fightinfunbags
Well-Known Member
The 2nd Tommy John says that the acquiring team shouldn’t be projecting much out of him going forward as a pitcher. First TJ surgery there’s a track record of guys coming back better than before with increased velocity. The track record on 2nd TJ goes the other direction. So in my ball park, looking at a guy who was a power hitter who can hit 40 HRs plus a top of the rotation starter, you’re looking at the least a 50 million dollar a year pitcher. I could have seen 12 years at like $600 million. Not now. As a DH that will likely now get moved to 1B or corner OF it’s more like the Trout contract. 12 years $400ish. So he lost at least $100 million on this injury and likely even more. We will never know how high a team was willing to go. I think my AAV of $50 million is pretty sound when Scherzer gets 43.3 million AAV and he’s on the back end of his career.Be interesting to see what he gets now, likely about 100 million south of what he would have got.