People play up the parity aspect more than is real. The same teams have been good for awhile and the teams that make a leap every year usually do so with some warning from the year before. There are exceptions but generally speaking the prior years results do translate ( I'd say 80% of the time ). A look at 2015 shows that most of the new playoff teams in 16 were trending up and many of them lost a high amount of close games in 15. That's why I really like Tennessee and Philly this year.
Well, there are also teams like the Cowboys and Giants last year that end up bouncing back for a variety of reasons. Miami also made the playoffs last year so by that logic I'm sure someone could argue that they are trending upwards. I won't but there is some talent on that team.
Miami has the misfortune of having a QB injury combined with a tough schedule on top on vastly overachieving last year ( 7-2 in one score games ). Even without the Tannehill injury I saw them as a 7-8 win team. Generally speaking teams will regress to the mean in one score games unless they've got an elite QB
I remember Bill Barnwell saying that about the Niners with Alex Smith and the Niners proved him wrong a couple of times.
Word is they are thinking Brock Osweiler will be their starting QB. If so, I have that as the worst starting QB in the NFL
The Browns will be better but in most years you need to win 6 or 7 games in irder to not be bottom four in the conference. Browns won one game last year . Even a huge improvement is not likely to get to 6 or 7 wins
Think Texans take that division. No telling when Luck will be back (I picked Indy bottom 4), Jags = Jags, should be between the Titans and HOU. If Watt is healthy, their D just gets better than top unit last year.
Yeah, I switched my pick to Indy but you have to figure the Texans have to be getting frustrated with their qb spot. They have weapons
