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Re-ranking the 2016 recruiting classes.

MAIZEandBLUE09

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Truth...with one qualifier. Once a team can compete with another in recruiting, they'll still need an equal or better coach to beat that opponent regularly IMO. Won't beat a team regularly with lesser talent and good coaching. Also won't beat them regularly with equal/better talent and sub par coaching.

Hard to say how much is talent and how much is coaching until the talent levels are close to even.
I think usually you have to just get lucky and hit on one player; a RB or QB. You get an elite player at a position like that and it can win you a lot of games and change a lot of perception about the program in 3-4 seasons.
 

Deep Creek

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I think usually you have to just get lucky and hit on one player; a RB or QB. You get an elite player at a position like that and it can win you a lot of games and change a lot of perception about the program in 3-4 seasons.
Yep. That's one of the perfect situations you were referencing. Happens pretty often if the coach is good.

But to beat a team on a regular basis, it'll take equal or nearly equal talent...even if the coach is good.
 

michaeljordan_fan

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Two conference championships in the past four years. You're about a retard and a half.

This is about the 2016 recruiting class. Nice attempt at deflection though.
 

Across The Field

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I think usually you have to just get lucky and hit on one player; a RB or QB. You get an elite player at a position like that and it can win you a lot of games and change a lot of perception about the program in 3-4 seasons.
Let's look at the blue chip (4/5*) QBs and RBs both schools have gotten over the last 5 years:

Ohio State QBs and RBs over the last 5 years:
5* Justin Fields (#2 player overall)
4* Dwayne Haskins (#91 overall)
4* JT Barrett (#135 overall)
4* Tate Martell (#56 overall)
4* Joey Burrow (#280 overall)
4* Matthew Baldin (#331 overall)

4* JK Dobbins (#46 overall)
4* Mike Weber (#75 overall)
4* Ezekiel Elliott (#69 overall)
4* Demario McCall (#44 overall)
4* Jaelen Gill (#30 overall)
4* Master Teague (#228 overall)
4* Marcus Crowley (#370 overall)
4* Antonio Williams (#169 overall)


michigan QBs and RBs over the last 5 years:
5* Shea Patterson (#4 overall)
4* Alex Malzone (#299 overall)
4* Zach Gentry (#174 overall)
4* Brandon Peters (#61 overall)
4* Dylan McCaffrey (#123 overall)
4* Joe Milton (#204 overall)
4* Cade McNamara (#268 overall)

4* Kareem Walker (#107 overall)
4* Chris Evans (#338 overall)
4* O'Maury Samuels (#269 overall)
4* Zach Charbonnet (#44 overall)

If you want to say we're only beating you because we're bringing in better RB recruits, you might have a point (perhaps Harbaugh should actually pay attention to the position?), but you can't say a single thing about QBs. This is the most crucial year for Harbaugh to prove he can develop an elite QB. He basically wasted two years of Shea Patterson, who was once considered a first-round prospect. Malzone, Gentry, and Peters are gone, but there's obviously still plenty of highly-ranked talent with experience at the position.
 

MAIZEandBLUE09

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Let's look at the blue chip (4/5*) QBs and RBs both schools have gotten over the last 5 years:

Ohio State QBs and RBs over the last 5 years:
5* Justin Fields (#2 player overall)
4* Dwayne Haskins (#91 overall)
4* JT Barrett (#135 overall)
4* Tate Martell (#56 overall)
4* Joey Burrow (#280 overall)
4* Matthew Baldin (#331 overall)

4* JK Dobbins (#46 overall)
4* Mike Weber (#75 overall)
4* Ezekiel Elliott (#69 overall)
4* Demario McCall (#44 overall)
4* Jaelen Gill (#30 overall)
4* Master Teague (#228 overall)
4* Marcus Crowley (#370 overall)
4* Antonio Williams (#169 overall)


michigan QBs and RBs over the last 5 years:
5* Shea Patterson (#4 overall)
4* Alex Malzone (#299 overall)
4* Zach Gentry (#174 overall)
4* Brandon Peters (#61 overall)
4* Dylan McCaffrey (#123 overall)
4* Joe Milton (#204 overall)
4* Cade McNamara (#268 overall)

4* Kareem Walker (#107 overall)
4* Chris Evans (#338 overall)
4* O'Maury Samuels (#269 overall)
4* Zach Charbonnet (#44 overall)

If you want to say we're only beating you because we're bringing in better RB recruits, you might have a point (perhaps Harbaugh should actually pay attention to the position?), but you can't say a single thing about QBs. This is the most crucial year for Harbaugh to prove he can develop an elite QB. He basically wasted two years of Shea Patterson, who was once considered a first-round prospect. Malzone, Gentry, and Peters are gone, but there's obviously still plenty of highly-ranked talent with experience at the position.
That's only two positions. I think the last time I calculated this Michigan had 1/3 the top 100 talent on it's roster compared to OSU. It was like 42 players to 13. Michigan does have its share of talent. It just doesn't have the talent OSU does.

