- Thread starter
- #21
CatsTopPac
Well-Known Member
Your numbers confused me.
You must mean win instead of lose, 4 percent chance to lose in the NC
I'd say they have a 70 percent chance to get to SS. And a 20 percent to get to EE, and a 5 percent chance to get to FF.
I really think they can dominate into the SS. Yes there schedule sucks, but not losing one game is pretty nutty. I think once in the sweet 16, they will have a tough game against a good 4/5 seed. They fairly well might edge that game out, but I doubt they get past the 2 or 3 seed, a lot of great 2 and 3 seeds this year, pretty spread across the board.
How are they confusing. I listing how far I think they get, and what I think their chances are. So I think there is a 0% chance of them losing in the first round, a 15% chance of them losing in the second round, a 45% chance of them losing in the Sweet 16, etc. How hard is that to figure out. I'm asking how far you think they will go. I think that there is a 45% chance that they will only go to the Sweet 16 (or lose in the Sweet 16 game.