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Chef99

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Damn those pints!

10948898_746332788791173_854471845_n.jpg
 

HaroldSeattle

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This hypothetical player wouldve been RB7 last year in ppr. Id be starting him every week.

And even if you arent youre odds are still 50/50 when you play him. Expected value of 15 points instead of expected value of 12.

The majority of fantasy players might dislike those players but I think theyre wrong too.

Guess we'll see how that works out for you in D2, but since you traded for David Johnson, maybe not.
 

Brees#1

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Those duds might cost you just like those 30 pointers might win you weeks.

You take both, bench the stud player for the playoffs and then play him in a matchup he's prime to go off in.
 

HaroldSeattle

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Wait Im confused...what does DJ have to do with this?

Because up tell then you went with a lot of boom or bust types. David Johnson on the other hand is a fairly sure thing, cover up for some players that bust. Great insurance policy and I'm jealous that you pulled that off so cheaply.
 

TREFF

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In that hypothetical situation youre correct, but thats a very narrowly defined situation.
But it happens alot, consistency is always better than an oddball blow up. It more reliable, more predictable, and gives you better odds at success every week. You're not going to find hardly anyone anywhere that wouldn't agree
 

ehb5

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Because up tell then you went with a lot of boom or bust types. David Johnson on the other hand is a fairly sure thing, cover up for some players that bust. Great insurance policy and I'm jealous that you pulled that off so cheaply.

Ahh ok. Yea thats true (although I think AB is about as consistent as they come). But hey like I said I just want more points...and nobody was scoring more tan DJ last year.
 

ehb5

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But it happens alot, consistency is always better than an oddball blow up. It more reliable, more predictable, and gives you better odds at success every week. You're not going to find hardly anyone anywhere that wouldn't agree

Im not sure it happens more often than the alternative.

Ill take a shot at greatness over guaranteed mediocrity.

And if nobody else agrees thats ok with me :D
 

TREFF

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Im not sure it happens more often than the alternative.

Ill take a shot at greatness over guaranteed mediocrity.

And if nobody else agrees thats ok with me :D
I prefer consistency and a shot at the occasional week of greatness. That's why i never draft Djax or Landry. (Except my absurd scoring big play league. .Djax's big weeks in that one are worth the duds, cuz top scorer at years end wins the same amount as playoff winner)
 

Brees#1

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How do you know when hes primed to go off though?

Look at the matchup. Like last year, Cooks in Arizona. The year before, Woodhead against Miami. Those were both week 15. Generally, studs or products of studs(such as elite qb) tend to go off in fantasy playoffs.
 

SteelersPride

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Look at the matchup. Like last year, Cooks in Arizona. The year before, Woodhead against Miami. Those were both week 15. Generally, studs or products of studs(such as elite qb) tend to go off in fantasy playoffs.
oh so i know in wk 15 its gonna happen
 
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