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jedburks
The Bad Guy
Ok, this is going to be really long and may be worth more than 2 cents and could also be worth less than 2 cents. Probably the ladder.
No one is jumping off bridges. No one all of a sudden thinks this team is going to go 2-10. The voices of concern are more than justified. They are not panic voices just concerned. The only thing we have to look at and go off of is the 2 games. The best analogy I heard all week was the one about the boxer who fights lesser competition and constantly gets hit with a jab but is still able to knock out the inferior opponent but everyone puts the guy down because they know when he fights a challenger and gets caught with the jabs he is going to go down. The offense is too big play happy. Of course you want the big plays and you don't want them to be in the open field and tell them to fall down or go out of bounds just to not have the big plays but you have to have something to fall back on when the big play is not there. I classify a "big play" as a play that goes for 20+ yards. Last year we had 63 plays of 20 yards or more. In the games that we struggled in the most (Texas, Oklahoma, A&M, Kansas, Iowa St, South Dakota St, and second Washington game) we had 18 big plays. That is 2.5 a game. BTW, we only had ONE big play against SDSU, a 1-AA team!!!! In the other 7 games we had 45 big plays. That is 6.4 a game. We had nothing to fall back on last year when either Taylor was hurt or we played a tough defense. So far this year Nebraska has 802 total yards on 124 plays. 476 yards have come from 12 big plays. On average we need 8 yards on all 3rd down playsyear. Now we are averaging 10.7 yards on 3rd down plays but how long will that last? We are averaging 2.7 yards on all 2nd down plays. In the UTC game we had 22 2nd down plays. After the first 11 of those plays we had a total of 2 yards on 2nd down plays. In the Fresno St game we had 16 2nd down plays. In the first 9 of those 2nd down plays this is the yardage gained on those plays. 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0. For those bad at math, that is ONE total yard. We have had 57 plays gaining 2 yards or less. What does anyone see that we can fall back on? Can it completely change as the young players and new OC grow? Of course it can. Does everyone have complete and total faith that will happen with Taylor at QB?
Previous to Taylor getting hurt in the Missouri game Taylor was 59.6% of our offense. After the injury, Taylor was 51-7% of the offense. In the 4 loses, Taylor was 39.8% of the offense. So far this season, Taylor is 79.3% of the offense. Who is there to lean on if Taylor gets injured or shut down by a defense? Remember Texas and that vaunted SDSU defense was all before he got hurt. Taylor has played in 14 games. He has 21 fumbles in 2 seasons. That is by far and away the most by one player in the country.
Alot of people are bitching and moaning about the OL. For good reason but I have not heard anyone blame the real person that should be to blame. OWH Dirk Chaetlain blamed Billy C. What a crock of shit!!!!! Most people blame Barney. WRONG!!! I blame the guy that deserves the blame. Mark "Bo" F Pelini!!!! Blasphemy right? What was Bo brought here to do? Fix the defense. What was the main priority in recruiting? Fix the defense. Baker Steinkuhler was a great OL prospect but moved because Bo wanted the defensive line to be stronger. How much say does Barney have over who gets recruited? The defense is fixed and now they are jacking up the recruiting on the offensive side and that is obvious with all the skill position speed that is brand new over the last 2 years. This weekend we will be starting 3 current or former walk-ons. You can't predict injuries but there is no reason to be that thin on the OL. In Solich's last year, people were blasting him for only having like 2 DL on scholarship and that the depth over there was horrendous. Why are people not blasting Bo for his lack of focus on the offense? Defense may win championships but you still have to move the ball on offense and score points. This is why I did not want Bo or any other coach that had not been a head coach before. He is a GREAT assistant caoch but is not a CEO.
As for the defense, this is why I saw 9-3 at best for the regular season. Fisher is a big body but is a bigger version of Corey McKeon. Can't tackle and too slow. Secondary lost WAY TOO MUCH and is too young. Has great talent but is probably a year away.
Again, this is not meant to be "jump off the bridge" stuff but it is definitely something to be concerned about as the season progresses. Possibly even this weekend. On a positive note. We only have 6 penalties for 58 yards through 2 games. Last year through 2 games we had 16 penalties for 198 yards.
