A.L. Central Discussion 2016

[MiamiVice]

Orioles about to give Gallardo 45 mil over 3 years... That has to make anyone signing Ian Fucking Kennedy to a 5 year 70 mil deal want to puke.

 

[Fountain City Blues]

Gallardo and his sub 6 K/9? Have fun with the 4.8 ERA in Camden, O's.

 

[VikingFan2k2]

Gallardo and his sub 6 K/9? Have fun with the 4.8 ERA in Camden, O's.

Yeah, that's absurd. Especially in that ballpark.

 

[MiamiVice]

Gallardo and his sub 6 K/9? Have fun with the 4.8 ERA in Camden, O's.

LOL.. want to go down Kennedy's shit numbers again and explain how its worth 2 more years and 25 million more?

 

[MiamiVice]

Its not like the Rangers ball park isn't a homerun park...

 

[Fountain City Blues]

LOL.. want to go down Kennedy's shit numbers again and explain how its worth 2 more years and 20 million more?

His 3.70 xFIP is very shitty, sure.

Regress his HR/FB% to his normal rates and he is more than fine. Had a similar profile in Ervin Santana and that worked out. Foresight.

Ian Kennedy has 9.30 K/9 and a 2.80 BB/9 and had an ERA of 3.63 as recently as 2014. Gallardo has a never ending tumbling K rate with his own inconsistencies in his BB/9 and HR rate. Kennedy's xFIP was 3.70 last year which bodes well for regression purposes.

 

[Fountain City Blues]

Its not like the Rangers ball park isn't a homerun park...

And his peripherals were still ass. There's a good reason nobody wants to touch him as if he were a leper. His HR/FB% was also abnormally low by his career's standards. Miller park is also a homer friendly park.

 

[MiamiVice]

His 3.70 xFIP is very shitty, sure.

Regress his HR/FB% to his normal rates and he is more than fine. Had a similar profile in Ervin Santana and that worked out. Foresight.

Ian Kennedy has 9.30 K/9 and a 2.80 BB/9 and had an ERA of 3.63 as recently as 2014. Gallardo has a never ending tumbling K rate with his own inconsistencies in his BB/9 and HR rate. Kennedy's xFIP was 3.70 last year which bodes well for regression purposes.

normal rate? The guy has had at least a HR/9 rate of 1 or more at least 7 times. He always has been a fucking meatball thrower. What is normal? 1.3 HR per 9 instead of 1.7? LOL

 

[Fountain City Blues]

normal rate? The guy has had at least a HR/9 rate of 1 or more at least 7 times. He always has been a fucking meatball thrower. What is normal? 1.3 HR per 9 instead of 1.7? LOL

We're not talking HR/9, we're talking HR/FB%.

17.2% last year vs his career average of 10.7% screams fluke.

 

[MiamiVice]

And his peripherals were still ass. There's a good reason nobody wants to touch him as if he were a leper. His HR/FB% was also abnormally low by his career's standards. Miller park is also a homer friendly park.

yeah.. and kennedy was on fire to the point he was worth 70 mil over 5 years... hahahahahaahah who the hell else was in on him? Nobody. The Royals were desperate. They signed a complete shit bag to a contract they are going to regret like a mo fo soon.

 

[Fountain City Blues]

yeah.. and kennedy was on fire to the point he was worth 70 mil over 5 years... hahahahahaahah who the hell else was in on him? Nobody. The Royals were desperate. They signed a complete shit bag to a contract they are going to regret like a mo fo soon.

Says a Tigers fan who signed a guy projected to be average for 110 million.

 

[MiamiVice]

We're not talking HR/9, we're talking HR/FB%.

17.2% last year vs his career average of 10.7% screams fluke.

It doesn't matter what his HR/FB% is when he gives up 25 HR+ all the time. He has been a full time MLBer for 8 years.. 4 of those years he has given up at least 26 hr.. that is ass.

 

[MiamiVice]

Says a Tigers fan who signed a guy projected to be average for 110 million.

i am sorry.. but you comparing kennedy to zimmerman is fucking hilarious.

 

[MiamiVice]

I bet you Jordan Zimmerman has an ERA at least a full point lower than Kennedy's... want to take the bet?

 

[MiamiVice]

Seriously.. there isn't anyone in their right mind that is going to argue successfully that giving Kennedy a 70 mil contract was smart... nor will they argue Kennedy is a good pitcher. You are going to be lucky to get Jeremy Guthrie numbers out of that clown.

 

[Fountain City Blues]

i am sorry.. but you comparing kennedy to zimmerman is fucking hilarious.

3.70 x FIP vs 3.82 for Zimmerman. Not particularly all that different going forward with Zimmerman's declining K-rate.

 

[MiamiVice]

3.70 x FIP vs 3.82 for Zimmerman. Not particularly all that different going forward with Zimmerman's declining K-rate.

Kennedy walks 3 batters a game and damn near gives up a HR for every start he is in... LOL.. seriously.. enjoy that piece of shit..

 

[Fountain City Blues]

i am sorry.. but you comparing kennedy to zimmerman is fucking hilarious.

Yet Kennedy has the better xFIP. Zimmerman's K-rate tumbled and probably isn't coming back. He'll be a 3.80 ERA guy going forward most likely.

 

[Fountain City Blues]

Kennedy walks 3 batters a game and damn near gives up a HR for every start he is in... LOL.. seriously.. enjoy that piece of shit..

If he strikes out over 9 (or even 8) like he has the past two years. That's not so big a deal.

 

[MiamiVice]

You might want to look up how many of Kennedy's meatball HR were multi run HR.. that is a fun stat in itself...


Fun Fact
Jordan Zimmerman has a HR/9 rate over 1 once in seasons where he was a fulltime MLBer.
Ian Kennedy has done that 7 times.