2025 Season

[UVA_Guy81]

Saw the game Friday and most of the guys didn't look good at all. Hopefully, Morton got his bad start out of the way and has now worked off the rust. Mateo didn't really look good in the field from what I saw either. Jackson looked good (I still think the way they had him positioned, he had no chance to get to the bag for that one double play opportunity).
Didn't catch the game yesterday but looked like the offense woke back up.

 

[UVA_Guy81]

Hopefully they'll let Kjerstad get some more at bats now that Cowser is going to be out 6-8 weeks. I feel like it's definitely sink or swim time with him.

 

[hattersgonnahate]

Saw the game Friday and most of the guys didn't look good at all. Hopefully, Morton got his bad start out of the way and has now worked off the rust. Mateo didn't really look good in the field from what I saw either. Jackson looked good (I still think the way they had him positioned, he had no chance to get to the bag for that one double play opportunity).
Didn't catch the game yesterday but looked like the offense woke back up.

Regarding Morton: If this doesn't work out, I guess that's why the Orioles acquired Cody Poteet as additional SP depth to be safe?

Hopefully they'll let Kjerstad get some more at bats now that Cowser is going to be out 6-8 weeks. I feel like it's definitely sink or swim time with him.

This raises an interesting question: "Assuming that Henderson returns around 4/3, who's going to be the odd one out?"

• Mateo is one possibility, but the Orioles probably don't want to risk the possibility of another organization picking him up via waivers (plus that his speed and versatility were missed later in the 2024 season).
  
  
• Kjerstad does have options remaining, but starting him in the outfield by default is practically necessary in the absence of Cowser (except maybe vs. LHP, for which starting Laureano might make sense).
  
  
• That probably leaves Carlson, who also has options remaining (if the Orioles organization is okay about using Mateo as a fifth outfielder as well).

 

[UVA_Guy81]

Regarding Morton: If this doesn't work out, I guess that's why the Orioles acquired Cody Poteet as additional SP depth to be safe?



This raises an interesting question: "Assuming that Henderson returns around 4/3, who's going to be the odd one out?"

• Mateo is one possibility, but the Orioles probably don't want to risk the possibility of another organization picking him up via waivers (plus that his speed and versatility were missed later in the 2024 season).
  
  
• Kjerstad does have options remaining, but starting him in the outfield by default is practically necessary in the absence of Cowser (except maybe vs. LHP, for which starting Laureano might make sense).
  
  
• That probably leaves Carlson, who also has options remaining (if the Orioles organization is okay about using Mateo as a fifth outfielder as well).

My thoughts are that it’s going to be Carlson. I feel like they want to see if Kjerstad is going to be a key to the future or can be good trade bait.

 

[skinz2winz]

Saw the game Friday and most of the guys didn't look good at all. Hopefully, Morton got his bad start out of the way and has now worked off the rust. Mateo didn't really look good in the field from what I saw either. Jackson looked good (I still think the way they had him positioned, he had no chance to get to the bag for that one double play opportunity).
Didn't catch the game yesterday but looked like the offense woke back up.

Again, Morton looked crappy today. We are in trouble. Absolutely no pitching and while help may be on the way, it will be too late. Super disappointed in Elias & Co. The FO really took a step back this off season.

 

[hattersgonnahate]

Again, Morton looked crappy today. We are in trouble. Absolutely no pitching and while help may be on the way, it will be too late. Super disappointed in Elias & Co. The FO really took a step back this off season.

Overreaction of the day: "Fire everyone," because the front office is apparently in denial that this may be a 0.500 team based on the following circumstantial evidence:

• The 2024 Orioles went 38-40 (0.487) after June, and the 2025 team is weaker on paper than the 2024 team (at least in terms of pitching)
  
  
• While 7 games is a tiny sample size, the 2025 team has been highly inconsistent so far: The average scores have been 9.67-4.00 in the 3 wins, but 1.75-5.50 in the 4 losses. (For a more extreme hypothetical scenario, consider a team that scores 20 runs in half of its games but 0 runs in the other half, and always gives up 5 runs per game. That team would have a record of 81-81 despite a run differential of +810, or +5.00 runs per game.)

(In the meantime: At what point should they consider calling up Brandon Young et. al.? Surely there's someone currently in Norfolk who can do better than an ERA of 9 at the major league level, right...?)

 

[hattersgonnahate]

While 7 games is a tiny sample size, the 2025 team has been highly inconsistent so far: The average scores have been 9.67-4.00 in the 3 wins, but 1.75-5.50 in the 4 losses. (For a more extreme hypothetical scenario, consider a team that scores 20 runs in half of its games but 0 runs in the other half, and always gives up 5 runs per game. That team would have a record of 81-81 despite a run differential of +810, or +5.00 runs per game.)

Addendum: Out of curiosity, I pulled up the scores of every game from the last 3 Orioles seasons from Baseball Reference in order to compute the "average scores in wins and losses," and here are the results.

• 2024 (91-71): 6.46-2.71 in wins, 2.79-6.37 in losses
• 2023 (101-61): 6.31-2.93 in wins, 2.79-6.26 in losses
• 2022 (83-79): 5.70-2.64 in wins, 2.54-5.94 in losses

If we look at the standard deviation in runs scored and runs allowed instead:

• 2025 so far (3-4): Stdev = 4.56 for runs scored, 2.41 for runs allowed
• 2024 (91-71): Stdev = 3.14 for RS, 3.08 for RA
• 2023 (101-61): Stdev = 3.30 for RS, 2.95 for RA
• 2022 (83-79): Stdev = 3.00 for RS, 3.08 for RA

Obviously, one should expect the standard deviation to be larger with a smaller sample size... but if this trend continues, one might be able to make the argument that the hitting coaches may also be partly to blame...?

 

[UVA_Guy81]

Again, Morton looked crappy today. We are in trouble. Absolutely no pitching and while help may be on the way, it will be too late. Super disappointed in Elias & Co. The FO really took a step back this off season.

Hopefully Suarez and Grayson come back before it gets worse. Sugano is a wait and see for me since he was settling down after the first inning before the hand cramps.