Why is Denver an 8 point pick over KC?

[BobGnarly]

That makes a good point. However, I think it completely ignores the fact that Denver's defense has given up a ton of points this season. And have shown that they are hard pressed against a superior offense.

60/105 (57%) 626 5 TDs 4 INTs

That's Denver's pass D the last 3 games against Rivers, RG3, and Luck. Von Miller + Wesley Woodyard make a huge difference for this D in all facets

 

[Dude]

To state the obvious, this game will be a good indicator of both the Denver offense and the KC defense. Chiefs need to sustain long drives and keep Peyton off the field. Should be a great game.

 

[packerzrule]

I'd take the Chiefs and the points

 

[TDs3nOut]

When you consider that the home team usually gets 3 points just for playing at home a 7 point spread isn't that big of a deal.

But the spread is actually between 8 and 8.5 points and KC is 9-0. No team in NFL history with that good of a record has ever been that much of an underdog, even on the road. So, at least in that sense, it really is kind of a "big deal".

 

[BobGnarly]

Bower was arrested tis morning for speeding and marijuana

 

[BobGnarly]

-snip-

 

[Am I Blue Through it All?]

KC is a pretty scary team. I said so last year in terms of their young talent. Have no idea how the Colts beat them.

I suppose there is something of a maturation process in going from a "bye" to a serious contender. Like I always say, we shall see. But playing at Mile High is a real test for ANYONE. Peyton on one leg is still a real challenge. I expect the Broncho team to prevail. Not sure about the point spread though.

 

[MrMoJoRisin63]

B/C They are a better team on paper. But the game has to be played.

 

[Wazmankg]

I understand how the spread works, so I guess I didn't make myself clear in the OP. What I'm interested in is why do people seem to discount so heavily how KC has performed so far this season, particularly on defense?

They don't believe in them. Neither team has beaten a truly top notch opponent but we're talking about a team that was a fluke play away from advancing to the AFCC game last year led by Peyton Manning vs one that went 2-14 led by Alex Smith.

 

[TDs3nOut]

They don't believe in them. Neither team has beaten a truly top notch opponent but we're talking about a team that was a fluke play away from advancing to the AFCC game last year led by Peyton Manning vs one that went 2-14 led by Alex Smith.

I think you might be onto something there.

 

[Wazmankg]

And have shown that they are hard pressed against a superior offense.

Which KC clearly does not have. Their strength is the running game which happens to be the Broncos defensive strength... though that may have more to do with their opponents having to go to the passing game more often to play catch up.

 

[cdumler7]

That makes a good point. However, I think it completely ignores the fact that Denver's defense has given up a ton of points this season. And have shown that they are hard pressed against a superior offense.

The Broncos have played 2 top 10 offenses the last 2 games and have held both of them to 20 points or less. Not sure the whole superior offense thing holds true. Both quarterbacks were held under 200 yards for the games and one of their worst performances of the entire season. I think it is no coincidence that all of that coincides with the Broncos getting Von Miller and Wesley Woodyard back on the field.

 

[boltfan72]

8 points makes sense on surface. People think KC's offense will struggle and while Denver's offense will be slowed they will still score enough to win at home comfortably.

I'm avoiding this one on my parlay. If KC can pressure Manning on a bad ankle he may not finish the game. He also has something like 7 fumbles this year. KC gets a couple of turnovers and turns them in to points they could win this game. If not, they could get blown out.

This game could go in 50 different directions. Keep your money.

 

[Black Adam]

They don't believe in them. Neither team has beaten a truly top notch opponent but we're talking about a team that was a fluke play away from advancing to the AFCC game last year led by Peyton Manning vs one that went 2-14 led by Alex Smith.

err...

Alex Smith never led the Chiefs to a 2-14 record. Matt Cassel's another matter entirely...