EOD, we have no idea. Anyone who pounds their chest or struts around the ring claiming “I knew all along” or “You can apologize to me now” is just internet tough-guying. His contract came in right about where it was reported to end up months ago, and he got nowhere near the 30M aav some were reporting he wanted or what he would get.
You aren’t comparing apples and apples. These other deals like Devonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle and Amon Ra St Brown will reveal similar things when you unravel them the way we’ve done with the Ayuik deal. This is the nature of NFL deals. There is the announced AAV based on public terms and then there’s the real when the guaranteed money is analyzed. I bet Ayuik is within 1-2 million AAV of those 3 other deals if we do the same kind of dissection.
This is also very true. The value of the extension is almost always overstated for public consumption. Smith is due $68.737M over 4 years but there are no easy outs for the Eagles. The 5th year at $24M looks potentially cheap. Waddle is getting $77.319M over 4 years for practical purposes with a non-guaranteed 5th year that could turn out to be $15M under his market value or $27M over it. St. Brown is getting $63.386M over 3 years and $23.98M in year 4. Technically he has $7.417M of year 4 guaranteed should he be cut after year 3. There's also a $35M+ non-guaranteed salary in year 5 that he may never see. Aiyuk is getting way more money than those WRs so his hold-out could be said to be very successful.
So you would say that Ayuik has been slotted alongside those 3 comparable salaries correct? Maybe I misunderstood but it sounds like what you’re saying is that when we just analyze the guaranteed money that the AAV for Ayuik is actually greater in the end.
Now the 49ers have the second most cap space in 2024 to try and satisfy Trent Williams and extend Purdy (48 mil to work with at this point). As a Seahawk fan I hate to see that. Trying to keep your core players together is hard with the cap and free agency, think the 49ers have done a good job of keeping the band together and keeping the window for another try at winning the Super Bowl open.
It is! Aiyuk is getting way more over 3 years and over 4 years. I'm not a WR expect but I thought St. Brown and Aiyuk were of similar NFL value. St. Brown gets $63.4M over 3 years, ($70.8M if cut), and $87.4M over 4 years. Aiyuk gets $76M over 3 years and $104.1M over 4 years. I'm surprised Aiyuk is getting that much more. Then again I didn't realise the other WRs were getting much less than was being talked about. Until today I hadn't crunched their numbers. I don't know what the Steelers and Patriots were really offering Aiyuk but the press made it sound like even bigger numbers. Maybe that wasn't true and maybe he didn't leave a lot of money on the table.
As a Rams fan I hate to see it as well, but I understand it. The 49ers have a phenomenal level of player talent on their 2024 roster. 2024 cap space isn't the big issue, at least not to me. I'd rather wait until the season starts and then look at how much future cap space teams have used to pay for players up to and including 2024. It's still a changing situation with some big name players potentially being extended very soon.
Yikes, this guy is all over the place with contracts now claiming the Waddle and Smith 25+ million per year deals as discounts.
The NFL called this tune with their one sided contracts. If you’re a player with leverage you’re foolish for not exercising that leverage. Not many players in the league have the leverage that a Chase has or a Trent Williams has.