Since the 2016 class OSU has now signed 15 five star players. Michigan has signed 5. Again, 1/3 the amount of OSU. That's a dramatic talent gap.

So we have enough to win a lot of games. We have enough to be better than most B10 teams but not compete with the teams who can recruit like OSU is.
 

Across The Field

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That's only two positions. I think the last time I calculated this Michigan had 1/3 the top 100 talent on it's roster compared to OSU. It was like 42 players to 13. Michigan does have its share of talent. It just doesn't have the talent OSU does.

Since the 2016 class OSU has now signed 15 five star players. Michigan has signed 5. Again, 1/3 the amount of OSU. That's a dramatic talent gap.

So we have enough to win a lot of games. We have enough to be better than most B10 teams but not compete with the teams who can recruit like OSU is.
But you said you have to "get lucky" and hit on one of those 2 positions. OSU does it year in/year out, but michigan has failed on both ends.

Wonder what the 5*/top 100 recruit ratio has been between OSU and Penn State the last 3 years. Hmm...
 

MAIZEandBLUE09

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But you said you have to "get lucky" and hit on one of those 2 positions. OSU does it year in/year out, but michigan has failed on both ends.

Wonder what the 5*/top 100 recruit ratio has been between OSU and Penn State the last 3 years. Hmm...
Right. And at PSU it's not been much different. PSU has two wins against OSU since 2009. Michigan has one. Since 2002 Michigan has two wins, PSU has 4. Neither team is doing great and the talent gap plays a significant part. PSU's most recent win in 2016 was that "once in a while" win I referenced earlier where things click; mostly because they hit on Barkley. Michigan came 1 call away from the same thing in 2016. Either way, no one in the country is consistently winning against OSU unless you count OSU losing to teams like Alabama/Clemson in bowl games. And no one in the B10 will, including Michigan, until we can come close in recruiting. If Michigan had the same record against OSU that PSU does, we'd still be getting ripped apart by the media and OSU fans for not beating them. Had we won in 2016 it probably wouldn't have changed the narrative much.
 

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Right. And at PSU it's not been much different. PSU has two wins against OSU since 2009. Michigan has one. Since 2002 Michigan has two wins, PSU has 4. Neither team is doing great and the talent gap plays a significant part. PSU's most recent win in 2016 was that "once in a while" win I referenced earlier where things click; mostly because they hit on Barkley. Michigan came 1 call away from the same thing in 2016. Either way, no one in the country is consistently winning against OSU unless you count OSU losing to teams like Alabama/Clemson in bowl games. And no one in the B10 will, including Michigan, until we can come close in recruiting. If Michigan had the same record against OSU that PSU does, we'd still be getting ripped apart by the media and OSU fans for not beating them. Had we won in 2016 it probably wouldn't have changed the narrative much.
Dude, the last 3 years of OSU/Penn State and OSU/michigan have been dramatically different. In 17/18 against PSU, we needed 4th quarter comebacks to escape by 1. In 2019, when we were still fully healthy, they played us closer than anyone in the regular season, and by a wide margin.

In 17/18, we beat michigan by 11 with a 2nd string QB who had barely played all year that was thrust into action mid-game, and obviously in 2018 we destroyed you. In 2019, with Fields 1 week removed from what ended up being an impactful knee injury, we smoked you by 29 in your own house.

The biggest difference between the two teams is Franklin knows how to pump his kids up and make them feel like they can play with us, no matter who is on our team. As Devin Bush put it, michigan has gone into the game just hoping OSU has an off day. That's the difference between good coaching and back coaching, and that's why PSU has been incredibly competitive with us while michigan hasn't.
 

MAIZEandBLUE09

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Dude, the last 3 years of OSU/Penn State and OSU/michigan have been dramatically different. In 17/18 against PSU, we needed 4th quarter comebacks to escape by 1. In 2019, when we were still fully healthy, they played us closer than anyone in the regular season, and by a wide margin.

