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NFL Draft / College football
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NFL Draft 2012
Updated: February 6, 2012, 3:43 PM ET
Dre Kirkpatrick's pot charge dropped
Former Alabama cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick will not be prosecuted on a marijuana possession charge, a spokesperson for the state attorney's office for Bradenton, Fla., told ESPN's Joe Schad on Monday. No reason was given.
Kirkpatrick was arrested Jan. 17 with possessing less than 20 grams of cannabis.
Kirkpatrick is regarded as a potential top-10 NFL draft pick, is ranked ninth overall on Scouts Inc.'s top 32 prospects and is No. 23 on ESPN NFL draft analyst Mel Kiper's Big Board. The second-team All-American announced last month he was skipping his senior season with the national champions to enter the draft.
A police report said Kirkpatrick was a passenger in a truck driven by another former Alabama player, Christopher Airreun Rogers, 25, of Baltimore, Md., who police stopped for driving on the wrong side of the road. A dog detected the presence of drugs, the report said, and an officer found marijuana on the floorboard of the passenger side at Kirkpatrick's feet.
Rogers told police he purchased the marijuana at a house and was charged with a drug offense.
Kirkpatrick told officers he was in the car when the drugs were purchased by another person, but he didn't realize at the time what was being bought, the report said.
Information from ESPN college football reporter Joe Schad and The Associated Press was used in this report.
Updated: February 6, 2012, 3:43 PM ET
Dre Kirkpatrick's pot charge dropped
Former Alabama cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick will not be prosecuted on a marijuana possession charge, a spokesperson for the state attorney's office for Bradenton, Fla., told ESPN's Joe Schad on Monday. No reason was given.
Kirkpatrick was arrested Jan. 17 with possessing less than 20 grams of cannabis.
Kirkpatrick is regarded as a potential top-10 NFL draft pick, is ranked ninth overall on Scouts Inc.'s top 32 prospects and is No. 23 on ESPN NFL draft analyst Mel Kiper's Big Board. The second-team All-American announced last month he was skipping his senior season with the national champions to enter the draft.
A police report said Kirkpatrick was a passenger in a truck driven by another former Alabama player, Christopher Airreun Rogers, 25, of Baltimore, Md., who police stopped for driving on the wrong side of the road. A dog detected the presence of drugs, the report said, and an officer found marijuana on the floorboard of the passenger side at Kirkpatrick's feet.
Rogers told police he purchased the marijuana at a house and was charged with a drug offense.
Kirkpatrick told officers he was in the car when the drugs were purchased by another person, but he didn't realize at the time what was being bought, the report said.
Information from ESPN college football reporter Joe Schad and The Associated Press was used in this report.
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NFL Draft 2012
Originally Published: February 7, 2012
RG3 can be the next Cam Newton
If the Baylor QB is drafted into the right situation, he could put up big By KC Joyner
ESPN Insider
Archive
Robert Griffin III is a Heisman Trophy winner and prolific passer. Can he be as good as Newton?
One of the side effects of being a trailblazer is that the achievement often opens the door to many other people finding a way to achieve the very same goal.
There are numerous examples of this in the sports world: Roger Bannister breaking the four-minute mark for running a mile, Babe Ruth hitting over 50 home runs in a season, Dan Fouts passing for over 4,500 yards in a single season.
All of these were tremendous accomplishments when they happened because they were first-time occurrences, but when others replicated these feats shortly afterwards, it illustrated that these were reachable goals for others rather than earth-shattering, once-in-a-generation deeds.
This very well could end up being the case for Cam Newton's rookie passing yardage record (4,051). As impressive as that number is, it has to be noted that it occurred at the beginning of what will very likely be the Decade of the Pass.
That trend alone points toward the mark not holding up over time, but that time frame could be even shorter with the NFL arrival of 2011 Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III (aka RG3), a player whose physical skills and statistics strongly suggest that he could rival Newton's record.
If that sounds like a powerful statement, consider some of the evidence that led to that conclusion.
In his 2010 Heisman Trophy-winning campaign with the Auburn Tigers, Newton averaged 9.3 yards per attempt (YPA) in games against opponents from BCS conferences. He also tallied a 12.9 vertical YPA (vertical defined as passes thrown 11 or more yards downfield) and a 15.5 stretch vertical YPA (aerials thrown 20 or more yards).
All of those are superb totals, but contrast them with the 2011 totals posted by Griffin in games against opponents from BCS conferences: 10.7 overall YPA (tops in the FBS), 16.0 vertical YPA and 23.0 stretch vertical YPA. Each of Griffin's marks is appreciably better than Newton's. While Griffin may not have the shiftiness Newton possesses, he is a terrific scrambler in his own right with elite speed that defenses must respect.
One of the likely reasons for the statistical edge is that the Baylor Bears' offense had more pro-style tendencies than the run-heavy spread offense Newton played in at Auburn. That allowed Griffin to attack defenses in a wider variety of ways than Newton was able to and should help reduce his pro transition time.
Another edge for Griffin is that his senior season was his fourth as a starter (though it should be noted he missed most of his sophomore season due to an injury), while Newton tallied only one season as a starter at an FBS school. That level of extra training time is a highly valued trait among talent evaluators for good reason, as studies have shown it tends to bode well for NFL success.
Those circumstantial edges point toward Griffin being able to get out of the pro football gate quicker than Newton, and that could be augmented if he ends up with a team that will give him the same level of commitment Newton received from the Carolina Panthers last year.
Before Newton's arrival, the Panthers had recently gone through some front-office changes that included the hiring of a new head coach, Ron Rivera. The organization was making a fresh start, and adding a new quarterback to the mix that everyone could get behind was priority No. 1.
That is a big reason Newton had immediate success. He struggled during the preseason to such an extent that Rivera held off on naming him the starter even as late as the last preseason game, but the team never truly wavered in its commitment to him.
Newton also got this backing early in the 2011 campaign when Carolina let him throw a ton of vertical passes despite his displaying bad decision tendencies that would have embarrassed Jay Cutler.
