. It was necessary. It had to be done. But carrying it much past a month more will do irreparable harm to our economy.
And again, you getting hung up on the thought that the shutdowns are going to cause too much harm to the economy. You can't be for the shut down and then say "well, but the economy". And that's exactly what you're doing. You're trying to hedge a bit by saying that stuff should be opened safely but that's a given. Of course it should be done safely. No one disputes that. But every post you're framing your statements that it needs to happen soon not because its safe from the virus and the standards are met but because if the shutdown goes on much longer, its bad economically. You're still letting the economy drive your thinking as if its just the lockdown hurting it when its the virus that has caused the disruption and will continue to cause disruptions until it can be properly controlled, even if its just limited control (which is all we'll have until vaccines are ready or some proven treatment).
The shutdowns have to stay in place until there's capacity and means to control the virus. If it has to be more than a month, it has to be more than a month. Yet several times you're like "man, the economy though." You're wanting to loosen things up because of economic impact. Letting the economy be the driving factor in the decision doesn't solve anything. The economy will still suck, the virus continues and more people are sick and more die.
The economy will rebound. I find it funny that everyone calls people that want to be safe and not break the lock downs too early as fear mongering, but claiming that the economy is going to tank otherwise isn't fear mongering.
The president focuses more on the economy because he ties his success rate to it. It's literally one of the few things he can point to as a success (and even that is only with a really wide angle lens). Plus, his "friends/backers" in the 1% require him to do so.
You're not getting it. Your earlier posts indicate you're more concerned about the damage that's going to be done long term to the economy and that things need to start to get going. The virus is what's wrecking the economy, not the lockdown. With no lockdown, the virus runs rampant. We've seen what that looks like in other parts of the world; mortality rates in the teens. People aren't going to go out and function day to day like it ain't no thing when morality rates are that high. You end up in an economic crisis that way the same as you do with a lockdown. You're in an economic crisis but with a ton more dead. The economic ramifications are unavoidable.
We're in lockdown now. We're also in an economic crisis because again, it's unavoidable. It doesn't matter if we're in lockdown, no lockdown, somewhere in between. The virus causes a disruption. We're not ready to reopen things right now and testing still isn't where it should be to sustain proper opening up efforts. If you start reopening things right now, even phasing them in, because you're worried about the economic outlooks, you're just adding to the problem. You're already in an economic crisis and you're going to prolong it because the virus situation hasn't properly been addressed. You'll just be stuck in a loop. The virus is the driving factor. It's not a situation where you're like "welp, we're 6 weeks into this. I don't like the economic numbers looming in week 8. Time to change course". You change course when the virus let's you.
And again, you getting hung up on the thought that the shutdowns are going to cause too much harm to the economy. You can't be for the shut down and then say "well, but the economy".
And again though in your last sentence you mention death and sickness. That's a given. Even with lockdowns it will continue. But right now we have areas of this country that hospitals are virtually empty that are more than capable of handling a wave.
Every area is different. But you have to see how selling "keep it shut" to a state with 125 deaths in a month is a tough sell to people losing their livelihood
I honestly can't remember the last time Wiggy had a take that turned out correct