Series Thread: Rangers Close Out Season in Seattle With Four Games September 28 - October 1

[Hambombs]

3 way means whoever has the tiebreak breaks down to a 2 way after the Astros take the division

 

[saddles]

It could be worth $7 million to him.

 

[WilltheThrill]

It could be worth $7 million to him.

If we get the good Heaney, he’s the most capable of the remaining options of throwing a shutout. He’s done it before. Of course that’s a very big IF…

 

[WilltheThrill]

3 way means whoever has the tiebreak breaks down to a 2 way after the Astros take the division

No it doesn’t. Why do you keep arguing this? It’s been said already by multiple reporters. A 3-way tie means we’re out.

The best intradivisional record belongs to the Mariners. That would leave us and the Astros for the last spot. And the Astros won the season series against us.

 

[Hambombs]

Not if it’s not a 3 way tie

 

[Senator_fan]

It could be worth $7 million to him.

He’ll get pulled after 6 even if he’s throwing a perfect game. Need that 7 million to sign a reliever and hope he opts out.
If Sunday is for the division they’ll start Dunning on short rest.

 

[WilltheThrill]

Not if it’s not a 3 way tie

Nobody is arguing that. You were the one who initially said we had already qualified. You said we would make it in with a 3-way tie. FALSE.

One last time… 2-way tie with Mariners means we’re in as the division champs. 3-way tie with Mariners and Astros means Mariners are division champs and Astros get the wild card over us.

 

[Senator_fan]

It’s been terrible to stomach the last two losses as a fan but the Rangers are statistically a 94.8% chance to make the playoffs with 2 games left. Is everybody panicking?

 

[WilltheThrill]

He’ll get pulled after 6 even if he’s throwing a perfect game. Need that 7 million to sign a reliever and hope he opts out.
If Sunday is for the division they’ll start Dunning on short rest.

As others have accurately stated, it’s all going to come down to whether the offense actually decides to show up or not. Because with 2 more performances like tonight, it won’t matter how perfect Heaney and Perez/Dunning are. The bats have to come alive or it’s all over.

 

[saddles]

He’ll get pulled after 6 even if he’s throwing a perfect game. Need that 7 million to sign a reliever and hope he opts out.
If Sunday is for the division they’ll start Dunning on short rest.

Just tell him he will be a reliever next year and either we have got a good reliever or he opts out to start somewhere else.

 

[WilltheThrill]

It’s been terrible to stomach the last two losses as a fan but the Rangers are statistically a 94.8% chance to make the playoffs with 2 games left. Is everybody panicking?

I’ve been thinking about that very strange thing. There are like 22 other teams who would kill to be in our position at this moment, just needing one win out of two games to get into the playoffs.

And if you had polled this board back in March if we would take being just 1 win away from the playoffs, you would have gotten a 100% positive response.

BUT… based on a) our team’s current complete inability to score any runs at all, and b) this franchise’s cursed history, it definitely feels like getting just 1 win will be impossible.

Of course, it’s not. But it feels that way.

 

[Bmurph]

Zero interest in seeing Bochy return next year

 

[saddles]

I’ve been thinking about that very strange thing. There are like 22 other teams who would kill to be in our position at this moment, just needing one win out of two games to get into the playoffs.

And if you had polled this board back in March if we would take being just 1 win away from the playoffs, you would have gotten a 100% positive response.

BUT… based on a) our team’s current complete inability to score any runs at all, and b) this franchise’s cursed history, it definitely feels like getting just 1 win will be impossible.

Of course, it’s not. But it feels that way.

I would have loved to have known we would be a game away from winning the division at this point. I gave never cared for the wildcard. If you would have asked me if I would have been happy to go into the playoffs limping badly and bleeding profusely I would gave said "no" to even the division.

 

[jaar01]

The Rangers have quit. They know they are out of pitching. They know they have the worst bullpen in baseball. They know even if they backed into the playoffs they would be defeated quickly.

Thursday night blown save, the 33rd blown save of the season, a franchise record by far, was the nail in the coffin just as I knew it would be.

Sad ending. But for a franchise known for choking and collapsing, this is pretty much to be expected I guess.

 

[Picklerick 2.0]

I’ve been thinking about that very strange thing. There are like 22 other teams who would kill to be in our position at this moment, just needing one win out of two games to get into the playoffs.

And if you had polled this board back in March if we would take being just 1 win away from the playoffs, you would have gotten a 100% positive response.

BUT… based on a) our team’s current complete inability to score any runs at all, and b) this franchise’s cursed history, it definitely feels like getting just 1 win will be impossible.

Of course, it’s not. But it feels that way.

There is one other factor going in your favor. Houston can smell the division title. I could very easily see them sweeping which backs you into the playoffs.

 

[Senator_fan]

What is the percentage that a baseball team wins all the games in a four game series?
The percentage that a baseball team wins all the games in a four game series is 6.25%.

To calculate this, we can use the following formula:

(1/2)^4 = 1/16 = 0.0625 = 6.25%

This is because each team has a 50/50 chance of winning each game in the series, and the probability of winning all four games is simply the product of the probabilities of winning each individual game.

Of course, this is just a theoretical calculation. In reality, there are many factors that can affect the outcome of a baseball game, such as the quality of the teams involved, the weather conditions, and even luck. However, the 6.25% figure gives us a general idea of how often a team can expect to win all the games in a four game series.

 

[Picklerick 2.0]

Nobody is arguing that. You were the one who initially said we had already qualified. You said we would make it in with a 3-way tie. FALSE.

One last time… 2-way tie with Mariners means we’re in as the division champs. 3-way tie with Mariners and Astros means Mariners are division champs and Astros get the wild card over us.

The only way Texas doesn't make it is if Seattle wins the next two games and Houston goes 1-1. If Houston wins both, it doesn't matter what happens in this series rangers are in, Seattle is out.. If Houston loses both, Seattle must win both to make it in wc with Texas as division champs.

 

[Picklerick 2.0]

It’s been terrible to stomach the last two losses as a fan but the Rangers are statistically a 94.8% chance to make the playoffs with 2 games left. Is everybody panicking?

94.8 is Toronto's chances. Texas has a 90.3 pct chance to make it. Still very high.

 

[Picklerick 2.0]

Not if it’s not a 3 way tie

What you are missing is that Houston does not win the division if it's a three way tie. Seattle does. After that it becomes a head to head with Texas and Houston. Houston wins the head to head. Texas out of it's a three way tie. Plane and simple.

 

[saddles]

94.8 is Toronto's chances. Texas has a 90.3 pct chance to make it. Still very high.

The percentages are blind to our offense, our relief pitching and our starting pitching situation.