The benefit this type of support gives a young player cannot be overstated, and a review of some of the potential landing spots for Griffin shows he may very well receive that same treatment in his first season as a pro:
Cleveland Browns: The Browns' offense has played it very close to the vest play calling-wise the past couple of seasons, but a lot of that has to do with having dink-and-dunk master Colt McCoy under center. Head coach Pat Shurmur has a long history of working with aggressive pass offenses, and when that is added to the rumors that the Browns are looking to upgrade at wide receiver, Cleveland could be a great situation for Griffin.
Washington Redskins: To get an idea of just how aggressive Mike Shanahan likes to be in the passing game, consider that Rex Grossman was able to rank 12th in the league in vertical pass attempts (171) despite starting only 13 games last year. If Shanahan let Grossman, a noted risk-taker, throw deep that often, one can only imagine how often he would let Griffin do so.
Miami Dolphins: There may not be another team in the league that is looking for stability at quarterback more than the Dolphins. Acquiring Peyton Manning may sound good for the short term, but if this team could find a way to move up in the draft to get Griffin, the entire South Florida area would rejoice.
With elite athleticism, a strong arm and more college experience in a pro-style offense than Newton, Griffin should have a very good shot at going after Newton's record.
KC Joyner, aka the Football Scientist, is a regular contributor to ESPN Insider. He also can be found on Twitter @kcjoynertfs and at his website. He is the author of an annual fantasy football draft guide, which is available here, and "Blindsided: Why the Left Tackle is Overrated and Other Contrarian Football Thoughts."
Originally Published: February 7, 2012
RG3 can be the next Cam Newton
If the Baylor QB is drafted into the right situation, he could put up big By KC Joyner
ESPN Insider
Archive
Robert Griffin III is a Heisman Trophy winner and prolific passer. Can he be as good as Newton?
One of the side effects of being a trailblazer is that the achievement often opens the door to many other people finding a way to achieve the very same goal.
There are numerous examples of this in the sports world: Roger Bannister breaking the four-minute mark for running a mile, Babe Ruth hitting over 50 home runs in a season, Dan Fouts passing for over 4,500 yards in a single season.
All of these were tremendous accomplishments when they happened because they were first-time occurrences, but when others replicated these feats shortly afterwards, it illustrated that these were reachable goals for others rather than earth-shattering, once-in-a-generation deeds.
This very well could end up being the case for Cam Newton's rookie passing yardage record (4,051). As impressive as that number is, it has to be noted that it occurred at the beginning of what will very likely be the Decade of the Pass.
That trend alone points toward the mark not holding up over time, but that time frame could be even shorter with the NFL arrival of 2011 Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III (aka RG3), a player whose physical skills and statistics strongly suggest that he could rival Newton's record.
If that sounds like a powerful statement, consider some of the evidence that led to that conclusion.
In his 2010 Heisman Trophy-winning campaign with the Auburn Tigers, Newton averaged 9.3 yards per attempt (YPA) in games against opponents from BCS conferences. He also tallied a 12.9 vertical YPA (vertical defined as passes thrown 11 or more yards downfield) and a 15.5 stretch vertical YPA (aerials thrown 20 or more yards).
All of those are superb totals, but contrast them with the 2011 totals posted by Griffin in games against opponents from BCS conferences: 10.7 overall YPA (tops in the FBS), 16.0 vertical YPA and 23.0 stretch vertical YPA. Each of Griffin's marks is appreciably better than Newton's. While Griffin may not have the shiftiness Newton possesses, he is a terrific scrambler in his own right with elite speed that defenses must respect.
One of the likely reasons for the statistical edge is that the Baylor Bears' offense had more pro-style tendencies than the run-heavy spread offense Newton played in at Auburn. That allowed Griffin to attack defenses in a wider variety of ways than Newton was able to and should help reduce his pro transition time.
Another edge for Griffin is that his senior season was his fourth as a starter (though it should be noted he missed most of his sophomore season due to an injury), while Newton tallied only one season as a starter at an FBS school. That level of extra training time is a highly valued trait among talent evaluators for good reason, as studies have shown it tends to bode well for NFL success.
Those circumstantial edges point toward Griffin being able to get out of the pro football gate quicker than Newton, and that could be augmented if he ends up with a team that will give him the same level of commitment Newton received from the Carolina Panthers last year.
Before Newton's arrival, the Panthers had recently gone through some front-office changes that included the hiring of a new head coach, Ron Rivera. The organization was making a fresh start, and adding a new quarterback to the mix that everyone could get behind was priority No. 1.
That is a big reason Newton had immediate success. He struggled during the preseason to such an extent that Rivera held off on naming him the starter even as late as the last preseason game, but the team never truly wavered in its commitment to him.
Newton also got this backing early in the 2011 campaign when Carolina let him throw a ton of vertical passes despite his displaying bad decision tendencies that would have embarrassed Jay Cutler.
The benefit this type of support gives a young player cannot be overstated, and a review of some of the potential landing spots for Griffin shows he may very well receive that same treatment in his first season as a pro:
Cleveland Browns: The Browns' offense has played it very close to the vest play calling-wise the past couple of seasons, but a lot of that has to do with having dink-and-dunk master Colt McCoy under center. Head coach Pat Shurmur has a long history of working with aggressive pass offenses, and when that is added to the rumors that the Browns are looking to upgrade at wide receiver, Cleveland could be a great situation for Griffin.
Washington Redskins: To get an idea of just how aggressive Mike Shanahan likes to be in the passing game, consider that Rex Grossman was able to rank 12th in the league in vertical pass attempts (171) despite starting only 13 games last year. If Shanahan let Grossman, a noted risk-taker, throw deep that often, one can only imagine how often he would let Griffin do so.
Miami Dolphins: There may not be another team in the league that is looking for stability at quarterback more than the Dolphins. Acquiring Peyton Manning may sound good for the short term, but if this team could find a way to move up in the draft to get Griffin, the entire South Florida area would rejoice.
With elite athleticism, a strong arm and more college experience in a pro-style offense than Newton, Griffin should have a very good shot at going after Newton's record.
KC Joyner, aka the Football Scientist, is a regular contributor to ESPN Insider. He also can be found on Twitter @kcjoynertfs and at his website. He is the author of an annual fantasy football draft guide, which is available here, and "Blindsided: Why the Left Tackle is Overrated and Other Contrarian Football Thoughts."
