Badgers with the biggest upset @ #2MD

[Great Dayne]

Did any of you happen to watch Wisconsin vs. Maryland. I am still fucked off at that officiating crew for calling a double technical when Diamond Stone pushed a Badger player's head hard onto the floor on purpose. Stone is a recruit from Wisconsin who chose Maryland. I was always wishing him well until I saw him do that. The refs sure fucked that call up big time. Stone should have been kicked out of the game. I'm still pissed they didn't call a flagrant two foul and eject him from the game.

Stone was not smart enough to get into UW anyways and it shows on the court. This always seems to work on the side of the Badgers as this gives room to a player that fits the system more and then grows into a star despite not being highly recruited. Everyone but the refs apparently knew that incident validated an ejections. The refs should be fired.

 

[dcZONAfan]

2015 Indiana made it as the last team in for the BIG ten as a 9 seed and only won 9 BIG reg season games
2014 Iowa won 9 in the reg season was the last team to make it and was a 11 seed
2013 Minn last to make it won 8 in reg season and was an 11 seed
2012 Purdue last in won 10 reg 10 seed
2011 Penn St. won 9 and a 10 seed

So over the last five years the last team in had won 8-10 BIG wins with an avg about 9 and an average of 19 total wins.

Yeah but the B1G was great those years. It's not very good this year. That makes a huge difference

 

[LambeauLegs]

Wusconsin is listed as having a 10% chance of winning at MSU and a 13% chance of winning at Iowa. Going to be tough to win either but if they can finish 3-3 the rest of the way they'll be fine. Biggest game for them is really Michigan in Madison. That's a swing game. Badgers can afford losses at MSU, at Iowa and at Purdue as long as they win the other 3

My guess is the chance given to Bucky to beat Maryland was lower than the 2 you just posted.

 

[rmilia1]

My guess is the chance given to Bucky to beat Maryland was lower than the 2 you just posted.

It was 12 but Maryland is more susceptible to than Iowa. Not sure why the odds are so low for MSU but even if you double both of those the chances of Wisky winning both is neatly non existent and they'll have to do that plus win the other 4 to won the B10. Even then they may not. Being down 2 with 5 left is a tough nut to crack.

 

[Great Dayne]

Yeah but the B1G was great those years. It's not very good this year. That makes a huge difference

True but the BIG still won the BIG vs ACC challenge this season. UW has just 8 wins and they're considered a 10 seed in both the ESPN and CBS bracketology sites.

 

[rmilia1]

To me the most interesting B10 team is Ohio St. Buckeyes currently sit at 16-11 and 8-5 in conference. Home games left vs Michigan, MSU and Iowa with road games left at Nebraska and MSU. If OSU wins 3 of their last 5 they'd sit atv19-12 and 11-7. An 11-7 B10 team has never missed the tournament. It'd be intriguing to see what happens if that plays out

 

[ericd7633]

To me the most interesting B10 team is Ohio St. Buckeyes currently sit at 16-11 and 8-5 in conference. Home games left vs Michigan, MSU and Iowa with road games left at Nebraska and MSU. If OSU wins 3 of their last 5 they'd sit atv19-12 and 11-7. An 11-7 B10 team has never missed the tournament. It'd be intriguing to see what happens if that plays out

I don't think they'd make it with that record. That would put them with an RPI of 68 going into the B1GT. I think semi's appearance would be necessary.

 

[rmilia1]

I don't think they'd make it with that record. That would put them with an RPI of 68 going into the B1GT. I think semi's appearance would be necessary.

I agree but it would be crazy to see an 11-7 B10 team miss the tourney

 

[Hitman Hart]

True but the BIG still won the BIG vs ACC challenge this season. UW has just 8 wins and they're considered a 10 seed in both the ESPN and CBS bracketology sites.

That challenge has never determined which conference is better and it certainly doesn't determine whether or not a league is good or not. Its often played in late November/early December, you don't want to hit your stride as a team during that time frame.

 

[Great Dayne]

That challenge has never determined which conference is better and it certainly doesn't determine whether or not a league is good or not. Its often played in late November/early December, you don't want to hit your stride as a team during that time frame.

I agree but it's normally for bragging rights and the match-ups aren't always aligned up. Overall, November and December OOCS is how RPI is basically determined for the rest of the season. Yes I agree you don't want to hit your stride that early. Thankfully UW is getting hot at the right time but it was rough to start.

