Broncos vs. Jags -28 point spread.

[Malibu]

I wont bet on this one but Denver will cover this spread. Y! SPORTS

 

[Malibu]

45-10 Broncos. Hopefully its over quick and get some guys out of the game.

 

[Broncos6482]

28 points is a ridiculous number for the NFL. I'm not a gambler, but no way would I touch this game if I were. Of course Denver should cover 28, but there are just too many factors that could keep it from happening.

 

[Broncosr0k]

I know this sounds terrible but part of me wants to see them sit some starters on defense to get them healthy. The jags are weak. We have a tough couple of games before the bye and could use all the help we can get against the colts.

 

[KwitYerWhinin]

Madden predicts the score for this game

Y! SPORTS

 

[Malibu]

Im staying away from this game but I see Denver covering the spread.

 

[NEhomer]

I agree that it won't take much to prevent this from being covered. Man, that's a lot of points to be down at kickoff. It's down to 26.5 last I read and sure, Broncs might roll but you can also count on Q4 without Peyton and just a garbage TD or two and it's a lost bet.

 

[grim rpr]

I agree that it won't take much to prevent this from being covered. Man, that's a lot of points to be down at kickoff. It's down to 26.5 last I read and sure, Broncs might roll but you can also count on Q4 without Peyton and just a garbage TD or two and it's a lost bet.

I agree about the garbage time.. this is a perfect week to start blackmon in fantasy... the jags will be down quick and it will be all air time for the jags. If champ plays he wont play the whole game so blackmon could have a nice game but denver wins easy... I am also starting Peyton so if he gets pulled by the 4th I am hoping for passing tds early and often lol.

 

[MrDoc420]

I'm actually going to say they don't cover and this ends up being a 35-10 game. I think between Blackmon, Shorts and MJD, one of those dudes is gonna get in the end zone.

I also think Manning only plays maybe through the 3rd quarter and has a rather pedestrian game for him going something like 28-38 318 yards and 3 TD's. We'll get close, but 28 really is an insane point spread.

 

[cdumler7]

Looks like Woodyard and Ayers will possibly miss this upcoming game. Harris and Champ were full participants at practice today so I would expect them but Ayers and Woodyard set out. No idea on how long they are expected to miss but I think both are more of a caution than concern of why they have been sitting out.

On the other side though the Jaguars are missing a ton of players. Gabbert is for sure out. Shorts did not practice and neither did Mercedes Lewis. With us missing Woodyard Lewis being out should help. This could give Steven Johnson some quality playing time in the middle for this upcoming game.

 

[WalkerBoh]

I'm actually going to say they don't cover and this ends up being a 35-10 game. I think between Blackmon, Shorts and MJD, one of those dudes is gonna get in the end zone.

I also think Manning only plays maybe through the 3rd quarter and has a rather pedestrian game for him going something like 28-38 318 yards and 3 TD's. We'll get close, but 28 really is an insane point spread.

Would like to hear the rationale on this, especially since the Jags are allowing 32+ points per game so far. What's there to slow down Manning and Company?

As for our D, Bailey's due back this week. So that could mean DRC and Bailey up against Shorts and Blackmon. Harris might be playing too. This should help some, as a lot of the big plays we've allowed on defense are due to miscommunications, and other execution errors. Bailey calling the secondary should help that.

After that, we have the return of Miller, who reportedly has about 5 lbs more muscle mass than he carried last season. He's been working hard with a trainer during his "vacation", so all he'll need to do is rebuild the game stamina. Will be very interesting to see what our defense does with these two back in the line-up.

 

[MrDoc420]

Would like to hear the rationale on this, especially since the Jags are allowing 32+ points per game so far. What's there to slow down Manning and Company?

As for our D, Bailey's due back this week. So that could mean DRC and Bailey up against Shorts and Blackmon. Harris might be playing too. This should help some, as a lot of the big plays we've allowed on defense are due to miscommunications, and other execution errors. Bailey calling the secondary should help that.

After that, we have the return of Miller, who reportedly has about 5 lbs more muscle mass than he carried last season. He's been working hard with a trainer during his "vacation", so all he'll need to do is rebuild the game stamina. Will be very interesting to see what our defense does with these two back in the line-up.

My only rationale on this is that I think most of the starters will be out after halftime, or midway through the 3rd quarter. If they were going to be playing all 60 minutes I wouldn't be making this bold prediction. Look, I know the Jags are terrible, but you know they're gonna be playing 1000% this weekend because they've been trashed in the media all week about how they're gonna get waxed by 50 and whatnot.....

And IMO Henne is better than Gabbert (they both suck, but Henne less) and if there is one thing he can do it's throw the ball downfield, so maybe they hit a big play.....that's not too far fetched.

I still think we stomp them, but it's not gonna be the 56-7 murder like alot of people are thinking.

