juliansteed
Well-Known Member
Eric Tulsky on aging curves and "peak" ages
How NHL scoring rates change with age - SBNation.com
The initial piece by "Hawerchuk" of behindthenet.ca that he cites and worked from
NHL Points-per-Game Peak Age Estimation - Arctic Ice Hockey
One thing to watch out for when we think about how players age is the same thing I mentioned when we were talking about goaltenders, what's called "survivor bias". The players that are still around the NHL in their 30s tend to largely be the best players, because when lesser players decline they're no longer good enough for the NHL and so we as fans essentially take them completely out of the sample that we consider, making that sample significantly better than younger samples.
I went to bed shortly after my last post and haven't been around much all weekend. Thanks for posting. Interesting stuff indeed!
Correct me if I'm wrong, but those figures seem to include players' times in the minors, and players whose NHL careers were short lived and nothing to write home about.
With that in mind, how did Steve Moore's short career compare to the average NHL player if we are to include those players as well? As the article suggests, using those players skews the peak to a lower age. It would certainly do the same with point production (we'll just ignore for now that point production isn't everything that defines a players worth). I'm not implying anything 1 way or the other because I really wouldn't know what the average would be. Nor would I know what the average salary would be for such a pool of players. Just throwing that out there.