YankeeRebel
Well-Known Member
I suspect the only team on the radar would be the Jets?
Since you like history so much, look up the number of times QB's have tried to repeat a TD% of 9 or greater.
I'll give you a hint: They don't exist
Yeah, that number is going to drop to the 4%-5.5% range probably but there were some Clemson concepts in what the Texans were doing last year and they did something that really spurred QB growth in Watson. Hopkins/Fuller is a solid 1/2 combo, too.Since you like history so much, look up the number of times QB's have tried to repeat a TD% of 9 or greater.
I'll give you a hint: They don't exist
Bud, at no point am I comparing Watson to RG3. Ignore it.Lol, Watson isn't gonna throw 40 TDs so he sucks like RG3 did?
Texans in the AFC
Tough to find one in the NFC because it seems a lot more balanced but if I were to pick a real surprise that is rarely mentioned I will go Bears.
I like seeing opinions that are basically the opposite of mine. Although I do like the Titans as a sleeper, too, but that division in general is going to be really tough.bears are a good choice... problem is that they have the packers and Vikings in their division... But overall I agree, they have a decent enough defense, a QB who can evolve into a top half qb(the way other top picks have done), and a lot of skill at receiver...
The NFC is going to be exciting... I wouldn't be surprised if only one or two of last years playoff teams make it this year...
The AFC, again not so much... People want to say Houston to be a sleeper, but that defense is horrible, and they may have the worst offensive line EVER.... at least that's the exaggeration you hear from the experts...
I think the best sleeper in the AFC, despite them making the playoffs last year is the Titans... they may have made it last year, but nobody took them seriously... even though they won a game in the playoffs too...
maybe the broncos too...
Philly will be exposed.
I think there are 5 teams that are built to win now in the NFC in the Vikings, Eagles, Saints, Falcons and Rams. Two of those teams will be the top 2 seeds in the NFC. You might think there will be sleepers in the NFC but they aren't getting past that wall of talent. They aren't. Bookmark this. There won't be a sleeper in the NFC. Those rosters are too good.
I don't think they are under the radar though, I think most see them as a playoff team...
I would pick the giants...
the way I see it, is they have always WANTED to be a run first offense, especially as Eli has aged, now they finally have the back to do it... at least they hope... so if Barkley can be a top 10 RB, I can easily see this team being a playoff team... a good run game not only kills clock, but it makes your DEFENSE better, and helps your receiving game...
The giants had a top 10 defense in 2016, it is not far fetched to think that with an offense that could eat up time, that they can get back to being a top 10 defense...
Barkley's success can make this team Eli(TE)
The Saints are a team that could get bounced and the Packers are a team that could make the playoffs but I don't know if the Packers are really a sleeper. Aaron Rodgers is 88-38 as a starter since 2009 and I feel like the Packers have had just as much turnover as every other team. Drew Brees is 87-55 in the same span with a couple of historically bad defenses mixed in there. If both of their defenses are at least competent then they are probably both in the playoffs.NFC...I'm in agreement with @Clayton...the top 4 or 5 teams are simply better than the rest.
We differ a bit on who those 4 or 5 teams are, but not by much. I think ATL, PHI (learning how to win as the hunted week in week out will be a challenge), MIN will be at the top of the class. The Saints I'm not sure if they are for real on DEF or not. If they are, we know Brees will put up enough points for them to be a playoff team. I think the Giants will bounce back and contend with PHI for the east. I'm still curious of the Suh fit, but the Rams look great on paper and probably will take the west.
The team that has a lot to prove is GB....how many Ws is Rodgers truly worth?
AFC...Aside from PIT & NE, a lot more questions. Can JAX repeat their 2017 performance? Who steps up in the west? I think DEN bounces back but not sure how far...maybe 10 wins so they are my under the radar team in the AFC.
The Saints are a team that could get bounced and the Packers are a team that could make the playoffs but I don't know if the Packers are really a sleeper. Aaron Rodgers is 88-38 as a starter since 2009 and I feel like the Packers have had just as much turnover as every other team. Drew Brees is 87-55 in the same span with a couple of historically bad defenses mixed in there. If both of their defenses are at least competent then they are probably both in the playoffs.
Eli Manning is 69-74 over the same period. Even if the Giants have improved, thats tough to bet on
Giants are definitely one of the more interesting teams to watch. Eli probably hasn't had that level of talent in his backfield since prime Tiki Barber but that never actually translated into success for them beyond being slightly above average.GB, Agreed...as you've said, I'm not sure there are any real sleepers in a NFC.
Saints...we know what Brees is capable of, but that's a tough schedule if that DEF is not legit.
NYG...everything that could go wrong...for the most part went wrong LY. Barkley aside, I'm really looking for that very expensive DEF to rebound.
They could be solid. Bottom line you gotta wonder how healthy they're gonna be and what the chemistry is like between the WR's and Smith; if it develops and/or is worth much at allPeople are sleeping on the Redskins. If Guice starts, they could be pretty good.