A.L. Central Discussion 2016

[dougplayer]

Las Vegas is on hold....waiting for doug's predictions for this weeks Detroit vs Cleveland series.

Tigers at home. I give them 3/2 to win series.
3/1 for a sweep. Indians ascared to play in detriot. You can hear spinkters sucking air when they step in the box.

 

[Iffster]

Tigers at home. I give them 3/2 to win series.
3/1 for a sweep. Indians ascared to play in detriot. You can hear spinkters sucking air when they step in the box.

Doug - I know you don't bother with facts, stats, and that stuff....but Cleveland is 6-0 against Detroit this year, including winning three in Detroit. They also won 4 of the last 6 meeting with Detroit in 2015. So....since the Tribe has won 5 of the last 6 games they have played in Detroit...I doubt they are "ascared" to play there. (Unless you mean they are fearful due to the high crime rate around the stadium. But, I doubt that because hanging around Progressive Field is not like a stroll through Fairy-Tale Land)

I hope there will not be any "sprinklers"(????) sucking air, while anyone is batting, and that the grounds crew will make sure the watering system is running properly. The Illitch family got Detroit tax payers to fork over good money for that stadium, and things should run smoothly there....

 

[dougplayer]

Iffy. Go back another 20 series against tribe. Xacly.
Tigers own the tribe. Sure last 10 series they held up. Go look at 2012. 2013. 2014. OF course that would be like stat checking..you never 1 for that

 

[navamind]

Iffy. Go back another 20 series against tribe. Xacly.
Tigers own the tribe. Sure last 10 series they held up. Go look at 2012. 2013. 2014. OF course that would be like stat checking..you never 1 for that

Because MLB rosters stay the exact same on a year-to-year basis.

 

[dougplayer]

The stink of fear stays with a team. I believe we swept the tribe a few times in 2013.

 

[dougplayer]

Tigers the only central team to win today. Just saying. Indians miss fulmer. He is going to get a rest. Miss a start. Good move. You know assmouse didn't think of it. Probably Mr. I

 

[Iffster]

Iffy. Go back another 20 series against tribe. Xacly.
Tigers own the tribe. Sure last 10 series they held up. Go look at 2012. 2013. 2014. OF course that would be like stat checking..you never 1 for that

2012? Seriously doug? 2012. There are only THREE Tigers still remaining from that club: Verlander, Sanchez, and Cabrera. So you think comparing the 2012 Indians and Tigers would be an important consideration in posting odds for this weekends games? Are you a believer in ghosts and the supernatural too?

 

[Erie Warrior]

Iffy. Go back another 20 series against tribe. Xacly.
Tigers own the tribe. Sure last 10 series they held up. Go look at 2012. 2013. 2014. OF course that would be like stat checking..you never 1 for that

Don't live in the past, Doug.

 

[Omar 382]

Like ERA, outliers screw with it.

KC is something like +17 over their last weeks worth of games. And somewhere around -20 the week before.

Last week they lost 10-4, won 10-3, won 16-5 and 2-1 against the Heartiest team in the world.

Far too many games get "thrown away" for me to put much stock into who is where on a daily basis. Not saying it's useless, just that its wacky day to day throughout the season.

oh my gosh..........

 

[Omar 382]

Between iffy, doug, and bronco, this thread is known to produced headaches among readers

 

[broncosmitty]

oh my gosh..........

How's pill poppin' Thursday treatin' ya?

 

[Omar 382]

Yep, not funny

 

[broncosmitty]

Between iffy, doug, and bronco, this thread is known to produced headaches among readers

I'm sure there's a bottle something you can find to take care of it.

 

[broncosmitty]

Yep, not funny

I know.

 

[navamind]

Like ERA, outliers screw with it.

KC is something like +17 over their last weeks worth of games. And somewhere around -20 the week before.

Last week they lost 10-4, won 10-3, won 16-5 and 2-1 against the Heartiest team in the world.

Far too many games get "thrown away" for me to put much stock into who is where on a daily basis. Not saying it's useless, just that its wacky day to day throughout the season.

There will be blowouts that can skew a run differential. But that tends to even out over the course of the season. There's a reason it's rare to see a team with a negative run differential make the playoffs.

 

[da55bums]

Why do they boo Hosmer at Citi field? Because their first baseman doesnt know how to play catch with his catcher. Oh well its a complement anyway to disliked by NY.

because he is going to the Yankees not the Mets

 

[Good_Code]

because he is going to the Yankees not the Mets

I shutter to see our roster in 2018,. At least we got a few locked down for a while.

 

[broncosmitty]

There will be blowouts that can skew a run differential. But that tends to even out over the course of the season. There's a reason it's rare to see a team with a negative run differential make the playoffs.

Sure.

Is it any less probable to see a team with negative run differential than a team with a sub .500 record? (Only team I can think of <.500 is KC. And that was forever ago. In a short season. I assume there prolly are a couple others. Maybe not, idk.)

Records only change by a game, per game. You can see run differential swing by double digits per series on a regular basis. To me it's not a reliable indicator of what to expect from a team in the future. Not in baseball anyway.

 

[navamind]

Sure.

Is it any less probable to see a team with negative run differential than a team with a sub .500 record? (Only team I can think of <.500 is KC. And that was forever ago. In a short season. I assume there prolly are a couple others. Maybe not, idk.)

Records only change by a game, per game. You can see run differential swing by double digits per series on a regular basis. To me it's not a reliable indicator of what to expect from a team in the future. Not in baseball anyway.

Early in the season, sure.

Baseball Prospectus | Baseball Therapy: Is Oakland's Run Differential for Real?

That 2014 A's team is just bizarre. Their lineup fell off a cliff in the 2nd half. They weren't able to replace Cespedes' production, but it's not like he was lighting it up in Boston. Moss fell off a cliff after his hip injury. Donaldson was one of the few players on the team that hit in the 2nd half. They lost a lot of one-run games in August and September though.

 

[Good_Code]

Sure.

Is it any less probable to see a team with negative run differential than a team with a sub .500 record? (Only team I can think of <.500 is KC. And that was forever ago. In a short season. I assume there prolly are a couple others. Maybe not, idk.)

Records only change by a game, per game. You can see run differential swing by double digits per series on a regular basis. To me it's not a reliable indicator of what to expect from a team in the future. Not in baseball anyway.

A corelation is obvious but the type of team is in play. Good pitching but weak hitting makes for close games and in KCs case a lot bullpen wins. In the end one game at a time is all that matters. You just want that W.