Series Thread: Kansas City Royals vs San Francisco Giants

[Tai Chi≈Surfing]

The Giants, and other teams, use this strategy quite often in important game. Bum will 100% be available for 1 or 2 innings if needed.

Not sure how many of those pitchers on those others teams threw 117 pitches in 9 complete....perhaps if he had only gone 7or 8 tonight on 80-90 pitches I would lean towards agreeing with you.

 

[Liberal Icon]

But you forgot the underlying scenario in that Peavy has to pitch on Tues.
I like KC's chances to push this thing to 7.

That is okay because it is a far cry from the zero chance you gave the Giants. As I stated clearly long before this situation, I like the chances for Giants when you were very giddy with the chances for Royals. I still maintain that regardless of whether it goes 6 or 7 I like my Giants' chances.

 

[Tai Chi≈Surfing]

That is okay because it is a far cry from the zero chance you gave the Giants. As I stated clearly long before this situation, I like the chances for Giants when you were very giddy with the chances for Royals. I still maintain that regardless of whether it goes 6 or 7 I like my Giants' chances.

I pretty much gave them each a 50% chance from the onset. And of course you're gonna like the G's chances better.....why wouldn't you...they're your team.

 

[mr.hockey4242]

There is no doubt in my mind that Bum pitches game 7 if it happens(unless Hudson absolutely deals or something). If he is needed, he is going.


That said I think the odds on the next two games go as follows. 65/35 Royals in game 6. Game 7 is 50/50(maybe 55/45 royals)


But Royals have to win both so overall odds slightly favor Giants.

 

[msgkings322]

But you forgot the underlying scenario in that Peavy has to pitch on Tues.
I like KC's chances to push this thing to 7.

Yeah so what? The Royals' starters aren't anything special.

Probably a 40-45% chance the Royals win game 6.

 

[Tai Chi≈Surfing]

Dial down some of that hubris, guys....:rollseyes:

"That's just pride fuckin' with you........ Fuck Pride"

 

[Robotech]

There is no doubt in my mind that Bum pitches game 7 if it happens(unless Hudson absolutely deals or something). If he is needed, he is going.


That said I think the odds on the next two games go as follows. 65/35 Royals in game 6. Game 7 is 50/50(maybe 55/45 royals)


But Royals have to win both so overall odds slightly favor Giants.

Based on the odds you gave, the Royals have a 35.75% chance of winning the World Series.

 

[calsnowskier]

Dial down some of that hubris, guys....:rollseyes:

"That's just pride fuckin' with you........ Fuck Pride"

Hubris?

Where?

None of us are declaring the series over. Just that we like the Giants current situation.

 

[mr.hockey4242]

Based on the odds you gave, the Royals have a 35.75% chance of winning the World Series.

lol thanks that is kind of what I figured.

 

[msgkings322]

lol thanks that is kind of what I figured.

I'd put it more like 20-25%, but then I would do that as a fan...just as you are doing with your own bias.

So call it 28-30%?

 

[mr.hockey4242]

I'd put it more like 20-25%, but then I would do that as a fan...just as you are doing with your own bias.

So call it 28-30%?

I don't know where my bias is lol.

Royals already won both games started by Peavy and Hudson. They are at home with Ventura going. I think 65% is very probably.

Then a winner take all Game 7 is usually just that a toss up with a slight edge to home team. The fact that Bumgarner will probably appear takes out the home advantage...so it is about 50/50

Making as Robo said it about a 35% chance for Royals.

No bias, just logic.

If KC can already win two games in a row with these exact same starters and one of them be on the road. 35% chance they do it again with two home games is extremely reasonable.

 

[Clayton]

Game 4 was the big game. This was won when the starters were announced.

I know Ventura spanked the Giants but the Giants got 10 hits in the game when he started. Thats not nothing. Id say the Giants have about a 45% chance in Game 6.

Really tough to concentrate on this years baseball season at this point, tbh. Having a young kid just up and die really does tank things a bit.

 

[kcvet]

Hey where is that Royals kcvet or whatever


You watching this? Giants not bunting in the exact same situation as the Royals in game 3.


You still think the bunt is the smart play?

whatever is here. no I didn't see the game

 

[msgkings322]

Uber-stats guru Nate Silver droppin' science on the Royals' chances.

Spoiler alert: he's got them at about a 29% chance right now...

The Royals May Come To Regret Everything That Happened After This Moment | FiveThirtyEight

 

[BigRedMoe]

I don't know where my bias is lol.

Royals already won both games started by Peavy and Hudson. They are at home with Ventura going. I think 65% is very probably.

Then a winner take all Game 7 is usually just that a toss up with a slight edge to home team. The fact that Bumgarner will probably appear takes out the home advantage...so it is about 50/50

Making as Robo said it about a 35% chance for Royals.

No bias, just logic.

If KC can already win two games in a row with these exact same starters and one of them be on the road. 35% chance they do it again with two home games is extremely reasonable.

Just read this and posted in the stats thread: The home team hasn't lost a Game 7 since 1979. Didn't read how many Game 7s there have been in that time, at least 8 though.

 

[mr.hockey4242]

Just read this and posted in the stats thread: The home team hasn't lost a Game 7 since 1979. Didn't read how many Game 7s there have been in that time, at least 8 though.

Yeah so in baseball it's actually far more than a toss up. Guess I wasn't being biased at all lol.

I still like the Royals chances, sure they have their work cut out but they need to win 2 in a row at home. Nothing drastic.

 

[BigRedMoe]

Yeah so in baseball it's actually far more than a toss up. Guess I wasn't being biased at all lol.

I still like the Royals chances, sure they have their work cut out but they need to win 2 in a row at home. Nothing drastic.

They've been the cardiac kids for a good chunk of the season. Should be a good finish to the series. I know the projections don't look great for them, but that's why we play the games.

 

[Wishbone]

The Giants just seem like they have been there, done that. They just know how to win these things.

 

[HammerDown]

Am I right in saying that James Shields has been the difference in this series for the Giants?

 

[calsnowskier]

Am I right in saying that James Shields has been the difference in this series for the Giants?

No.