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I think you're really, really overrating some guys this year. No way were Posey and Jenkins 1st/2nd round picks last year.
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I love me some Justin Hunter. Even with the ACL injury he's still ranked as my #1 WR heading into next year. Hopefully he proves me right!
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Just heard some bad news on S Mark Barron #Alabama that he has a double sports hernia and will be out until at least July/August #NFLDraft
Ouch.
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The Redskins and RG3
4:04PM ET
Washington Redskins
It's not a certainty that the Washington Redskins will aggressively target quarterbacks this offseason, but the growing consensus is that this will be the case. Some believe that they'll be amongst the teams most vigorously courting Peyton Manning; others think the Shanaclan's preference will be for Matt Flynn. Finally, there's the option of going for reigning Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III.
Acquiring Griffin will most likely require trading up from the Skins' current position at No. 6 -- either to No. 2 or No. 3 overall, depending upon what the other QB-needy teams do in free agency. If the Cleveland Browns, Miami Dolphins and Seattle Seahawks are all satisfied with their situation following free agency, maybe Washington won't have to trade up at all.
In all likelihood, however, Shanahan will need to surrender some serious draft capital in order to secure Griffin. Should he pull the trigger? ESPN NFC East blogger Dan Graziano and Football Scientist KC Joyner consider the question:
KC Joyner
RG3 would flourish in the Shanahan offense
"To get an idea of just how aggressive Mike Shanahan likes to be in the passing game, consider that Rex Grossman was able to rank 12th in the league in vertical pass attempts (171) despite starting only 13 games last year. If Shanahan let Grossman, a noted risk-taker, throw deep that often, one can only imagine how often he would let Griffin do so."
Dan Graziano
Free agency additions will give us a big hint
"The question for the Redskins is whether it's worth it to them to spend this year's first-round pick and next year's on a guy who could be the next Cam Newton. The answer likely lies somewhere in between now and the draft. The Redskins need to get to work in free agency. If they end up getting a quarterback like Kyle Orton or Matt Flynn or Peyton Manning in free agency, that'll tell you they've decided not to deal up for Griffin. But if they can really hit it big in free agency at wide receiver, offensive line and in the defensive secondary, and they fill those spots with guys they think can be long-term answers at those positions, then they may get to draft day with quarterback as their only remaining huge need, and at that point they may decide that next year's first-rounder is a worthwhile price for their long-term answer at the most important position. The question is whether you want to pick your franchise quarterback and tell him you won't have a first-round pick next year to help build the team around him. And the answer will change depending on how complete the rest of the roster looks come draft day."
4:04PM ET
Washington Redskins
It's not a certainty that the Washington Redskins will aggressively target quarterbacks this offseason, but the growing consensus is that this will be the case. Some believe that they'll be amongst the teams most vigorously courting Peyton Manning; others think the Shanaclan's preference will be for Matt Flynn. Finally, there's the option of going for reigning Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III.
Acquiring Griffin will most likely require trading up from the Skins' current position at No. 6 -- either to No. 2 or No. 3 overall, depending upon what the other QB-needy teams do in free agency. If the Cleveland Browns, Miami Dolphins and Seattle Seahawks are all satisfied with their situation following free agency, maybe Washington won't have to trade up at all.
In all likelihood, however, Shanahan will need to surrender some serious draft capital in order to secure Griffin. Should he pull the trigger? ESPN NFC East blogger Dan Graziano and Football Scientist KC Joyner consider the question:
- Tim Kavanagh
KC Joyner
RG3 would flourish in the Shanahan offense
"To get an idea of just how aggressive Mike Shanahan likes to be in the passing game, consider that Rex Grossman was able to rank 12th in the league in vertical pass attempts (171) despite starting only 13 games last year. If Shanahan let Grossman, a noted risk-taker, throw deep that often, one can only imagine how often he would let Griffin do so."
Dan Graziano
Free agency additions will give us a big hint
"The question for the Redskins is whether it's worth it to them to spend this year's first-round pick and next year's on a guy who could be the next Cam Newton. The answer likely lies somewhere in between now and the draft. The Redskins need to get to work in free agency. If they end up getting a quarterback like Kyle Orton or Matt Flynn or Peyton Manning in free agency, that'll tell you they've decided not to deal up for Griffin. But if they can really hit it big in free agency at wide receiver, offensive line and in the defensive secondary, and they fill those spots with guys they think can be long-term answers at those positions, then they may get to draft day with quarterback as their only remaining huge need, and at that point they may decide that next year's first-rounder is a worthwhile price for their long-term answer at the most important position. The question is whether you want to pick your franchise quarterback and tell him you won't have a first-round pick next year to help build the team around him. And the answer will change depending on how complete the rest of the roster looks come draft day."
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NFL Draft 2012
Originally Published: February 8, 2012
Five teams could shake up Round 1
Quarterbacks will play a big role in any movement that happens early in the NFL draft
By Todd McShay
ESPN Insider
The predraft process is getting ready to kick into high gear, with the upcoming NFL combine (Feb. 22-28), medical exams, film study and workouts all certain to shuffle the draft board to a certain degree.
And while we're still more than two months from draft weekend, with much to digest between now and then, we're already beginning to get a sense for the potential pressure points in the first round. There is plenty of intrigue already surrounding five teams in particular, all of whom could play big roles in Round 1 wheeling and dealing.
This week's edition of the Nickel Package breaks down the scenarios for all five.
RG3 could be the object of a bidding war early in the first round.
Cleveland Browns (No. 4 overall)
It seems a foregone conclusion the Indianapolis Colts will take Stanford QB Andrew Luck at No. 1 overall, which makes the Browns the next quarterback-needy team on the draft board and big players in the Robert Griffin III sweepstakes. The question for Cleveland is just how determined it is to make Griffin its franchise quarterback and become more dynamic on offense. If current perception becomes reality, the Browns will make a move to get RG3.
