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The Normal Distribution Rule

Tubbs1518

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A man among boys like another big time PSU player such as Courtney Brown?
 

vancelot23

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Boy you're getting into some tricky water mentioning Penn St and the words "man amongst boys" in the same sentence.
 

augustisback003

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A man among boys like another big time PSU player such as Courtney Brown?

You can't fault Brown for being injury prone. The talent was obviously there who knows how his career would have turned out if he could have stayed healthy.
 

Tubbs1518

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We don't need a DT in the first.
 

kramer1

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Kinda hard to predict anything until we see who we get thru FA. Also, it's hard to predict until we see what happens at the combine.
 

augustisback003

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I guarantee at least one of these players will be a Bengal next season. As you all know I found an interesting trend a couple of years ago when the Normal distribution is applied while using the Bengal's pick as the mean you get a very accurate prediction of the Bengal's pick. The only anomalies since 2003 being the selections of Chris Perry and Leon Hall, the latter who unexpectedly fell to the Bengals at the 17th pick. That's 7 of 9 picks selected correctly for 77.8% rate of accuracy. The players I really like are Mark Barron, David Decastro, Devon Still and a player who's a little lower on the list Lamar Miller who's ranked 29th overall. An interesting observation is an overlap of the Burfict, Brockers and Floyd, who are ranked 18th, 19th and 20th, being listed on both lists.

ESPN rank (draft grade)

14th Mark Barron S 6'1½" 223 Alabama (93)
15th David Decastro OG 6'4½" 313 Stanford (92)
16th Courtney Upshaw OLB 6'1¾" 271 Alabama (92)
17th Sam Montgomery DE 6'4" 245 LSU (92)
18th Vontaze Burfict ILB 6'3" 252 Arizona State (92)
19th Michael Brockers DT 6'6" 306 LSU (92)
20th Michael Floyd WR 6'3" 229 Notre Dame (91)

18th Vontaze Burfict ILB 6'3" 252 Arizona State (92)
19th Michael Brockers DT 6'6" 306 LSU (92)
20th Michael Floyd WR 6'3" 229 Notre Dame (91)
21st Devon Still DT 6'5¼" 307 Penn State (91)
22nd David Wilson RB 5'10" 205 Virginia Tech (90)
23rd Fletcher Cox DT 6'3¾" 296 Mississippi State (90)
24th Alfonzo Dennard CB 5'9¾" 204 Nebraska (89)

I was going through some of my old threads and came across this gem I created last January. It's amazing Burfict fell from a mid 1st Round pick to College free agent. The Bengals basically got four 1st Round picks from last year's draft.
 

Servo

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I was going through some of my old threads and came across this gem I created last January. It's amazing Burfict fell from a mid 1st Round pick to College free agent. The Bengals basically got four 1st Round picks from last year's draft.

To the board's credit we all liked Casey heyward. I liked Janoris Jenkins and apparently was high on Still at the time. Of courese every Bengals fan loved David Decastro.
 

cincygrad

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To the board's credit we all liked Casey heyward. I liked Janoris Jenkins and apparently was high on Still at the time. Of courese every Bengals fan loved David Decastro.

Good grief...... The amount of DeCastro cock sucking that went on around here was almost embarrassing. It was like the guy was related to DeDe Dorsey or something.
 

Tubbs1518

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I really wanted Jenkins as well. Was never high on Kirkpatrick.
 

Servo

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I really wanted Jenkins as well. Was never high on Kirkpatrick.

I hated the kirkpatrick pick. I wanted DeCastro + Jenkins. that was my ideal first round. I think we all loved DeCastro due to him actually being a good player and our loathing of Nate Livings.
 

cravnravn

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I hated the kirkpatrick pick. I wanted DeCastro + Jenkins. that was my ideal first round. I think we all loved DeCastro due to him actually being a good player and our loathing of Nate Livings.

Arent you all glad you didnt get the bust Decastro?? Stealers problem now
 

flamingrey

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Really? So, DeCastro plays one season in which he gets injured and we write him off as a bust?
 
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