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In lauding Smith on Monday, Jaworski on ESPN's SportsCenter noted his care of the ball. "Two statistics speak to Smith's play in 2011," Jaworski said. "He threw the fewest passes of any 16-game starter, and he had the lowest interception percentage in the National Football League. Smith was managed brilliantly by first-year head coach Jim Harbaugh. Harbaugh perfectly understood his quarterback's strengths and limitations."
Jaworski also noted that the majority of the 49ers' big pass plays last season came on first down when San Francisco was in its base personnel package. The 49ers, of course, usually run out of the package, which prompts defenses to move one of their safeties closer to the line of scrimmage. With one safety deep, it was easier - and safer - to take shots downfield.
But that conservative approach isn't necessarily Harbaugh playing to Smith's "strengths and limitations," as Jaworski suggested. Harbaugh did virtually the same thing at Stanford with Andrew Luck, whom the NFL deemed the top quarterback in the draft this year. That is, the approach is more Harbaugh-related than it is Smith-related.
Only one team - the Tim Tebow-led Broncos - threw the ball less than San Francisco in 2011. Only two teams - the Broncos and Texans - ran the ball more. That run-pass ratio may change slightly in 2012 with the addition of high-profile wideouts Randy Moss, Mario Manningham and A.J. Jenkins. But with Harbaugh, a lover of power-based offenses at the helm, it's very unlikely to change dramatically.
Back to Jaworski's list. He has yet to reveal slots 1-14, but they likely will be filled by Jay Cutler, Matt Ryan, Joe Flacco, Matt Schaub, Tony Romo, Phillip Rivers, Michael Vick, Matthew Stafford, Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers -- not necessarily in that order.
I tend to agree with where Smith is ranked. But it's worth noting that whenever the 49ers needed Smith to be great in 2011, he stepped up. He engineered come-from-behind wins in Philadelphia and in Detroit and against the Saints in the playoffs. He also out-dueled five of the quarterbacks ranked ahead of him - Vick, Stafford, Eli Manning (in the regular season), Roethlisberger and Brees. He'll face Rodgers, Cutler and Brady this season.
Alex Smith's Pro Bowl-worthiness
When KC Joyner explained why he thought Cam Newton's rookie season was overrated, I asked him whether he would have found Smith more deserving as an alternate choice for the game.
"He would have been my choice for the Pro bowl over Cam Newton," Joyner replied.
His reasoning: Smith ranked an impressive 11th in yards per attempt on vertical throws, despite operating with a weak receiving corps. Joyner also charted very few bad decisions for Smith, a percentage on par with what we might expect from Tom Brady.
It is interesting to see the argument for diminished returns landing at the feet of the receivers and not Alex. I am getting the sense the media is going to try and get a full season of mileage out of this Smith vs. Newton story.
Alex Smith's Pro Bowl-worthiness
When KC Joyner explained why he thought Cam Newton's rookie season was overrated, I asked him whether he would have found Smith more deserving as an alternate choice for the game.
"He would have been my choice for the Pro bowl over Cam Newton," Joyner replied.
His reasoning: Smith ranked an impressive 11th in yards per attempt on vertical throws, despite operating with a weak receiving corps. Joyner also charted very few bad decisions for Smith, a percentage on par with what we might expect from Tom Brady.
Why can't it be just be Alex Smith vs. Carolina Panthers defense. I mean, that was who he was dissing. Besides, years from now they'll be playing each other, but QBs don't play other QBs.
Are you being serious or sarcastic?
No, I'm not being serious. It was a sarcastic rhetorical question. Smith's comments were more of a dig on the defense, saying despite Cam's heroics they still allowed too many points to win. If our defense were bad, Smith would have more yards but likely fewer wins. But I would just as tired of them bringing that story up even if they dig make a big deal of Alex vs. Carolina's defense.
Ahhh, that is not at all what Alex said, but no bigge...I said this when I posted the commentary from a 49er sports writer who said this story was going to have a long shelf life.
Thus far it appears he may be correct. At first I wasn't thrilled with the idea but now I am curious to see how both QB's will respond if in fact the story does spill over into the regular season.
I see Alex as a nasty competitor (granted not the most talented one) but a nasty, back down from no one type competitor. So who knows, maybe Smith issued that statement about Newton to create some adrenaline of his own.
I didn't say he said that, I said that they were more of a dig against/insulting to the Carolina defense. How is saying that having 300 yard games when you're playing catch up a worse thing for the QB than the defense? It's not like Alex was saying that Cam choked.