In 17/18, we beat michigan by 11 with a 2nd string QB who had barely played all year that was thrust into action mid-game, and obviously in 2018 we destroyed you. In 2019, with Fields 1 week removed from what ended up being an impactful knee injury, we smoked you by 29 in your own house.

The biggest difference between the two teams is Franklin knows how to pump his kids up and make them feel like they can play with us, no matter who is on our team. As Devin Bush put it, michigan has gone into the game just hoping OSU has an off day. That's the difference between good coaching and back coaching, and that's why PSU has been incredibly competitive with us while michigan hasn't.
I think the major difference there is OSU preps all year for us. Not PSU. Michigan took a game late with John O'Korn as the starting QB.
 

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I think the major difference there is OSU preps all year for us. Not PSU. Michigan took a game late with John O'Korn as the starting QB.
And you would be wrong. Unless you're saying Harbaugh doesn't know how to coach his guys up, because there's no question that's true.
 

MAIZEandBLUE09

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And you would be wrong. Unless you're saying Harbaugh doesn't know how to coach his guys up, because there's no question that's true.
The players have stated they practice for UM all year. I just don't think they spend a day a week 365 prepping for PSU.
 

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The players have stated they practice for UM all year. I just don't think they spend a day a week 365 prepping for PSU.
They are pumped for michigan all year. They're not game-prepping for them all year. Huge difference. Do you think the week before they play Penn State, they're focusing on stopping michigan? Do you really think that a coach like Urban Meyer has his kids unprepared to play against (what have been) top 5-10 Penn State teams because he's studying film of michigan the week before? That's the dumbest thing I've ever heard.
 

MAIZEandBLUE09

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They are pumped for michigan all year. They're not game-prepping for them all year. Huge difference. Do you think the week before they play Penn State, they're focusing on stopping michigan? Do you really think that a coach like Urban Meyer has his kids unprepared to play against (what have been) top 5-10 Penn State teams because he's studying film of michigan the week before? That's the dumbest thing I've ever heard.
Ryan Day Talks Preparing for Michigan All Year, the Wolverines' Talent Level and Ohio State's Gritty Win Over Penn State

"At least once or twice a week they do a "team up north period" where they do a certain number of reps for how many days there are until the The Game."

sooo..yeah. Hard to be the target of OSU's prep all year, something no other team has to deal with. Especially when you're trying to overcome the talent gap.
 

Across The Field

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Ryan Day Talks Preparing for Michigan All Year, the Wolverines' Talent Level and Ohio State's Gritty Win Over Penn State

"At least once or twice a week they do a "team up north period" where they do a certain number of reps for how many days there are until the The Game."

sooo..yeah. Hard to be the target of OSU's prep all year, something no other team has to deal with. Especially when you're trying to overcome the talent gap.
LOL that's not game-prep. That's working out with a theme. And again, if it's public knowledge that OSU is thinking of clobbering michigan all year and your coach can't even get his players pumped up for it on gameday, then your coach is garbage, so you're just proving my point.
 

MAIZEandBLUE09

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LOL that's not game-prep. That's working out with a theme. And again, if it's public knowledge that OSU is thinking of clobbering michigan all year and your coach can't even get his players pumped up for it on gameday, then your coach is garbage, so you're just proving my point.
That's not suggesting Michigan isn't doing the same thing for OSU. The problem is, back to the talent, that they're facing a team with 3x the top end talent on it. All things equal. All prep equal. OSU should beat Michigan every year based on the talent on the team. Michigan has to overcome that.

PSU playing closer games because OSU isn't focused as strongly on beating PSU is irrelevant.
 

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That's not suggesting Michigan isn't doing the same thing for OSU. The problem is, back to the talent, that they're facing a team with 3x the top end talent on it. All things equal. All prep equal. OSU should beat Michigan every year based on the talent on the team. Michigan has to overcome that.

PSU playing closer games because OSU isn't focused as strongly on beating PSU is irrelevant.
You've done quite the mental gymnastics to try to prove that Harbaugh is doing a good job. Your explanation has failed with flying colors, but still impressive.
 

MAIZEandBLUE09

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You've done quite the mental gymnastics to try to prove that Harbaugh is doing a good job. Your explanation has failed with flying colors, but still impressive.
This isn't necessarily about Harbaugh but the expectations. No matter who the coach is they're going to struggle against OSU until we can match their recruiting. I even think Harbaugh might get a win sooner or later. I don't think that changes anything unless recruiting gains come with it.
 
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