Random FF Thoughts

[cwalke3408]

They aren't picking 2022 Chubb up off the streets, he's 30 and destroyed his knee 2yrs ago.

Looks like the rookie they drafted isn't any good or they wouldn't be bringing Chubb in for backup duties

So an overreaction to send the 2.10 for a handcuff in dynasty?

 

[SmokingMonkey]

So an overreaction to send the 2.10 for a handcuff in dynasty?

Personally, I wouldn't be buying 30yr old Chubb, but if you're trying to cuff Mixon, late 2nd isn't lopsided. I was out 2yrs ago when this would be the first fully recovered season for him.

I view cuff RBs without any standalone value around 3rd rd pick value. If they get enough touches or show some pop, late 2nd is absolute highest id go. Can't argue Texans RB TD potential tho, so if you think hes taking RZ snaps from Mixon, easy to do the deal.

Today's nfl not a slam dunk that the backup becomes the unquestioned workhorse when RB1 goes down. Just another thing to consider when buying cuffs

 

[cwalke3408]

But what about Damon Pierce??

19 for 176 in week 18 last year..

That's almost as many carries he had weeks 1-17..

They aren't picking 2022 Chubb up off the streets, he's 30 and destroyed his knee 2yrs ago.

Looks like the rookie they drafted isn't any good or they wouldn't be bringing Chubb in for backup duties

The threat to me is the workload. With a decent RB2, Mixon is probably taking a hit from his 75% snaps, 20+ carries a game workload

 

[TREFF]

That's almost as many carries he had weeks 1-17..

well he did miss four weeks with a hammy, and 2 more with a groin issue.

besides, Joe Mixon ripping off a combined 4.7 yards every time he touches the ball, why would you give Peirce the rock?

I'm no fan of Pierce, his rookie season was a fluke imho, but he's a perfectly fine back up RB. At least good enough that you don't need a pedigree like Nick Chubb to come in and take his job. (assuming Chubb can)

 

[Barilko]

Be doing better if Dobbins, Cooper, Allen and Chubb would sign somewhere, otherwise doing well!

Hope the same for you

Yepper Thanks Treff

 

[broncosmitty]

Mixon will be 29 himself when the season starts.

So will Chubb. He’ll be 29 until week 17.

 

[wilwhite]

Mixon will hit 2K carries this season if he's fantasy relevant, and the Texans have an out after this season. I think Woody Marks is a solid football player but won't ever be a starting RB unless circumstances force it. Chubb is as likely to be the Texans starter in 2026 (re-signing and healthy) as Mixon is IMO.

 

[averagejoe]

Mixon will hit 2K carries this season

Dont know who wrote the article, but someone did a deep dive on RB to discover that the magic number where they start declining (should they get that far in their careers) was 1800 carries. Not good after that.

Was nicely researched over a decade. I wholeheartedly subscribe to the "1800 rule."

 

[SmokingMonkey]

I wholeheartedly subscribe to the "1800 rule."

King Henry season avgs the last 2 seasons, AFTER going over 1800 carries:

347 touches
1679 rush yds
203.5 rec yds
16.5 TDs
(Includes playoff stats)

What an absolute freak

 

[averagejoe]

King Henry season avgs the last 2 seasons, AFTER going over 1800 carries:

347 touches
1679 rush yds
203.5 rec yds
16.5 TDs
(Includes playoff stats)

What an absolute freak

Well, there were exceptions. At the time of the writing, i believe Adrian Peterson was still chugging. But Sean Alexander and others were pretty much in step with a decline.

And you'd have to admit, King Henry wasnt exactly a first round pick the last season or 2 most likely because owners were anticipating a decline.

Do you see Mixon in the same mold as AP or King Henry? I dont.