Crimsoncrew
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I think it's doubtful that Tolzien will clear waivers if the Niners cut him. He was picked up by the Niners last season when the Chargers cut him and hoping he would clear waivers. I think The Chargers are still high on Tolzien and I also read somewhere, can't recall where though, that there are other teams that might be interested in him as well.
Also, just a hunch on my part, I think that Tolzien will make the roster and Johnson will get cut. I know it sound far fetched knowing JJ played for Harbaugh in college but I think that that argument is overrated. It's true that beat writer for the Niners have said that JJ looks like the most polished throwers amongst the QB's but his accuracy often comes in to question. Another factor to consider is that Tolzien was coached by QB Geep Chryst's brother in college and as the QB coach, Geep would have a lot of input on which QB's will make the team. Plus history is somewhat in Tolzien's side. Last year, without a benefit of an offseason, the Niners opted to pick Tolzien off of waivers and release McCown making Tolzien their 3rd string QB -- keep in mind McCown was also good during last year's pre-season games. Never the less, the Niners still went with an undrafted Rookie taken off of waivers from another team using another system. That shows a lot of confidence in Tolzien's abilities.
Right now, I think it's about 60-40 in terms of Johnson vs. Tolzien, but I think it's real close between those guys and could go either way. As far as the PS, it's possible a team would make a move for him, but I do think he'd have to play well in the preseason. Nine teams added guys in the draft this year, and many others added UDFA who they are high on. Tolzien was an UDFA himself last year. I think there's a fair chance he clears waivers, but it would be silly to risk it if we think he's got a shot to either be a very good backup or even a potential starter.