If the Browns opt to stay put, though, it's entirely possible they'll get leapfrogged by another team that covets Griffin. The St. Louis Rams are in a good position at No. 2 overall, because teams like the Washington Redskins (No. 6), Miami Dolphins (No. 8/9) or Seattle Seahawks (No. 11/12) could potentially make a deal to with the Rams to guarantee they get Griffin. If that happens, the second player on the board (USC OT Matt Kalil?) falls to the Minnesota Vikings at No. 3. If the Rams stay put and take Kalil or perhaps Oklahoma State WR Justin Blackmon, the Vikings then become the RG3 power brokers.
The fourth overall pick is likely to be a top offensive skill player, but which one? If Griffin's on the board, he's the guy for Cleveland. If not, do they opt for Blackmon? What about Alabama RB Trent Richardson, who is the rare running back worth such a high pick? There are a whole lot of moving parts, and the Browns are sure to be in the middle of things.
Washington Redskins (No. 6 overall)
The Redskins make the most sense when assessing teams that could trade up for Griffin. Coach Mike Shanahan has been searching for his next great quarterback ever since John Elway retired, and with the likes of Rex Grossman, John Beck and Jonathan Crompton currently on the depth chart, Shanahan clearly doesn't have that guy right now.
Washington general manager Bruce Allen is known for making draft-day deals, and if the Redskins haven't addressed their quarterback need in free agency (Peyton Manning or Matt Flynn?) you'd think they'll be chomping at the bit to make a trade and willing to mortgage the farm to get RG3.
However, despite their reputation as a free-spending team, the Redskins drafted smartly last year. They moved back six spots in the first round last year, picking up OLB Ryan Kerrigan and adding a second-pick after entering draft weekend without one. Washington used that second-round pick on DL Jarvis Jenkins, who suffered a season-ending injury in training camp but is expected to be an impact starter in 2012. They also got significant contributions from fourth-round RB Roy Helu, who could become the starter if free agent Tim Hightower does not return.
So if Washington holds at No. 6 and looks to address needs, wide receiver, cornerback and offensive line all come into play. It's not Shanahan's style to take a running back this early, even one as talented as Richardson, so Blackmon is an option here. Iowa OT Riley Reiff could also be a nice fit, and if LSU CB Morris Claiborne should make it out of the top five he would also make some sense.
Mark Barron is the kind of versatile player and quality leader the Cowboys need.
Dallas Cowboys (No. 14 overall)
What makes this pick so intriguing is that the Cowboys' top needs -- defensive secondary and linebacker -- are also the top needs for the division-rival Philadelphia Eagles, who pick at No. 15. First, the scenarios for the Cowboys.
Starting S Abram Elam is set to become a free agent, CB Terence Newman has lost a step thanks to nagging injuries and CB Orlando Scandrick has not played up to his contract, so a defensive back is high on the priority list. Problem is, Claiborne is likely to be off the board and the next two corners -- North Alabama's Janoris Jenkins and Alabama's Dre Kirkpatrick -- both carry some character baggage. Jenkins has the talent to be worth the risk, but will Dallas want to risk more headaches after getting plenty of aggravation from WR Dez Bryant?
That would leave Alabama S Mark Barron as the next option and, in my opinion, the right pick. Barron can be physical in run support, make plays from the point in coverage, and be the kind of high-character defensive leader the Cowboys need. And safety is becoming a more important position all the time given the increased role of tight ends in the passing game across the NFL. If Barron is off the board and the Cowboys don't take a corner, perhaps Boston College ILB Luke Kuechly comes into play given that Dallas LBs Bradie James and Anthony Spencer are set to be free agents.
Barron and Kuechly are players the Eagles will likely target as well, so there could be a bit of a cat-and-mouse game here. There is limited value at those positions in this area of the first round, so could the Eagles pull the trigger on a move in order to assure themselves of filling a need?
Cincinnati Bengals (Nos. 17 and 21)
The Bengals are in the unusual position of feeling pretty good about their recent draft history and current roster, and with two first-round picks -- their own at No. 21, and the 17th in return for sending QB Carson Palmer to Oakland -- they are in a position to find pieces that will help them seriously compete with Baltimore and Pittsburgh for the AFC North title.
The Bengals don't have a truly glaring need. Consider the players they've picked up in the first two rounds since 2007: WR A.J. Green; QB Andy Dalton; TE Jermaine Gresham; DE Carlos Dunlap; OT Andre Smith; LBs Rey Maualuga and Keith Rivers; WR Jerome Simpson and CB Leon Hall. That leaves Cincinnati with the option of upgrading at running back, and if Richardson should fall to the edge of the top 10 packaging one of their first-round picks -- perhaps with a second-rounder -- becomes an attractive option for the Bengals. Remember, given the rookie salary structure that took effect in 2011 , trading up that high now costs about half as much as it used to in terms of contract dollars.
Should that happen, Cincinnati could then use its remaining first-round pick to deal with a team looking to move up and take a quarterback like Ryan Tannehill (Texas A&M) or Brock Osweiler (Arizona State), and likely regain the second-rounder it would give up in the Richardson deal.
If the Bengals remain at 17 and 21, they would likely be able to fill a need at guard with Stanford's David DeCastro, the most dominant interior lineman in the nation in 2011. Cincinnati could also enact the "best available player" philosophy if Jenkins, Stanford OT Jonathan Martin or Alabama OLB/DE Courtney Upshaw begin sliding down the board. Either way, that extra pick makes the Bengals a dangerous team that could make plenty of noise.
New England Patriots (Nos. 27 and 31)
The Patriots seemingly always have two first-round picks and never seem to use both for themselves. With plenty of quarterbacks in the late-first-round area -- Tannehill, Osweiler, Arizona's Nick Foles, Oklahoma State's Brandon Weeden -- there should be no shortage of teams looking to get back into that area, and history tells us New England is likely to deal one of its picks and continue stockpiling selections.
The Patriots' holes are fairly obvious, though, and they have options. First, they need to upgrade their pass rush with a versatile OLB/DE type, and Syracuse's Chandler Jones or Clemson's Andre Branch would make sense late in Round 1. They also need a wide receiver who can stretch the field, be it a dynamic player like Baylor's Kendall Wright or a big-bodied target like Notre Dame's Michael Floyd.
