cdumler7
Well-Known Member
While I think Derek Carr may have been hailed a little too soon I think some of you are not looking at him objectively. Yes his career YPA is under 7, what do you expect from a 3 year QB who has started every game. Everyone does not come into the league with the supporting cast that Dak Prescott has. Last year he had an average YPA IMO but I also think that is one of the most overrated stats there is. 28 Td's to only 6 Ints and 64% completion percentage is more a telling scenario and indicitive what what the future could hold.
Yeah but those stats can be manipulated a lot more than yards per attempt. The 6 interceptions...Looks good until you realize he had 24 incterceptable passes on top of that that were dropped.
Also they have figured out there is a huge correlation between YPA and that of success by QB's. It is not a perfect stat but it is usually a pretty good one to show success or failure.
I would also add with his completion percentage his adjusted accuracy to include dropped balls and such is only 70.94%. This was good enough for 25th in the league. He also has a very high percentage of his throws that goes behind the LOS. Pretty much a majority of his throws are either behind the LOS or beyond 20 yards. His issues lie between those 2 points. He was 26th in completion percentage on throws 1-5 yards from the LOS. 32nd in the league in throws in the 6-10 range. 28th in the league on throws 11-15 and finally 26th in throws 16-20 yard range.
So pretty much Carr is having to still run what he did in college of either a screen pass or a fly route to make things work. His OL allows him the time to throw deep and have some hero ball throws. To be considered among the greats though he absolutely has to improve his ability to throw the mid-range pass. To me when I look at these stats I see a QB that has not actually improved a whole lot from college especially on his weaknesses. I see a QB that has vastly improved talent around him that helps him out to not be as exposed to his weaknesses.