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blstoker
Bill Bergen for HoF!
In the fire storm that has followed the Wild Card round, it appears that many people are forgetting that there is football to be played this weekend. Our opponent, though having a losing record coming into the playoffs, is a professional football team, and we all know that once the playoffs start, the regular season no longer matters. Here's some things I think are of interest for the game.
Kelvin Benjamin. The media and fans aren't the only ones who think that Benjamin is Carolina's only WR, the Panthers appear to think so as well. Benjamin will be force fed the ball. Over a quarter of the season's targets went to Benjamin (about half to Benjamin and Olson), though only about half were completed. The rest of the team had a 64% completion rate.
Greg Olsen. He's been a solid receiving TE for years, though this season was his first with 1000 yards (1008, exactly the same as Benjamin), and he led the team in receptions. He's a very solid security blanket (56 first downs) who isn't flashy like Benjamin, but it just as dangerous (or more so). K.J. and Bobby will need to ensure that Olsen is limited in how often he can be used as a check down.
Cam Newton. He's never lived up to the hype of his rookie season, when he threw for 4000 yards and ran for another 700. Though people like to say he's improved as a passer, his numbers seem to be mostly stagnant the last 3 years, with this season being his lowest QB rating of his career. He still runs the ball - 7.4 attempts per game (same as Wilson), and put up over 500 yards rushing this season, despite missing 2 games (media has been saying he runs it less this year due to injury concerns, but he carries the ball 0.5 times more per game this year than last year).
Luke Kuechly. The other MLB from the draft in 2012, or at least as Seahawks fans see it. He's been a tackling machine since coming into the league (163 this year). He's got 27 tackles in 3 games against Seattle, including 7 in this year's matchup. He is the leader of their defense and will need to be accounted for.
5 Game Win Streak. There has been a lot of talk about Carolina's 5 game win streak, and how they are the hottest team in the NFL coming into the playoffs (with Dallas), but it's a sham. In their 5 games, only Arizona had a winning record, and they were so bad at the time that they had dropped 4 of their last 6 (losing to Carolina made it 5 of 7). The combined record of the teams they faced the final 4 weeks was 22-42. The last time Carolina beat a team that ended with a winning record and was near full strength was Detroit in week 2.
Defense. Carolina, despite comments to the contrary, has a weak defense. Though they ranked top 10 (10th) in yards allowed, they were just 21st in scoring. They were also very weak against the run (16th in yards, 27th in yards per carry) despite playing a pass heavy schedule.
Turnovers. Carolina was also a top 10 team in forcing turnovers (26) and were very good at recovering fumbles. Seattle turned the ball over only 14 times this season (3rd fewest), but were fortunate to only lose 7 of their 23 fumbles. Seattle also has a +10 turnover margin, Carolina +3.
CLink. The last time Carolina was in Seattle was a 31-14 shellacking in 2010 (28 unanswered second half points). Seattle is 6-2 all time against the Panthers, and both loses were in Charlotte. This game should look more like the one back in the 2005 playoffs (34-14), but they can't look past them or bad things happen.
Kelvin Benjamin. The media and fans aren't the only ones who think that Benjamin is Carolina's only WR, the Panthers appear to think so as well. Benjamin will be force fed the ball. Over a quarter of the season's targets went to Benjamin (about half to Benjamin and Olson), though only about half were completed. The rest of the team had a 64% completion rate.
Greg Olsen. He's been a solid receiving TE for years, though this season was his first with 1000 yards (1008, exactly the same as Benjamin), and he led the team in receptions. He's a very solid security blanket (56 first downs) who isn't flashy like Benjamin, but it just as dangerous (or more so). K.J. and Bobby will need to ensure that Olsen is limited in how often he can be used as a check down.
Cam Newton. He's never lived up to the hype of his rookie season, when he threw for 4000 yards and ran for another 700. Though people like to say he's improved as a passer, his numbers seem to be mostly stagnant the last 3 years, with this season being his lowest QB rating of his career. He still runs the ball - 7.4 attempts per game (same as Wilson), and put up over 500 yards rushing this season, despite missing 2 games (media has been saying he runs it less this year due to injury concerns, but he carries the ball 0.5 times more per game this year than last year).
Luke Kuechly. The other MLB from the draft in 2012, or at least as Seahawks fans see it. He's been a tackling machine since coming into the league (163 this year). He's got 27 tackles in 3 games against Seattle, including 7 in this year's matchup. He is the leader of their defense and will need to be accounted for.
5 Game Win Streak. There has been a lot of talk about Carolina's 5 game win streak, and how they are the hottest team in the NFL coming into the playoffs (with Dallas), but it's a sham. In their 5 games, only Arizona had a winning record, and they were so bad at the time that they had dropped 4 of their last 6 (losing to Carolina made it 5 of 7). The combined record of the teams they faced the final 4 weeks was 22-42. The last time Carolina beat a team that ended with a winning record and was near full strength was Detroit in week 2.
Defense. Carolina, despite comments to the contrary, has a weak defense. Though they ranked top 10 (10th) in yards allowed, they were just 21st in scoring. They were also very weak against the run (16th in yards, 27th in yards per carry) despite playing a pass heavy schedule.
Turnovers. Carolina was also a top 10 team in forcing turnovers (26) and were very good at recovering fumbles. Seattle turned the ball over only 14 times this season (3rd fewest), but were fortunate to only lose 7 of their 23 fumbles. Seattle also has a +10 turnover margin, Carolina +3.
CLink. The last time Carolina was in Seattle was a 31-14 shellacking in 2010 (28 unanswered second half points). Seattle is 6-2 all time against the Panthers, and both loses were in Charlotte. This game should look more like the one back in the 2005 playoffs (34-14), but they can't look past them or bad things happen.