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Patriots' defense will keep them from winning it all, but their cakewalk division will put them in a good spot to get the the AFC championship.
I still don't trust Matt Ryan in the playoffs so they are out for me. Also where is the pass rush.
I'm going to go with Bengals over Falcons.
They added Adrian Wilson at safety, which was by far the weakest any team in the NFL was at any position except the Jets at QB in my opinion. Corner was exposed by awful safety play and should improve with help over the top. They don't have any lockdown corners, but I believe they have a few above average ones. If you have no one over the top, you're going to look bad in all coverages, and this is what happened. I am very comfortable with McCourty and Wilson over the top with Talib, Dennard, and Arrington in nickel sets. It would be nice to have one more edge rusher, but the defense is not the weakness it has been IMO.