TwoCents22
Active Member
I seen someone compare us going for it to GB going for it. Let me clear how stupid of a comparison that is.
The NFL odds for converting 4th and 1's I think is somewhere around 55-60%. That means on 4th and goal from the 1, out of 10 times you score 6 TDs(42 points) which is more than a FG from there(30 pts). Not only do those particular odds tell you to go for it every time, but if you don't get it THE OTHER TEAM IS BACKED UP!!!
Always(besides situations like down 3 with 1 second left) go for it on 4th and goal when you think you have at least 43% chance of converting(FG divided by TD).
The NFL odds for converting 4th and 1's I think is somewhere around 55-60%. That means on 4th and goal from the 1, out of 10 times you score 6 TDs(42 points) which is more than a FG from there(30 pts). Not only do those particular odds tell you to go for it every time, but if you don't get it THE OTHER TEAM IS BACKED UP!!!
Always(besides situations like down 3 with 1 second left) go for it on 4th and goal when you think you have at least 43% chance of converting(FG divided by TD).