No one is jumping off bridges. No one all of a sudden thinks this team is going to go 2-10. The voices of concern are more than justified. They are not panic voices just concerned. The only thing we have to look at and go off of is the 2 games. The best analogy I heard all week was the one about the boxer who fights lesser competition and constantly gets hit with a jab but is still able to knock out the inferior opponent but everyone puts the guy down because they know when he fights a challenger and gets caught with the jabs he is going to go down. The offense is too big play happy. Of course you want the big plays and you don't want them to be in the open field and tell them to fall down or go out of bounds just to not have the big plays but you have to have something to fall back on when the big play is not there. I classify a "big play" as a play that goes for 20+ yards. Last year we had 63 plays of 20 yards or more. In the games that we struggled in the most (Texas, Oklahoma, A&M, Kansas, Iowa St, South Dakota St, and second Washington game) we had 18 big plays. That is 2.5 a game. BTW, we only had ONE big play against SDSU, a 1-AA team!!!! In the other 7 games we had 45 big plays. That is 6.4 a game. We had nothing to fall back on last year when either Taylor was hurt or we played a tough defense. So far this year Nebraska has 802 total yards on 124 plays. 476 yards have come from 12 big plays. On average we need 8 yards on all 3rd down playsyear. Now we are averaging 10.7 yards on 3rd down plays but how long will that last? We are averaging 2.7 yards on all 2nd down plays. In the UTC game we had 22 2nd down plays. After the first 11 of those plays we had a total of 2 yards on 2nd down plays. In the Fresno St game we had 16 2nd down plays. In the first 9 of those 2nd down plays this is the yardage gained on those plays. 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0. For those bad at math, that is ONE total yard. We have had 57 plays gaining 2 yards or less. What does anyone see that we can fall back on? Can it completely change as the young players and new OC grow? Of course it can. Does everyone have complete and total faith that will happen with Taylor at QB?
Previous to Taylor getting hurt in the Missouri game Taylor was 59.6% of our offense. After the injury, Taylor was 51-7% of the offense. In the 4 loses, Taylor was 39.8% of the offense. So far this season, Taylor is 79.3% of the offense. Who is there to lean on if Taylor gets injured or shut down by a defense? Remember Texas and that vaunted SDSU defense was all before he got hurt. Taylor has played in 14 games. He has 21 fumbles in 2 seasons. That is by far and away the most by one player in the country.
Alot of people are bitching and moaning about the OL. For good reason but I have not heard anyone blame the real person that should be to blame. OWH Dirk Chaetlain blamed Billy C. What a crock of shit!!!!! Most people blame Barney. WRONG!!! I blame the guy that deserves the blame. Mark "Bo" F Pelini!!!! Blasphemy right? What was Bo brought here to do? Fix the defense. What was the main priority in recruiting? Fix the defense. Baker Steinkuhler was a great OL prospect but moved because Bo wanted the defensive line to be stronger. How much say does Barney have over who gets recruited? The defense is fixed and now they are jacking up the recruiting on the offensive side and that is obvious with all the skill position speed that is brand new over the last 2 years. This weekend we will be starting 3 current or former walk-ons. You can't predict injuries but there is no reason to be that thin on the OL. In Solich's last year, people were blasting him for only having like 2 DL on scholarship and that the depth over there was horrendous. Why are people not blasting Bo for his lack of focus on the offense? Defense may win championships but you still have to move the ball on offense and score points. This is why I did not want Bo or any other coach that had not been a head coach before. He is a GREAT assistant caoch but is not a CEO.
As for the defense, this is why I saw 9-3 at best for the regular season. Fisher is a big body but is a bigger version of Corey McKeon. Can't tackle and too slow. Secondary lost WAY TOO MUCH and is too young. Has great talent but is probably a year away.
Again, this is not meant to be "jump off the bridge" stuff but it is definitely something to be concerned about as the season progresses. Possibly even this weekend. On a positive note. We only have 6 penalties for 58 yards through 2 games. Last year through 2 games we had 16 penalties for 198 yards.