Can 12 B10 teams make the NCAA tourney?

[rmilia1]

12 teams currently in the Top 40 pf NET. Very few "bad losses" remain on any teams schedule and literally a dozen plus chances at good wins.

Is this the perfect storm for the league to send pretty near everyone to the tourney?

 

[jontaejones]

12 teams currently in the Top 40 pf NET. Very few "bad losses" remain on any teams schedule and literally a dozen plus chances at good wins.

Is this the perfect storm for the league to send pretty near everyone to the tourney?

No.

There's not enough wins around. My guess is it will be closer to 9.

Once you start losing a few of those home games, your NET starts to drop like a rock.

St Johns and DePaul were safely on the right side of the bubble and already after two weeks are safely on the wrong side.

 

[rmilia1]

No.

There's not enough wins around. My guess is it will be closer to 9.

Once you start losing a few of those home games, your NET starts to drop like a rock.

St Johns and DePaul were safely on the right side of the bubble and already after two weeks are safely on the wrong side.

Its interesting because so few teams are losing home games we could see 2 or 3 teams win 13/14/15, 2 teams lose 15/16 and everyone else win 9-11. I think thats a real possibility this year

 

[Stakesarehigh]

Tough league

 

[ericd7633]

At this point, I would guess 9 will make it. And if I had to predict which 3 wouldn't make it, it would be PSU, Iowa and Minnesota. Hope I'm wrong.

 

[ericd7633]

Its interesting because so few teams are losing home games we could see 2 or 3 teams win 13/14/15, 2 teams lose 15/16 and everyone else win 9-11. I think thats a real possibility this year

If we go 10-10 or 9-11 we aren't getting in unless we make the B1G tournament CG, and we'd have to be 10-10 more than likely. We'd be 19-15, if we finished 10-10 under this scenario. My reasoning for Iowa is I don't love their OOC SOS, plus they have the Nebraska loss on their resume. Can't afford a loss tonight in Evanston. As for PSU, their OOC SOS is one of the worst in the county. They may need to get to 11 wins in B1G play to make up for it. I'm not sure they can get there. As crazy as it sounds, the Minnesota/PSU game tomorrow night be an elimination game.

 

[jontaejones]

Its interesting because so few teams are losing home games we could see 2 or 3 teams win 13/14/15, 2 teams lose 15/16 and everyone else win 9-11. I think thats a real possibility this year

It could happen yea, I think if Northwestern and Nebraska lose the rest of their games, and teams are only able to win at home, you have a glut of teams within a game of .500. It's definitely possible.

I think if that happens, then all the teams make it.

I'm not sure if you want that as a league tho, you're just watering down seeds.

 

[rmilia1]

If we go 10-10 or 9-11 we aren't getting in unless we make the B1G tournament CG, and we'd have to be 10-10 more than likely. We'd be 19-15, if we finished 10-10 under this scenario. My reasoning for Iowa is I don't love their OOC SOS, plus they have the Nebraska loss on their resume. Can't afford a loss tonight in Evanston. As for PSU, their OOC SOS is one of the worst in the county. They may need to get to 11 wins in B1G play to make up for it. I'm not sure they can get there. As crazy as it sounds, the Minnesota/PSU game tomorrow night be an elimination game.

Totally fair on iowa. Im still not sure how good they actually are without Bohannon especially now with Frederick hurt. Even if they play well short term how long can 7 guys hold up playing all the minutes the rest of the year? Ill tell you im excited as hell for next year already though, assuming Garza and Weiskamp dont follow the moronic lead of Tyler Cook

 

[Hornsstampede2.0]

The 2020 BIG is like the Big 12 of basketball, a bunch of decent teams, but nobody is good.
Everyone in Big 12 football seems to go (7-5) every year, and this is oddly similar to the 2020 Big 10 basketball.

Decent teams can win on their home court.
Good teams can win on the road.
They might get a lot of teams, but there is very little reason to believe they are capable of winning anything.

Plus, the committee is going to be a lot harsher on the Big 10 soon
The committee is paying attention to this ROAD/HOME thing closely. It kills seeding and bids.

As a conference, the league is probably better off with fewer bids and more complete tourney teams top heavy.

 

[Shanemansj13]

Ohio St plays better in non-conference, they lose like every B1G game. If they don't step up their game they won't make the tourney with this awful B1G record. #21 but 12th in the conference scUM #19 but 11th in the conference.

Definitely bodes well for more teams in the tourney.

 

[rmilia1]

The 2020 BIG is like the Big 12 of basketball, a bunch of decent teams, but nobody is good.
Everyone in Big 12 football seems to go (7-5) every year, and this is oddly similar to the 2020 Big 10 basketball.

Decent teams can win on their home court.
Good teams can win on the road.
They might get a lot of teams, but there is very little reason to believe they are capable of winning anything.

Plus, the committee is going to be a lot harsher on the Big 10 soon
The committee is paying attention to this ROAD/HOME thing closely. It kills seeding and bids.

As a conference, the league is probably better off with fewer bids and more complete tourney teams top heavy.

Thats fair but you also pretty much described all but 2 or 3 teams in cbb this year . Very strange year

 

[Hitman Hart]

nope

 

[fredsdeadfriend]

I think we'll end up with 10 teams in the tourney. Nebraska and NW will be the left out for sure, and unfortunately they will win a few games that will only hurt the conference, and may be what keeps those 2 other teams out of it. But I'm thinking something like key injuries to vulnerable teams with little on the bench realistically will be the major determining factor. My Gophers, for example, an injury to one of the main guys would sink them for the season, they stay healthy, they'll likely be one of those 10 teams.