 

[iknowftbll]

I think even with a few players like Woodyard and Ayers out, Del Rio is going to dial up a little something special for the Jags. For several reasons. First, it's his old team. Secondly, the defense owes the team a statement game after that 48 point/500+ yard pasting the Cowboys hung on them last week. The Jags have issues at the O-line and have struggled all year to move the ball on offense and finish drives with scores. I don't think the Broncos defense is good enough or healthy enough to pitch a shutout, but I don't see the Jaguars scoring more than 14 points.

Offensively I see the Broncos doing what they do to open the game, taking a nice lead into halftime. But I can see them taking their foot off the gas after scoring on the opening drive of the second half, then bringing in some backups. I think they have enough talent amongst their backups and the Jags have a bad enough team that I can see the Broncos adding a couple late scores.

My prediction is a 41-14 game and a stadium that is nearly empty going into the 4th quarter.

 

[cdumler7]

I honestly could see the Broncos trying to shorten this game by running it a ton. Jacksonville is dead last in the NFL against the run and the Broncos have been looking for opportunities for Hillman and Ball to get some carries. I agree with you MrDoc that this game could be a little lower scoring that some think by this Bronco offense but because they actually just try to run it as much as they can and win the T.O.P. battle in this one. I still think the Broncos score in the 40's though as this is a home game and I can see the Broncos getting out very early in this one and putting up 28 or more in the first half then getting a couple more rushing touchdowns after the half.

 

[WalkerBoh]

Fair enough MrDoc. Not knocking anything, just was curious.

I think the fact it's a home game could keep the starters in longer than if it were in JAX. I have a feeling they'll play 3 quarters before going to rest, if Fox decides to rest them. As for Henne, he's only slightly better than Gabbert so far. Neither QB is really lighting up the scoreboard for the Jags this season.

Whether the spread is covered or not is a crap shoot. However, I don't see Jax keeping Denver under 40 points this week.

 

[WalkerBoh]

For reference, second highest spread (24 points) was the 8-4 Steelers vs. the 0-12 Buccaneers in 1976. Final score was 42-0, and the Steelers didn't score in the 4th. Bradshaw finished with 79 yards passing and 2 TD. Bulk of the damage was done on the ground. Oddly enough, it wasn't the biggest blowout played that week. Rams beat the Falcons 59-0.

 

[Morpheus]

I'm actually going to say they don't cover and this ends up being a 35-10 game. I think between Blackmon, Shorts and MJD, one of those dudes is gonna get in the end zone.

I also think Manning only plays maybe through the 3rd quarter and has a rather pedestrian game for him going something like 28-38 318 yards and 3 TD's. We'll get close, but 28 really is an insane point spread.[/QUOTE]



Pedestrian he says, lol.

Every QB in the NFL WISHES they were just "pedestrian".

 

[MrDoc420]

I'm actually going to say they don't cover and this ends up being a 35-10 game. I think between Blackmon, Shorts and MJD, one of those dudes is gonna get in the end zone.

I also think Manning only plays maybe through the 3rd quarter and has a rather pedestrian game for him going something like 28-38 318 yards and 3 TD's. We'll get close, but 28 really is an insane point spread.[/QUOTE]



Pedestrian he says, lol.

Every QB in the NFL WISHES they were just "pedestrian".

I meant pedestrian for him in terms of how he's played so far this year. You clearly couldn't rea.d into that......no real surprise there. Nothing Manning has done this year is pedestrian.

 

[MrDoc420]

Fair enough MrDoc. Not knocking anything, just was curious.

I think the fact it's a home game could keep the starters in longer than if it were in JAX. I have a feeling they'll play 3 quarters before going to rest, if Fox decides to rest them. As for Henne, he's only slightly better than Gabbert so far. Neither QB is really lighting up the scoreboard for the Jags this season.

Whether the spread is covered or not is a crap shoot. However, I don't see Jax keeping Denver under 40 points this week.

I'm with you on that Walker. Hell, Id actually prefer I was totally wrong and we win 60-3. I just have a feeling its not gonna be the complete ass whooping everybody thinks

FWIW.....there have only been 4-5 teams favored by 20 points or more in the last 30 years and none have covered.

We'll see.though.....I really do I'm hope I'm wrong. Doesn't matter all that much. We're gonna be 6-0 and that's all that matters

 

[iknowftbll]

We'll see.though.....I really do I'm hope I'm wrong. Doesn't matter all that much. We're gonna be 6-0 and that's all that matters

I genuinely don't care about the spread. I don't bet on games, and point spreads have more to do with generating equal action on both sides of the bet than they do actual performance. Obviously there is some statistical analysis that goes into a spread because there is a degree of expectation formed based on past performances, but the goal is not to be accurate so much as entice equal action.

The only spread I care about is the spread between six wins and zero losses. Of lesser priority to me, but still something I'd like to see this week is the defense having a good performance. If they give up 20+ points to the Jaguars I think we may have cause for concern. I hope they don't allow any garbage time scores this week. They've given up a lot of garbage points already, but then the Cowboys came in and rung them for 48 legitimate meaningful points. While I am not going to panic over one bad performance, I really want to see the defense rebound and completely shut down a team. The Jaguars are the perfect team to play this week for this reason.