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Brees#1
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Cleveland is obviously going to be improved. I'm thinking they will win 11 games, but if they are going to be record breaking good like the 07 Pats (they're not going 16-0) or 2013 Seahawks, then they will win more.
I currently see NE, Seattle, Arizona, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh as losses. Seattle and Arizona are not better, but Seattle's rest ratio is better than Cleveland's for that matchup, and Arizona is at home three straight weeks and someone is going to get unlucky between Pittsburgh and Cleveland. However, it could be SF they lose to instead. That's a back to back road game on primetime with the opponent coming off of a bye and previous home game against Pittsburgh. I think it's a matter of if Pittsburgh strikes first or not in either road games.
Houston lost three straight home games in 2013, but I don't think Arizona is going to be that bad.
But the Browns will win more than 11 if they are going to be dominant team. But I cannot go past 13-3.
I currently see NE, Seattle, Arizona, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh as losses. Seattle and Arizona are not better, but Seattle's rest ratio is better than Cleveland's for that matchup, and Arizona is at home three straight weeks and someone is going to get unlucky between Pittsburgh and Cleveland. However, it could be SF they lose to instead. That's a back to back road game on primetime with the opponent coming off of a bye and previous home game against Pittsburgh. I think it's a matter of if Pittsburgh strikes first or not in either road games.
Houston lost three straight home games in 2013, but I don't think Arizona is going to be that bad.
But the Browns will win more than 11 if they are going to be dominant team. But I cannot go past 13-3.