New England could also solidify its secondary after missing on several recent picks there. The Patriots took CB Devin McCourty in the first round in 2010 but McCourty hit a sophomore slump in 2011, and '07 first-round S Brandon Meriweather is no longer with the team. Throw in departed second-rounders CB Donald Butler ('09) and CB Terrence Wheatley ('08), and you have a need there as well. Notre Dame S Harrison Smith would be a candidate, and should Kirkpatrick fall a shared connection with Nick Saban could ease some concerns for Patriots coach Bill Belichick.
And while we haven't seen the Patriots package picks and make bold moves to target a specific player or position in the first round, we've also come to expect the unexpected from Bill Belichick and can't completely rule out such a move this year. If they were to surprise us all and make an aggressive play, elite prospects like Claiborne, Blackmon, Barron and North Carolina DE Quinton Coples would all fit New England's needs.
Follow Todd McShay on Twitter: @McShay13
Originally Published: February 8, 2012
Five teams could shake up Round 1
Quarterbacks will play a big role in any movement that happens early in the NFL draft
By Todd McShay
ESPN Insider
The predraft process is getting ready to kick into high gear, with the upcoming NFL combine (Feb. 22-28), medical exams, film study and workouts all certain to shuffle the draft board to a certain degree.
And while we're still more than two months from draft weekend, with much to digest between now and then, we're already beginning to get a sense for the potential pressure points in the first round. There is plenty of intrigue already surrounding five teams in particular, all of whom could play big roles in Round 1 wheeling and dealing.
This week's edition of the Nickel Package breaks down the scenarios for all five.
RG3 could be the object of a bidding war early in the first round.
Cleveland Browns (No. 4 overall)
It seems a foregone conclusion the Indianapolis Colts will take Stanford QB Andrew Luck at No. 1 overall, which makes the Browns the next quarterback-needy team on the draft board and big players in the Robert Griffin III sweepstakes. The question for Cleveland is just how determined it is to make Griffin its franchise quarterback and become more dynamic on offense. If current perception becomes reality, the Browns will make a move to get RG3.
If the Browns opt to stay put, though, it's entirely possible they'll get leapfrogged by another team that covets Griffin. The St. Louis Rams are in a good position at No. 2 overall, because teams like the Washington Redskins (No. 6), Miami Dolphins (No. 8/9) or Seattle Seahawks (No. 11/12) could potentially make a deal to with the Rams to guarantee they get Griffin. If that happens, the second player on the board (USC OT Matt Kalil?) falls to the Minnesota Vikings at No. 3. If the Rams stay put and take Kalil or perhaps Oklahoma State WR Justin Blackmon, the Vikings then become the RG3 power brokers.
The fourth overall pick is likely to be a top offensive skill player, but which one? If Griffin's on the board, he's the guy for Cleveland. If not, do they opt for Blackmon? What about Alabama RB Trent Richardson, who is the rare running back worth such a high pick? There are a whole lot of moving parts, and the Browns are sure to be in the middle of things.
Washington Redskins (No. 6 overall)
The Redskins make the most sense when assessing teams that could trade up for Griffin. Coach Mike Shanahan has been searching for his next great quarterback ever since John Elway retired, and with the likes of Rex Grossman, John Beck and Jonathan Crompton currently on the depth chart, Shanahan clearly doesn't have that guy right now.
Washington general manager Bruce Allen is known for making draft-day deals, and if the Redskins haven't addressed their quarterback need in free agency (Peyton Manning or Matt Flynn?) you'd think they'll be chomping at the bit to make a trade and willing to mortgage the farm to get RG3.
However, despite their reputation as a free-spending team, the Redskins drafted smartly last year. They moved back six spots in the first round last year, picking up OLB Ryan Kerrigan and adding a second-pick after entering draft weekend without one. Washington used that second-round pick on DL Jarvis Jenkins, who suffered a season-ending injury in training camp but is expected to be an impact starter in 2012. They also got significant contributions from fourth-round RB Roy Helu, who could become the starter if free agent Tim Hightower does not return.
So if Washington holds at No. 6 and looks to address needs, wide receiver, cornerback and offensive line all come into play. It's not Shanahan's style to take a running back this early, even one as talented as Richardson, so Blackmon is an option here. Iowa OT Riley Reiff could also be a nice fit, and if LSU CB Morris Claiborne should make it out of the top five he would also make some sense.
Mark Barron is the kind of versatile player and quality leader the Cowboys need.
Dallas Cowboys (No. 14 overall)
What makes this pick so intriguing is that the Cowboys' top needs -- defensive secondary and linebacker -- are also the top needs for the division-rival Philadelphia Eagles, who pick at No. 15. First, the scenarios for the Cowboys.
Starting S Abram Elam is set to become a free agent, CB Terence Newman has lost a step thanks to nagging injuries and CB Orlando Scandrick has not played up to his contract, so a defensive back is high on the priority list. Problem is, Claiborne is likely to be off the board and the next two corners -- North Alabama's Janoris Jenkins and Alabama's Dre Kirkpatrick -- both carry some character baggage. Jenkins has the talent to be worth the risk, but will Dallas want to risk more headaches after getting plenty of aggravation from WR Dez Bryant?
That would leave Alabama S Mark Barron as the next option and, in my opinion, the right pick. Barron can be physical in run support, make plays from the point in coverage, and be the kind of high-character defensive leader the Cowboys need. And safety is becoming a more important position all the time given the increased role of tight ends in the passing game across the NFL. If Barron is off the board and the Cowboys don't take a corner, perhaps Boston College ILB Luke Kuechly comes into play given that Dallas LBs Bradie James and Anthony Spencer are set to be free agents.
Barron and Kuechly are players the Eagles will likely target as well, so there could be a bit of a cat-and-mouse game here. There is limited value at those positions in this area of the first round, so could the Eagles pull the trigger on a move in order to assure themselves of filling a need?
Cincinnati Bengals (Nos. 17 and 21)
The Bengals are in the unusual position of feeling pretty good about their recent draft history and current roster, and with two first-round picks -- their own at No. 21, and the 17th in return for sending QB Carson Palmer to Oakland -- they are in a position to find pieces that will help them seriously compete with Baltimore and Pittsburgh for the AFC North title.
The Bengals don't have a truly glaring need. Consider the players they've picked up in the first two rounds since 2007: WR A.J. Green; QB Andy Dalton; TE Jermaine Gresham; DE Carlos Dunlap; OT Andre Smith; LBs Rey Maualuga and Keith Rivers; WR Jerome Simpson and CB Leon Hall. That leaves Cincinnati with the option of upgrading at running back, and if Richardson should fall to the edge of the top 10 packaging one of their first-round picks -- perhaps with a second-rounder -- becomes an attractive option for the Bengals. Remember, given the rookie salary structure that took effect in 2011 , trading up that high now costs about half as much as it used to in terms of contract dollars.
Should that happen, Cincinnati could then use its remaining first-round pick to deal with a team looking to move up and take a quarterback like Ryan Tannehill (Texas A&M) or Brock Osweiler (Arizona State), and likely regain the second-rounder it would give up in the Richardson deal.
If the Bengals remain at 17 and 21, they would likely be able to fill a need at guard with Stanford's David DeCastro, the most dominant interior lineman in the nation in 2011. Cincinnati could also enact the "best available player" philosophy if Jenkins, Stanford OT Jonathan Martin or Alabama OLB/DE Courtney Upshaw begin sliding down the board. Either way, that extra pick makes the Bengals a dangerous team that could make plenty of noise.
New England Patriots (Nos. 27 and 31)
The Patriots seemingly always have two first-round picks and never seem to use both for themselves. With plenty of quarterbacks in the late-first-round area -- Tannehill, Osweiler, Arizona's Nick Foles, Oklahoma State's Brandon Weeden -- there should be no shortage of teams looking to get back into that area, and history tells us New England is likely to deal one of its picks and continue stockpiling selections.
The Patriots' holes are fairly obvious, though, and they have options. First, they need to upgrade their pass rush with a versatile OLB/DE type, and Syracuse's Chandler Jones or Clemson's Andre Branch would make sense late in Round 1. They also need a wide receiver who can stretch the field, be it a dynamic player like Baylor's Kendall Wright or a big-bodied target like Notre Dame's Michael Floyd.
New England could also solidify its secondary after missing on several recent picks there. The Patriots took CB Devin McCourty in the first round in 2010 but McCourty hit a sophomore slump in 2011, and '07 first-round S Brandon Meriweather is no longer with the team. Throw in departed second-rounders CB Donald Butler ('09) and CB Terrence Wheatley ('08), and you have a need there as well. Notre Dame S Harrison Smith would be a candidate, and should Kirkpatrick fall a shared connection with Nick Saban could ease some concerns for Patriots coach Bill Belichick.
And while we haven't seen the Patriots package picks and make bold moves to target a specific player or position in the first round, we've also come to expect the unexpected from Bill Belichick and can't completely rule out such a move this year. If they were to surprise us all and make an aggressive play, elite prospects like Claiborne, Blackmon, Barron and North Carolina DE Quinton Coples would all fit New England's needs.
Follow Todd McShay on Twitter: @McShay13
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I honestly tried searching through mocks, but I gave up since all I kept finding were final mock drafts.
I'm certain I saw mocks with Posey as an early 2nd and AJ as a late 2nd, maybe I'm imagining the 1st with Posey though
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More Griffin-Redskins buzz
11:46AM ET
Washington Redskins
UPDATE: Interesting tidbit to tack on to the rumors linking the Washington Redskins to Robert Griffin III. During an appearance on Bill Simmons' "BS Report" podcast, Michael Lombardi of the NFL Network indicated that not only is Griffin all but assured of being taken in one of the Top 2 spots in the NFL Draft, but that there's a particular reason why a trade between the Rams (currently at No. 2) and the Redskins may be a logical outcome.
"Mike Shanahan and Jeff Fisher are very close," Lombardi revealed. "If there's trade to be made, it'll happen between those two." (H/T to Evan Silva of Rotoworld for the quote).
---
It's not a certainty that the Redskins will aggressively target quarterbacks this offseason, but the growing consensus is that this will be the case. Some believe that they'll be amongst the teams most vigorously courting Peyton Manning; others think the Shanaclan's preference will be for Matt Flynn. Finally, there's the option of going for reigning Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III.
Acquiring Griffin will most likely require trading up from the Skins' current position at No. 6 -- either to No. 2 or No. 3 overall, depending upon what the other QB-needy teams do in free agency. If the Cleveland Browns, Miami Dolphins and Seattle Seahawks are all satisfied with their situation following free agency, maybe Washington won't have to trade up at all.
In all likelihood, however, Shanahan will need to surrender some serious draft capital in order to secure Griffin. Should he pull the trigger? ESPN NFC East blogger Dan Graziano and Football Scientist KC Joyner consider the question:
KC Joyner
RG3 would flourish in the Shanahan offense
"To get an idea of just how aggressive Mike Shanahan likes to be in the passing game, consider that Rex Grossman was able to rank 12th in the league in vertical pass attempts (171) despite starting only 13 games last year. If Shanahan let Grossman, a noted risk-taker, throw deep that often, one can only imagine how often he would let Griffin do so."
Dan Graziano
Free agency additions will give us a big hint
"The question for the Redskins is whether it's worth it to them to spend this year's first-round pick and next year's on a guy who could be the next Cam Newton. The answer likely lies somewhere in between now and the draft. The Redskins need to get to work in free agency. If they end up getting a quarterback like Kyle Orton or Matt Flynn or Peyton Manning in free agency, that'll tell you they've decided not to deal up for Griffin. But if they can really hit it big in free agency at wide receiver, offensive line and in the defensive secondary, and they fill those spots with guys they think can be long-term answers at those positions, then they may get to draft day with quarterback as their only remaining huge need, and at that point they may decide that next year's first-rounder is a worthwhile price for their long-term answer at the most important position. The question is whether you want to pick your franchise quarterback and tell him you won't have a first-round pick next year to help build the team around him. And the answer will change depending on how complete the rest of the roster looks come draft day."
11:46AM ET
Washington Redskins
UPDATE: Interesting tidbit to tack on to the rumors linking the Washington Redskins to Robert Griffin III. During an appearance on Bill Simmons' "BS Report" podcast, Michael Lombardi of the NFL Network indicated that not only is Griffin all but assured of being taken in one of the Top 2 spots in the NFL Draft, but that there's a particular reason why a trade between the Rams (currently at No. 2) and the Redskins may be a logical outcome.
"Mike Shanahan and Jeff Fisher are very close," Lombardi revealed. "If there's trade to be made, it'll happen between those two." (H/T to Evan Silva of Rotoworld for the quote).
---
It's not a certainty that the Redskins will aggressively target quarterbacks this offseason, but the growing consensus is that this will be the case. Some believe that they'll be amongst the teams most vigorously courting Peyton Manning; others think the Shanaclan's preference will be for Matt Flynn. Finally, there's the option of going for reigning Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III.
Acquiring Griffin will most likely require trading up from the Skins' current position at No. 6 -- either to No. 2 or No. 3 overall, depending upon what the other QB-needy teams do in free agency. If the Cleveland Browns, Miami Dolphins and Seattle Seahawks are all satisfied with their situation following free agency, maybe Washington won't have to trade up at all.
In all likelihood, however, Shanahan will need to surrender some serious draft capital in order to secure Griffin. Should he pull the trigger? ESPN NFC East blogger Dan Graziano and Football Scientist KC Joyner consider the question:
- Tim Kavanagh
KC Joyner
RG3 would flourish in the Shanahan offense
"To get an idea of just how aggressive Mike Shanahan likes to be in the passing game, consider that Rex Grossman was able to rank 12th in the league in vertical pass attempts (171) despite starting only 13 games last year. If Shanahan let Grossman, a noted risk-taker, throw deep that often, one can only imagine how often he would let Griffin do so."
Dan Graziano
Free agency additions will give us a big hint
"The question for the Redskins is whether it's worth it to them to spend this year's first-round pick and next year's on a guy who could be the next Cam Newton. The answer likely lies somewhere in between now and the draft. The Redskins need to get to work in free agency. If they end up getting a quarterback like Kyle Orton or Matt Flynn or Peyton Manning in free agency, that'll tell you they've decided not to deal up for Griffin. But if they can really hit it big in free agency at wide receiver, offensive line and in the defensive secondary, and they fill those spots with guys they think can be long-term answers at those positions, then they may get to draft day with quarterback as their only remaining huge need, and at that point they may decide that next year's first-rounder is a worthwhile price for their long-term answer at the most important position. The question is whether you want to pick your franchise quarterback and tell him you won't have a first-round pick next year to help build the team around him. And the answer will change depending on how complete the rest of the roster looks come draft day."
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Does anyone have an opinion about WR Stephen Hill? He lead the nation in average YPC (over 30, I believe) as a junior at GT this season. I know that's a bit misleading with the offense they run. Still, his skill set is intriguing to me. I admittedly don't get to see a lot of GT football, but he made some big plays during the few games I was able to catch. A couple highlight real grabs.
He's raw, but appears to have the speed to get deep and the size (listed at 6'5, 206) to go up and get it. I've read that he has issues with drops though, can anyone confirm? Also FWIW, he's bigger than 206 in my eyes.
He's raw, but appears to have the speed to get deep and the size (listed at 6'5, 206) to go up and get it. I've read that he has issues with drops though, can anyone confirm? Also FWIW, he's bigger than 206 in my eyes.
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He's certainly the most underrated receiver in this class. You already know the obvious by looking at highlights and seeing his size - one could see how valuable he would be to a team looking for some options around the goal line (redzone threat / nightmare for any defenses). He has the potential to be the next Calvin Johnson (hold your horses, I'm not referring to overall talent. But in terms of the skills / assets he brings to a team around in the redzone-goaline situations). He will catch the ball at its high point and won't allow the DB to out physical him for jump balls.
He's not entirely a "doof troop" either. Hill runs exceptionally well for a man his size and should run the forty yard dash in the 4.45-4.49 range. Gtech runs the "triple-option" on offense, which tells you off bat that he HAS TO be exceptional in his ability to block downfield for his RBs and/or his fellow receivers. I question his agility and his drive to get better overall as a receiver. As you pointed out his Yards Per Catch average is bananas, however, ALL of that I'm sure came from long bombs instead of short or intermediate passes that he caught and ran for long gains (Desean Jackson / Dwayne Bowe / Anquan Boldin / etc.). I don't like the way he runs routes - a smart defender would own him by being able to beat him to spots. Broncos are doing a good job in developing Deymarius Thomas, a team would have to do the same with Hill b/c it will take a full year or two for him to be considered starting material at the next level.
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griffin seems perfect for shanahan. rams could do a couple trade downs into the early teens and pick up a ton of picks over the next couple seasons. they really need the depth.
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NFL Draft Blog
Intriguing prospects standing out on film
February, 9, 2012 4:25PM ET
By Steve Muench
Film study continues to dominate in preparation for the upcoming NFL combine (Feb. 22-28), and plenty of prospects are making positive impressions.
Here's a look at five mid-to-late-round players who have stood out to me in recent days and which teams could be interested in the skills they bring to the table. Non-seniors are denoted with an asterisk.
Bobby Massie has the look of a potential NFL starter down the road.
Ole Miss OT Bobby Massie*(Scouts Inc. Grade: 76)
Massie could have improved his draft stock by returning to school for another year and working on his technique, especially sinking his hips and staying low, but he's still in the Day 2 range because he has the tools to become a starter at right tackle in the NFL.
At 6-foot-6 and 320 pounds, Massie uses his effective kick step, wide frame and long arms to mask his average initial quickness and protect the edge. He's also an effective positional run-blocker who moves laterally well enough to play in a zone-blocking-heavy scheme like the one the Washington Redskins run. Massie could give the Redskins insurance should RT Jammal Brown continue to have problems staying healthy, and with restricted free agent G Kory Lichtensteiger coming off a season-ending knee injury, Massie could slide inside and play guard until or unless he's needed at tackle
Illinois G Jeff Allen (61)
Allen played tackle in college, but his less-than-ideal footwork and frame (6-4, 306) make him a better fit at guard, where he has the strength and agility to develop into a starter early in his career.
