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BamaDude
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It's looking more & more each day as if Texas & Oklahoma will be leaving the Big 12 for the SEC in the not-too-distant future (one to four years). With that likelihood on the horizon, here's what I think will happen to the rest of the Big 12:
Iowa St. & Kansas, the only AAU members left in the conference, will move to the Big 10 (both to the Western Division, with Purdue moving to the East). The Big 10 might prefer Virginia, North Carolina or Georgia Tech, but they are tied to the ACC through grants of rights through 2035-36.
West Virginia will either move to the ACC or the AAC. If it's the former, then pressure will be put on Notre Dame to finally come onboard for football (it might make their path to the playoffs easier).
Oklahoma St., TCU & Baylor will likely be bound for the AAC. Some of these teams will flirt with the Pac-12, but won't like the prospect of playing most of their games in the Mountain & Pacific time zones.
Texas Tech will most likely end up in the MWC or Pac-12 because their western location won't be as desirable to those leagues based primarily in the Eastern & Central time zones. CUSA & the Sun Belt might find them attractive, but the Red Raiders would not likely return the interest. If Texas Tech heads West, then they might be joined by Kansas St., and possibly some combination of BYU, Boise St. and/or Colorado St. Or, the Wildcats could join their former conference mates in the
AAC.
That's what I see working out if Texas & Oklahoma actually do join the SEC. If the Texas legislature finds a way to block the Longhorn's move, Oklahoma could still make the jump. If that were to happen, the SEC would probably elect to even things out by adding West Virginia, even though the Mountaineers don't move the needle nearly as much when it comes to television rights negotiations. But, Texas staying behind would give the Big 12 the advantage over the AAC as far as raiding each other for new members.
Iowa St. & Kansas, the only AAU members left in the conference, will move to the Big 10 (both to the Western Division, with Purdue moving to the East). The Big 10 might prefer Virginia, North Carolina or Georgia Tech, but they are tied to the ACC through grants of rights through 2035-36.
West Virginia will either move to the ACC or the AAC. If it's the former, then pressure will be put on Notre Dame to finally come onboard for football (it might make their path to the playoffs easier).
Oklahoma St., TCU & Baylor will likely be bound for the AAC. Some of these teams will flirt with the Pac-12, but won't like the prospect of playing most of their games in the Mountain & Pacific time zones.
Texas Tech will most likely end up in the MWC or Pac-12 because their western location won't be as desirable to those leagues based primarily in the Eastern & Central time zones. CUSA & the Sun Belt might find them attractive, but the Red Raiders would not likely return the interest. If Texas Tech heads West, then they might be joined by Kansas St., and possibly some combination of BYU, Boise St. and/or Colorado St. Or, the Wildcats could join their former conference mates in the
AAC.
That's what I see working out if Texas & Oklahoma actually do join the SEC. If the Texas legislature finds a way to block the Longhorn's move, Oklahoma could still make the jump. If that were to happen, the SEC would probably elect to even things out by adding West Virginia, even though the Mountaineers don't move the needle nearly as much when it comes to television rights negotiations. But, Texas staying behind would give the Big 12 the advantage over the AAC as far as raiding each other for new members.
