What do you think the line will open up at next week?

[Jack_John_Mark]

And to further explain "from the mind of a football gambler"..............

I see games in multiples of 3's, 7's, and 10's..............simply because the majority of college football games are decided in these margins. So I see 10.5 being wayyyy different than 9.5, but I don't see 9.5 being any different than 8.5

 

[Red_Alert]

I think from the mind of a football gambler though...............to me 7.5 is the same as 9.5. If we cover 9.5, then we likely cover 7.5 as well...........so I'll wait to see if the line goes up or down.

I probably won't bet on anything under 10 though. If Washington can score 38 on us, then Wisconsin shouldn't have any problem doing the same.

I rarely looked at the stats or who each team had played when I gambled. I even got cut off by a couple of bookies back then. LOL The money line is meaningless and is nothing more than to keep 50/50 betting.

Look at the teams, what they do, and their personnel. There are some glaring issues here for 9.5

 

[Red_Alert]

BTW

Maher >>> French

He knows English.

 

[Jack_John_Mark]

I rarely looked at the stats or who each team had played when I gambled. I even got cut off by a couple of bookies back then. LOL The money line is meaningless and is nothing more than to keep 50/50 betting.

Look at the teams, what they do, and their personnel. There are some glaring issues here for 9.5

Maybe, but there are better chances that a game ends in a 3, 7, or 10 point win than a 9 point win

So 10.5 means automatic bet to me. 9.5 means I might as well wait to see if it goes down to 7.5 or goes up to 10.5

 

[Red_Alert]

Maybe, but there are better chances that a game ends in a 3, 7, or 10 point win than a 9 point win

So 10.5 means automatic bet to me. 9.5 means I might as well wait to see if it goes down to 7.5 or goes up to 10.5

Wut?

NVM

Good luck.

 

[Jack_John_Mark]

Wut?

NVM

Good luck.

lol.........I know it may sound confusing.


All I'm saying is, points are scored in 3's and 7's in football. Therefore, scores are more than likely going to end in 3, 7, or 10 point wins........or something that is a multiple of one of those.

For instance, 31-24 is a 7 point win. 31-21 is a 10 point win. You see those type of wins more often than you see 31-22 for a final score.

Thus, 10 points for a spread is a whole different number than 9.5 to me. I see 9.5 and 7 basically being the same thing..........both are under 10, that's the way I see them. There is just a much better chance that a game ends in a 7 point or 10 point decision, rather than a 9 point decision.

Thus, while the line is at 9.5, it really does me no good at this point to take action on it. Even if I get my money in on 7.5, it is really the same as 9.5 to me.

 

[Red_Alert]

lol.........I know it may sound confusing.


All I'm saying is, points are scored in 3's and 7's in football. Therefore, scores are more than likely going to end in 3, 7, or 10 point wins........or something that is a multiple of one of those.

For instance, 31-24 is a 7 point win. 31-21 is a 10 point win. You see those type of wins more often than you see 31-22 for a final score.

Thus, 10 points for a spread is a whole different number than 9.5 to me. I see 9.5 and 7 basically being the same thing..........both are under 10, that's the way I see them. There is just a much better chance that a game ends in a 7 point or 10 point decision, rather than a 9 point decision.

Thus, while the line is at 9.5, it really does me no good at this point to take action on it. Even if I get my money in on 7.5, it is really the same as 9.5 to me.

With all due respect JJM, I didn't even read that. I don't want you fuckin' me up.

 

[Jack_John_Mark]

With all due respect JJM, I didn't even read that. I don't want you fuckin' me up.

Fair enough. I'll summarize then. You see 10 point or 7 point wins more often than you see an 8 or 9 point win..........just due to the nature of the game, scoring TDs and field goals en sech.

 

[Red_Alert]

Fair enough. I'll summarize then. You see 10 point or 7 point wins more often than you see an 8 or 9 point win..........just due to the nature of the game, scoring TDs and field goals en sech.

I'll summarize too.

Wisconsin is not gonna cover 9.5

:bathbaby:

 

[Driaz]

lol.........I know it may sound confusing.


All I'm saying is, points are scored in 3's and 7's in football. Therefore, scores are more than likely going to end in 3, 7, or 10 point wins........or something that is a multiple of one of those.

For instance, 31-24 is a 7 point win. 31-21 is a 10 point win. You see those type of wins more often than you see 31-22 for a final score.

Thus, 10 points for a spread is a whole different number than 9.5 to me. I see 9.5 and 7 basically being the same thing..........both are under 10, that's the way I see them. There is just a much better chance that a game ends in a 7 point or 10 point decision, rather than a 9 point decision.

Thus, while the line is at 9.5, it really does me no good at this point to take action on it. Even if I get my money in on 7.5, it is really the same as 9.5 to me.

but 9 is a multiple of 3 is it not?

every score combination is possible as a multiple of 3 or 7 except 4,5,8, or 11....

I understand what you are saying, but it be flawed.......I remember a brutal score of 18-16 that sucked ass......

damn.....that was the last Husker loss that I took brutally hard.....I wouldn't talk to anybody else that night after that game.....I guess winning 3 of the next 4 titles and now no matter how bad a loss, it just doesn't effect me that badly anymore.......

 

[Driaz]

I'll summarize too.

Wisconsin is not gonna cover 9.5

:bathbaby:

dammit, I already repped you today.....but I owe you one!

 

[Jack_John_Mark]

Yes yes I know Driaz..........but I'm saying, if you look back through the history of scores, more scores end in 3, 7, and 10 point victories than any other margins.......

So I like to take the best odds possible. I am a gambler......I have a different way of seeing things en sech.

I'm a very cautious gambler.

 

[Jack_John_Mark]

I'll summarize too.

Wisconsin is not gonna cover 9.5

:bathbaby:

So what you're saying is, they're not going to cover 7.5 either then, right?

 

[Driaz]

So what you're saying is, they're not going to cover 7.5 either then, right?

Nope, they ain't gonna cover .5 points either......

 

[Jack_John_Mark]

Nope, they ain't gonna cover .5 points either......

Good, then I might as well wait to see if the line perhaps goes above 10 at any point

 

[Driaz]

Oh, and JJM, you never heard of a game ending 28-20? 31-23? 34-26? 17-9?


8 point victories are not uncommon.....so I would say there is definitely a difference between 7.5 and 8.5 and 9.5......

 

[Driaz]

Good, then I might as well wait to see if the line perhaps goes above 10 at any point

LOL

 

[Jack_John_Mark]

Oh, and JJM, you never heard of a game ending 28-20? 31-23? 34-26? 17-9?


8 point victories are not uncommon.....so I would say there is definitely a difference between 7.5 and 8.5 and 9.5......

Yes, yes.........I pointed out that games do end in that amount. But, statistically, more games have ended in 3, 7, and 10 point wins.

This is something that I was taught very early on in my sports gambling career. Assume that football games will be won by 3s, 7s, or 10s.......to give yournself the best odds

 

[Exorbitant]

I'll summarize too.

Wisconsin is not gonna cover 9.5

:bathbaby:

I agree with you here and I think Wisconsin, if they win, it will be by something like 28-21.

By the way, I don't think it was a coincidence that I guessed the opening line to be 9.5 and the first site I looked at, the line was at 9.5!.

Danny Sheridan's odds - USATODAY.com

 

[Driaz]

I agree with you here and I think Wisconsin will win, but it will be by something like 28-21.

By the way, I don't think it was a coincidence that I guessed the opening line to be 9.5 and the first site I looked at, the line was at 9.5!.

Danny Sheridan's odds - USATODAY.com

So you're saying you're Danny Sheridan???