 

[H2S]

It was 12 but Maryland is more susceptible to than Iowa. Not sure why the odds are so low for MSU but even if you double both of those the chances of Wisky winning both is neatly non existent and they'll have to do that plus win the other 4 to won the B10. Even then they may not. Being down 2 with 5 left is a tough nut to crack.

love this stuff. Dayne was sayn earlier was a 99% chance of Wisconsin beating MSU or Iowa. (means, if my Spartans stomp Bucky's shit on Thursday - your guise is cheesed next Wednesday!)

 

[ericd7633]

I agree but it would be crazy to see an 11-7 B10 team miss the tourney

Yeah I would tend agree without context of that 11-7 record. But when you add in home losses to UT-Arlington, La Tech and a neutral court loss to Memphis on the resume OOC it would take more to overcome that.

 

[rmilia1]

People are too down on the B10 IMO. The bottom of the league is worse than its been a quite awhile but the top 3 teams in the league by most people's accounts ( Iowa, Maryland and MSU ) are all legit FF contenders and the league has 4 other team that can win 1-3 games in the tourney in my estimation and the advanced projections have 4 B10 teams in the Top 12 for best odds of winning the whole damn thing ( more the any other league including the B12 )

 

[Jim Rome is Flaming]

We've already beaten Mich St. and Iowa is playing their worst ball of the season. There's a 99% chance we win one of those games.

Okay you might want to slow your roll there. I love how we've been playing, but it's far from a foregone conclusion we win either of those games.

 

[Great Dayne]

Okay you might want to slow your roll there. I love how we've been playing, but it's far from a foregone conclusion we win either of those games.

It was a joke mocking rmillia since he loves %'s.

 

[Hornsstampede2.0]

12 losses is still 12 losses (if they go and lose to the 3 ranked road teams.)
Then unless they win the Big 10, they will end up with at least 13 losses.

The resume looks a lot better lately, but the committee really hates high loss totals.

14 losses is the most ever for an at-large team, but it has only happened one time in the last 16 years.
13 losses are more common, but it has been 4 years since it happened last.

Wisconsin has almost zero room at all thanks to a rising number of total losses.
They will feel a lot safer if they can pick up another upset besides Maryland to avoid 12 reg season losses.

 

[podsox]

Koenig has to be the weirdest player game to game. he looks like a top guard in the country half of his games and total shit in the others.

 

[Great Dayne]

12 losses is still 12 losses (if they go and lose to the 3 ranked road teams.)
Then unless they win the Big 10, they will end up with at least 13 losses.

The resume looks a lot better lately, but the committee really hates high loss totals.

14 losses is the most ever for an at-large team, but it has only happened one time in the last 16 years.
13 losses are more common, but it has been 4 years since it happened last.

Wisconsin has almost zero room at all thanks to a rising number of total losses.
They will feel a lot safer if they can pick up another upset besides Maryland to avoid 12 reg season losses.

Texas is a 5 seed right now and they already have 9 losses. UW will end up with a top ten SOS, over 11+ BIG wins and 19 total wins at the very least. They don't need another upset anymore.

 

[Hornsstampede2.0]

Texas is unlikely to get to 13+ losses barring upsets.
They have all their tough games at home. They have the cupcakes on the road.

But if Texas flops and gets 13+ losses, they better have a win versus Kansas or Oklahoma to go with that Carolina win. I wont count them as a surefire NCAA team with that many losses.

Nobody should ever rest easy with 13+ losses and that goes for Wisconsin.
The committee HATES losses. It doesn't matter if they were all double overtime losses.

No team has ever gotten in with 15 losses unless they won an automatic bid.
some have had 14 losses, but only 1 time in the last 16 years.
No 13 loss team has made it in 4 years.

 

[Great Dayne]

Koenig has to be the weirdest player game to game. he looks like a top guard in the country half of his games and total shit in the others.

I agree completely, he has the talent and athleticism to pull off a 30 pt game and a triple double but is the most inconsistent starter. Bo always had nothing but compliments for this kid. His handles, shot, and passing is amazing but just not consistent enough yet. He has the ability to be a 20 5 and 5 guy and a 50 40 90