06/12 Wrecks at 2010 WS Champs, that are still in 1st, getting back Panda soon

[gp956]

Remember when they used to show a Yankees or Red Sox game every week?

Yes, I do. Fortunately I never watch ESPN for baseball anymore, unless the Giants are on, of course.

 

[tzill]

Sigh...Burriss....sigh...

 

[gp956]

He won't do that again today.

 

[gp956]

Four outs Tejada!

 

[nateistheshi]

Yes, I do. Fortunately I never watch ESPN for baseball anymore, unless the Giants are on, of course.

...living in VA and being broke sucks hahaha fuck you ESPN

 

[msgkings322]

Tejada really really wants to stay a starter, as he turns the unnecessary DP

 

[tzill]

Dave Smith of retrosheet.org checked every game from 1974 through 2002. This 29 year period covered 61365 games and 1,101,019 half innings.

The chart below shows the number of times the leadoff batter reached, the number of times they scored, and the frequency at which they scored.

Reach Score Freq
1B 183468 72841 .397
2B 48364 30961 .640
3B 6573 5753 .875
HR 27205 27205 1.000
BB 82637 33002 .399
HP 6217 2543 .409
INT 81 22 .272
E 12105 5298 .438

Based on the table if the leadoff batter walks he will score 39.9% of the time. A single results in 39.7% so it's pretty similiar.

Dave also analyzed the chances of scoring a run if the leadoff batter gets out. When the leadoff batter made an out the offensive team scored at least one run 16.1% of the time.

So the odds of scoring a run with a leadoff walk is about 2 1/2 times greater then if the batter got out.

Does a leadoff walk increase the probability of scoring runs? - Yahoo! Answers

Thank you sir, can't rely on memory it seems. So at 40% the odds of what happened in the first 1.5 innings happening is about 6.4% or 16 to 1.

I sit corrected. AND CHEZ GETS OUT OF THE THIRD...

 

[gp956]

...living in VA and being broke sucks hahaha fuck you ESPN

Just move to W. Va., where everybody is broke.

 

[SFGRTB]

He's a terrific ball blocker...who has a few too many times where he doesn't block. OK, got it.

Yeah pretty much haha. I guess that would qualify as not a great ball blocker though, because the great ones don't miss often. So a good blocker when he blocks it.

 

[gp956]

Stewart? Three hit night. Book it.

 

[nateistheshi]

Tejada really really wants to stay a starter, as he turns the unnecessary DP

To acommodate his efforts, the Reds only get 2 outs next inning

 

[SFGRTB]

Stewart? Three hit night. Book it.

3-4

 

[tzill]

Yeah pretty much haha. I guess that would qualify as not a great ball blocker though, because the great ones don't miss often. So a good blocker when he blocks it.

This....

Makes my brain hurt. :mmph:

 

[nateistheshi]

Just move to W. Va., where everybody is broke.

 

[msgkings322]

The shadows are coming into play...that's going to cool off our bats.

 

[gp956]

Yeah pretty much haha. I guess that would qualify as not a great ball blocker though, because the great ones don't miss often. So a good blocker when he blocks it.

Bayesian. I like it.

 

[gp956]

The shadows are coming into play...that's going to cool off our bats.

How can you tell?

 

[msgkings322]

How can you tell?

Uh, exactly. That was the joke.

:smile:

 

[nateistheshi]

...so after seeing the Giants flailing against Jonathan Sanchez-lite, does anybody else think that the Giants should hire a midget? The Next Market Inefficiencies: Little People in Baseball | FanGraphs Baseball

Read that whenever, but you can tell what's in there from the title.

 

[msgkings322]

...so after seeing the Giants flailing against Jonathan Sanchez-lite, does anybody else think that the Giants should hire a midget? The Next Market Inefficiencies: Little People in Baseball | FanGraphs Baseball

You're about 60 years late:

Eddie Gaedel - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia