Red_Alert
^^ Privileged ^^
this here is the main thing. You guys keep talking about undefeated and 1 loss teams, but you need to think about teams winning championships with more losses.
Here's an example, it's purely hypothetical:
Oregon is 12-1 and PAC 12 champs
MSU is 12-1 and B1G champs
FSU is 13-0 and ACC champs
OK is 11-1 and the Big 12 champ
Then the SEC gets fucked up by having Florida (with losses to Bama, LSU, FSU) at 8-3 manages to win the SEC championship over say a 12-0 Auburn or Bama or Miss St team. Then there is also a 11-1 Auburn or Bama or Miss St team sitting there in SEC West. So your SEC choices are: Champ Florida at 9-3, Loser to Florida at 12-1 and other SEC West team at 11-1.
There's your worse case scenario. I'm realistic the B1G is down so you take an SEC team over MSU, but which one?
throw in some more oddities. say:
PAC12 beats up on each other and Stanford wins it at 11-2.
ND manages to beat FSU, so they are 12-0 and FSU is 12-1.
Big 12 also beats up each other and it's Baylor at 11-2 and considered champs.
MSU is still 12-1 and B1G champs.
SEC is even worse than above, FL wins it at 9-3, Bama loses the champ game and is 11-2, there is another SEC West team at 10-2.
Now what? Can you really ignore the SEC? ND gets in as undefeated, I think MSU as a conference champ gets in. (but does this change if it's Oregon instead of Stanford at 11-2). Is FSU out since they lost to ND or is that better record trump SEC and Big 12?
Man, this can sure be a cluster if the incorrect team wins their conferences championship game.
Right. Upsets happen in CCG's. The odds of it happening increase when the game is a rematch of the regular season.
Case in point 2012 Wiisconsin (7-5) winning the Big 10 CCG over a (10-2) Nebraska team that had already beat them in the regular season. It's difficult to win rematches because the team that won the first game knows how they got beat the first time and makes adjustments.
In that case neither team deserved to go to the play-off even though Wisconsin was the conference champ.