However, Allen could develop into a valuable player who can start at guard and fill in at right tackle in a pinch if his footwork improves, because his arm length is at least average for a tackle prospect and he flashes the ability to redirect in pass protection. The Arizona Cardinals have two guards scheduled to become free agents and could stand to get younger along the offensive front, with three of their top four guards on the other side of 30.
Oklahoma DE Frank Alexander (59)
Alexander doesn't bend the edge or close on the quarterback as well as Sooners teammate Ronnell Lewis* (Grade: 85), but he has the potential to develop into an effective left end or wave/depth player in a base four-man front. Alexander is big (6-4, 262) and strong enough to set the edge against the run, and he masks his average explosiveness with active hands when rushing the passer.
Detroit could be a possible landing spot, though Alexander would clearly not be the answer should DE Cliff Avril leave via free agency. Still, Alexander would add depth if Avril stays or the Lions find an explosive edge-rusher to replace him if he departs. His ability to stop the run and contribute on early downs would allow the Lions to keep their edge-rushers fresher.
Boston College CB Donnie Fletcher (50)
The odds are stacked against Fletcher at this point, given that he did not receive an invite to the NFL combine and NFL teams have drafted just two defensive backs from Boston College since 1998. His scheme fits are also limited because Fletcher's tight hips and average burst hinder his ability to match up in man coverage.
However, I'll be surprised if he doesn't get a look on Day 3 of the draft. Fletcher's strength, instincts and ball skills could make him a valuable sub-package defensive back for a zone- or press-heavy defense. Keep an eye on the Chicago Bears, who have three corners scheduled to become free agents and the kind of zone scheme that fits Fletcher's skill set.
Miami WR Travis Benjamin (47)
Benjamin' checks in at just 5-10 and 164 pounds, so his ability to stay healthy and match up physically at the next level is an obvious concern. It will also be interesting to see how big his hands are when measured at the combine, because film study shows him dropping a good number of passes. His speed gets him on this list, though.
Benjamin is fast enough to climb over the top of the coverage, break away after a catch and provide big plays in the return game. The Dallas Cowboys are an interesting possibility, even if WR Laurent Robinson returns. Benjamin could offer some value on Day 3 with his potential to give the punt return unit a much-needed boost and push for playing time in four- or five-wide receiver sets
Intriguing prospects standing out on film
February, 9, 2012 4:25PM ET
By Steve Muench
Film study continues to dominate in preparation for the upcoming NFL combine (Feb. 22-28), and plenty of prospects are making positive impressions.
Here's a look at five mid-to-late-round players who have stood out to me in recent days and which teams could be interested in the skills they bring to the table. Non-seniors are denoted with an asterisk.
Bobby Massie has the look of a potential NFL starter down the road.
Ole Miss OT Bobby Massie*(Scouts Inc. Grade: 76)
Massie could have improved his draft stock by returning to school for another year and working on his technique, especially sinking his hips and staying low, but he's still in the Day 2 range because he has the tools to become a starter at right tackle in the NFL.
At 6-foot-6 and 320 pounds, Massie uses his effective kick step, wide frame and long arms to mask his average initial quickness and protect the edge. He's also an effective positional run-blocker who moves laterally well enough to play in a zone-blocking-heavy scheme like the one the Washington Redskins run. Massie could give the Redskins insurance should RT Jammal Brown continue to have problems staying healthy, and with restricted free agent G Kory Lichtensteiger coming off a season-ending knee injury, Massie could slide inside and play guard until or unless he's needed at tackle
Illinois G Jeff Allen (61)
Allen played tackle in college, but his less-than-ideal footwork and frame (6-4, 306) make him a better fit at guard, where he has the strength and agility to develop into a starter early in his career.
However, Allen could develop into a valuable player who can start at guard and fill in at right tackle in a pinch if his footwork improves, because his arm length is at least average for a tackle prospect and he flashes the ability to redirect in pass protection. The Arizona Cardinals have two guards scheduled to become free agents and could stand to get younger along the offensive front, with three of their top four guards on the other side of 30.
Oklahoma DE Frank Alexander (59)
Alexander doesn't bend the edge or close on the quarterback as well as Sooners teammate Ronnell Lewis* (Grade: 85), but he has the potential to develop into an effective left end or wave/depth player in a base four-man front. Alexander is big (6-4, 262) and strong enough to set the edge against the run, and he masks his average explosiveness with active hands when rushing the passer.
Detroit could be a possible landing spot, though Alexander would clearly not be the answer should DE Cliff Avril leave via free agency. Still, Alexander would add depth if Avril stays or the Lions find an explosive edge-rusher to replace him if he departs. His ability to stop the run and contribute on early downs would allow the Lions to keep their edge-rushers fresher.
Boston College CB Donnie Fletcher (50)
The odds are stacked against Fletcher at this point, given that he did not receive an invite to the NFL combine and NFL teams have drafted just two defensive backs from Boston College since 1998. His scheme fits are also limited because Fletcher's tight hips and average burst hinder his ability to match up in man coverage.
However, I'll be surprised if he doesn't get a look on Day 3 of the draft. Fletcher's strength, instincts and ball skills could make him a valuable sub-package defensive back for a zone- or press-heavy defense. Keep an eye on the Chicago Bears, who have three corners scheduled to become free agents and the kind of zone scheme that fits Fletcher's skill set.
Miami WR Travis Benjamin (47)
Benjamin' checks in at just 5-10 and 164 pounds, so his ability to stay healthy and match up physically at the next level is an obvious concern. It will also be interesting to see how big his hands are when measured at the combine, because film study shows him dropping a good number of passes. His speed gets him on this list, though.
Benjamin is fast enough to climb over the top of the coverage, break away after a catch and provide big plays in the return game. The Dallas Cowboys are an interesting possibility, even if WR Laurent Robinson returns. Benjamin could offer some value on Day 3 with his potential to give the punt return unit a much-needed boost and push for playing time in four- or five-wide receiver sets
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I appreciate the response. It's pretty apparent that he's got a bunch of talent. One thing that I like to see out of WRs is production despite not having stellar QB play. Hill made some impressive plays on the ball this year.
I've actually seen a recent mock (Drafttek maybe?) that has us taking him in the 1st. That's a bit rich IMO, but my knowledge is limited. Can definitely see teams admiring what he could bring to the table.
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